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C Trades at a Discount to Industry: Right Time to Buy the Stock?

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Key Takeaways

  • Citigroup trades at a P/E of 9.64X, below the industry's 12.35X and key peers.
  • Strategic divestitures, workforce optimization and technology investments target $2-$2.5B in annual savings.
  • Earnings are projected to grow 43.5% y/y in 2026 and 14.7% in 2027, boosting its growth outlook.

Citigroup, Inc. (C - Free Report) stock is currently trading at a 12-month trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) of 9.64X, which is below the industry’s 12.35X. This shows the stock is trading at a discount.

Price-to-Earnings F12M

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The C stock is also attractively priced compared with peers such as Bank of America (BAC - Free Report) and Wells Fargo (WFC - Free Report) , which are trading at higher multiples of 9.96X and 10.83X, respectively.

Citigroup’s stock has appreciated 6.5% year to date, outperforming the industry’s 0.6% growth. The stock has also demonstrated relative strength against its key peers, with Bank of America and Wells Fargo shares declining 7.8% and 7.9%, respectively, over the same period.

Price Performance

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

With a relatively attractive valuation and stronger share-price performance, Citigroup appears to have several factors working in its favor. But can its improving business prospects, earnings potential and ongoing strategic initiatives sustain this momentum? Let us examine whether C stock deserves a place in investors’ portfolios at current levels.

Factors to Consider for Citigroup

Strategic Streamlining Efforts:  C has moved closer to completing its multi-year exit from non-core international consumer banking. The sale of the Polish consumer business in June 2026 marked the final international consumer divestiture apart from remaining wind-downs of Banamex. The company also sold an additional 22.6% stake in Banamex in the second quarter after selling 25% in late 2025. The remaining Banamex deconsolidation and IPO are planned for early 2027, with management expecting the transaction to free up $5 billion in capital.

These transactions follow the completed Russia exit and divestitures of consumer franchises across Asia and EMEA. The simpler structure reduces operational complexity, releases capital and allows management to direct resources toward Services, Markets, Banking, Wealth and U.S. Consumer Cards. As the remaining divestitures and wind-downs conclude, lower stranded costs and a more focused allocation of capital should support the path toward higher sustainable returns. Backed by these initiatives, Citigroup expects revenues, excluding Legacy Franchises and reconciling items, to see a mid-single-digit compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2025 through 2028.

Cost Optimization Drives Sustainable Efficiency: The company continues to execute its multi-year cost-optimization strategy centered on workforce rationalization, process simplification, automation and technology investments aimed at enhancing long-term productivity and profitability.

As part of this transformation, the company announced its plan in January 2024 to reduce its global workforce by nearly 8% by 2026. It reduced headcount to 217,000 as of Sept. 30, 2026, from 227,000 a year earlier.  The bank incurred more than $1 billion in severance expenses in the first nine months of 2026 to drive structural efficiencies. Workforce optimization, reduced management layers and technology investments are expected to generate $2-2.5 billion in annualized savings by 2026.

Beyond workforce optimization, management is driving efficiency through process simplification, platform consolidation and increased automation, reducing manual touchpoints across operations. At the same time, the company continues to invest in technology and artificial intelligence to strengthen operational resilience, improve productivity and support revenue growth.

To accelerate these initiatives, Citigroup plans to invest an incremental $5 billion between 2026 and 2028, with spending focused on technology modernization, marketing, front-office talent and branch renovations. This month, a Yahoo Finance article citing Nikkei Asia reported that Citigroup is extending its digital-payments strategy into Japan, with plans to introduce tokenized deposit services for corporate clients by the end of 2026.

Management expects workforce optimization, organizational simplification and technology investments to generate $2-$2.5 billion in annualized cost savings by 2026. Management expects the 2026 efficiency ratio to be slightly below 60%, supported by lower transformation costs and increased technology adoption.

Net Interest Income (NII) Resilience:  NII has been a key contributor to Citigroup’s earnings power, and management expects growth to continue amid a shifting rate environment. NII witnessed a three-year CAGR of 6.2% (ended 2025). The uptrend continued in the first nine months of 2026. Also, the company has been witnessing solid growth in loans and deposit balances.

Despite a higher-for-longer rate backdrop, improving loan demand and continued balance sheet growth are expected to support C’s NII. Management expects NII, excluding Markets, to grow in the mid-to-high 6% range in 2026, up from its previous outlook of growth at the high end of 5-6%.

Liquidity Strength Powers Shareholder Payouts: C enjoys a strong liquidity position. As of Sept. 30, 2026, Citigroup’s cash and due from banks, and total investments aggregated to $472.8 billion, higher than its total debt (short-term and long-term borrowings) of $407.3 billion.

After clearing the 2026 stress test, the company increased its quarterly common stock dividend by 12% to 67 cents per share. It maintains a modest payout ratio of 25%, indicating adequate scope to sustain distributions. The company’s annual dividend yield of 2.2% is higher than the industry average, providing investors with a steady income stream while management continues to execute its turnaround strategy. Its peers Bank of America and Wells Fargo have dividend yields of 2.5% and 1.6%, respectively.

Citigroup Inc. Dividend Yield (TTM)

Citigroup Inc. Dividend Yield (TTM)

Citigroup Inc. dividend-yield-ttm | Citigroup Inc. Quote

Citigroup has also remained active in repurchasing shares. In May 2026, it announced a $30-billion share repurchase program, which commenced in the second quarter. As of Sept. 30, 2026, $23 billion worth of shares remained available under the share repurchase program. Management expects 2026 share repurchases to exceed the approximately $13 billion repurchased in 2025, indicating continued capital return momentum. With a strong capital and liquidity position, its capital distribution activities appear sustainable.

C’s Estimates Analysis

Citigroup’s continued progress in executing its ongoing transformation strategy, coupled with its strong earnings performance and consistent beats over the past four quarters, has strengthened analyst confidence in its growth prospects. Reflecting this optimism, analysts have raised their earnings estimates for 2026 and 2027 over the past 30 days.

Estimate Revision Trend

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Citigroup’s 2026 and 2027 earnings indicates projected year-over-year growth of 43.5% and 14.7%, respectively. These upward revisions and robust growth expectations highlight improving earnings momentum and suggest that the company’s strategic initiatives could translate into stronger financial performance in the coming years.

Final Thoughts on Citigroup’s Stock

C presents a compelling investment case, backed by its ongoing business transformation, improving operational efficiency, resilient net interest income and strengthening earnings outlook. The bank’s continued exit from non-core businesses, focus on higher-return segments and investments in technology should support sustainable revenue growth and profitability. Positive earnings estimate revisions and projected earnings growth reinforce the improving outlook.

At current levels, the C stock also appears attractively valued, trading at a discount to the industry and key peers. Its strong capital position, consistent dividend payouts and ongoing share repurchases enhance its shareholder return prospects.

While policy and regulatory uncertainties following the 2026 U.S. midterm elections could lead to heightened regulatory scrutiny, potentially complicating Citigroup’s capital management and expansion plans, the bank’s progress toward improving returns and creating long-term shareholder value supports a bullish investment stance. Investors looking for exposure to the banking sector may consider adding the C stock to their portfolios.

Citigroup currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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