All eyes are presently on Q3 earnings reports. And that’s not surprising as earnings growth interests all, right from the top brass to research analysts. If a company doesn’t make money, it won’t last for long. Consider a company’s revenues over a given period of time, subtract the cost of production and you have earnings.
This metric is also considered the most important variable in influencing the share price. But, expectations of earnings also play a significant role.
Earnings Estimates Determine Share Prices
We have often seen a decline in the stock price despite earnings growth and a rally in price following an earnings decline. This is largely a result of a company’s earnings failing to meet market expectations.
Earnings estimates embody analysts’ opinion on factors such as sales growth, product demand, competitive industry environment, profit margins and cost control. Thus, earnings estimates serve as a valuable tool while making investment decisions. Earnings estimates also help analysts assess the cash flow to determine the fair value of a firm.
Investors, thus, should be on the lookout for stocks that are ready to make a big move. Hence, it is important for investors to buy stocks that have historical earnings growth and are also seeing a rise in quarterly and annual earnings estimates.
In order to shortlist stocks that have striking earnings growth and positive estimate revisions, we have added the following parameters:
Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2 (Only Zacks' 'Buys' and 'Strong Buys' are allowed. With the Zacks Rank proving itself to be one of the best rating systems out there, this is a great way to start things off.)
5-Year Historical EPS Growth (%) greater than X-Industry (stocks with a strong EPS growth history).
% Change EPS F(0)/F(-1) greater than or equal to 5 (companies that saw year-over-year earnings growth of 5% or more in the last reported fiscal).
% Change Q1 Estimates over the last 4 weeks greater than zero (stocks that have seen their current quarter earnings estimates revised higher in the last 4 weeks).
% Change F1 Estimates over the last 1 week greater than zero (stocks that have seen their annual earnings estimates revised higher in the last 1 week).
% Change F1 Estimates over the last 4 weeks greater than zero (stocks that have seen their annual earnings estimates revised higher in the last 4 weeks).
The above criteria narrowed down the universe of around 7,839 stocks to only 42. Here are the top four stocks:
Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM - Free Report) designs, sources, markets, and distributes outdoor and active lifestyle apparel, footwear, accessories, and equipment in the United States, Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Canada. The company sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). Its estimated earnings growth rate for this year is 20.5%, higher than the Textile - Apparel industry’s increase of 18.9%.
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI - Free Report) provides satellite radio services in the United States. The company carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). Its estimated earnings growth rate for this year is 30%, higher than the Broadcast Radio and Television industry’s increase of 11.3%. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc. (DNKN - Free Report) develops, franchises, and licenses quick service restaurants worldwide. The company carries a Zacks Rank #2. Its estimated earnings growth rate for this year is 16.5%, higher than the Retail - Restaurants industry’s increase of 9.5%.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM - Free Report) is a healthy grocery store, provides fresh, natural, and organic food products in the United States. The company carries a Zacks Rank #2. Its estimated earnings growth rate for this year is 24.8%, in contrast to the Food - Natural Foods Products industry’s expected decline of 4.7%.
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