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Winnebago (WGO) Up 29.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

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It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Winnebago Industries (WGO - Free Report) . Shares have added about 29.5% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Winnebago due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.

Winnebago Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates in Q1

Winnebago reported earnings of 70 cents per share in the first quarter of fiscal 2019 (ended Nov 24, 2018), beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 57 cents. In the year-ago period, earnings were 57 cents a share. Net income rose 23.4% year over year to $22.2 million.

Revenues in the reported quarter climbed 9.7% to $493.6 million from $450 million in the prior-year quarter. The figure outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $445 million.

Operating income in the quarter under review rose 4.6% to $32.6 million from $31.2 million in the year-ago quarter. Gross profit improved to $71 million from $62.8 million a year ago.

Segment Results

Revenues at the Motorized segment were down 3.6% to $181.3 million from a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA rose 144.4% to $12 million.

Revenues at the Towable segment improved 12.8% to $292.8 million year over year. The upside was driven by strong organic growth across Grand Design RV and Winnebago-branded product line and pricing. Adjusted EBITDA was $30.8 million, down 7.7% from the prior-year quarter.



Financial Position

Winnebago had cash and cash equivalents of $702 million as of Nov 24, 2018, compared with $2.34 million as of Aug 25, 2018.

For the first quarter of fiscal 2019, Winnebago’s cash flow from operations was $54.2 million compared with $29.4 million during the same period in fiscal 2017.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

Fresh estimates followed a downward path over the past two months.

VGM Scores

Currently, Winnebago has a strong Growth Score of A, though it is lagging a bit on the Momentum Score front with a B. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top 20% for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Winnebago has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.




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