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Starbucks (SBUX) Up on Q2 Earnings Beat, Raised EPS View

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Starbucks Corporation (SBUX - Free Report) reported mixed results for the second quarter of fiscal 2019, wherein earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate but revenues lagged the same.

Quarterly results benefited from robust performance by the Americas and China-Asia-Pacific segments, and store openings. Ownership change in the East China business and robust performance during the holiday season too aided the company’s quarterly performance. Meanwhile, comparable sales from China increased for the third straight quarter.

The company’s remarkable results and bullish earnings outlook for fiscal 2019 impressed investors as shares gained 1.1% in after-hours trading on Apr 25.

Earning, Revenue& Comp Discussion

Adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 56 cents and grew 13% on a year-over-year basis.

Total revenues were $6.3 billion, which slightly lagged the consensus estimate but increased 5% from the year-ago level. The upside was driven by robust new store performance, comparable sales growth, consolidation of the company’s East China business and streamline-driven activities.

Global comparable store sales increased 3%, whereas it improved4% in the first quarter of fiscal 2019. Global comps were driven by a 3% increase in average ticket.

In the quarter under review, Starbucks opened 319 net new stores worldwide, bringing the total store count to 30,184. Global store growth came in at 7%, based on a year-over-year comparison. The company stated that 94% of net new store openings were outside the United States while 88% were licensed.

Starbucks Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise


Overall Margin Contraction Continues

On a non-GAAP basis, operating margin contracted 40 basis points (bps) year over year to 15.8%. The contraction was largely due to the company’s licensing of the Channel Development business. Streamline activities also had an unfavorable impact of 80 bps on consolidated margins. Excluding the negative impacts, non-GAAP operating margin expanded by approximately 40 bps, owing to the company’s cost-saving initiatives, sales leverage and new revenue recognition accounting, partially offset by partnership investments, technological enhancement and retail.

Segmental Performance

Americas: Net revenues at this flagship segment increased 8% year over year to $4.3 billion, driven by 686store openings in the quarter and comps growth of 4%.

Markedly, segmental growth was driven by robust performance of beverage — the company’s highest margin category. Growth was also favored by an improved in-store experience. Beverage innovation and particularly Starbucks’ cold beverage platform contributed to comps growth in the quarter.

Also, operating margin in the Americas segment expanded 80 bps to 20.9%,owing to sales leverage, cost-saving initiatives and new revenue recognition accounting, partially offset by partnership investments.

China-Asia-Pacific (CAP): At this segment, net revenues were up 9% to $1.3 billion. This upside can be attributed to increased sales from ownership change in East China, 998store openings over the past 12 months and 2% improvement in comparable store sales.

In the CAP segment, the company’s performance in China and Japan was remarkable in the quarter. In China, store count increased 17% year over year. China and Japan recorded comps growth of 3% each, driven by successful LTO performance in blended and espresso beverages as well as continued growth of Starbucks Rewards program in Japan.

Meanwhile, operating margin increased 60 bps year over year to 23.3% in the quarter, owing to sales leverage and cost savings.

Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA): Net revenues dropped 9% year over year to $227.5 million at this segment. This downside can be attributed to foreign currency headwinds, which overshadowed higher sales from the addition of 307 stores in the past 12 months and comps growth.

That said, comps increased 2% year over year (against 1% decline in the preceding quarter). Also, operating margin expanded 310 bps, primarily owing to a shift toward more licensed stores and closure of certain company-operated stores.

Channel Development: Net revenues at this segment decreased 21% to $446.6 million. The downturn was due to licensing of the company’s CPG as well as foodservice businesses to Nestlé, following completion of the deal on Aug 26, 2018.Moreover, operating margin contracted 820 bps to 33.4%.

Fiscal 2019 Guidance

Starbucks reiterated its fiscal 2019 guidance. The company anticipates global comps growth of 3-4%, slightly lower than previously mentioned 3-5%. Globally, it still expects to add approximately 2,100 net new stores. Consolidated GAAP revenue growth is still projected to be 5-7%.

GAAP EPS is envisioned to be $2.40 to $2.44, up from $2.32-$2.37 stated earlier. Also, non-GAAP EPS is expected to be $2.75 to $2.79, up from $2.68-$2.73 mentioned earlier. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2019 earnings is currently pegged at $2.73, lower than the company’s guided range.

Zacks Rank & Peer Releases

Starbucks currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Darden (DRI - Free Report) reported third-quarter fiscal 2019 results, wherein earnings and revenues surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Adjusted earnings of $1.80 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.75. Moreover, the bottom line increased 5.3% year over year on the back of higher revenues.

Chipotle (CMG - Free Report) reported better-than-expected results in the first quarter of 2019. Adjusted earnings of $3.40 per share surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.01 by 13%. The bottom line also grew 59.6% from the year-ago quarter, backed by increased revenues and lower food costs.

Domino’s (DPZ - Free Report) reported mixed first-quarter 2019 financial numbers, wherein earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate but revenues missed the same. Adjusted earnings of $2.20 per share surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.07 and increased 10% on a year-over-year basis. The bottom-line improvement was driven by higher net income and lower diluted share count as a result of share repurchases.

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