(1:00) - Finding Value In The Energy Sector (4:15) - Is An ETF The Best Bet For Investing? (9:10) - Tracey’s top Stock Picks (29:30) - The Big Takeaways From The Energy Stocks: XOP, CNX, VKIN, MTDR, PXD, FANG, OXY Podcast@Zacks.com
Welcome to Episode #168 of the Value Investor Podcast
Every week, Tracey Ryniec, the editor of Zacks
Value Investor portfolio, shares some of her top value investing tips and stock picks.
One of the most hated industries of 2019 continues to be energy, especially the Exploration and Production companies, or E&Ps.
After rebounding to start 2019, the E&P stocks are on the decline again as the year ends with some hitting multi-decade lows.
SPDR Exploration & Production ETF has fallen to new lows since its inception in 2006. It’s down 24.1% year-to-date. XOP
When Wall Street runs away, value investors have to run in.
But are these values or traps?
Definition of a Value Trap Versus a Value Stock
Remember, to determine whether a stock is a true value, you have to look beyond the P/E or the P/S ratios.
Look at the earnings estimates. Are they on the rise from 2019 to 2020? Do analysts see earnings growth, or an earnings decline, next year?
Value investors want to get their companies cheap, but they also want growth.
A value stock is cheap but also has earnings growth.
Energy Stocks: Values or Traps? 1. CNX Resources Corporation (is one of the largest independent natural gas producers in the US. It recently raised 2020 free cash flow guidance. It will use the FCF in 2020 to buy back debt and do share buybacks. It trades with a forward P/E of 8.7. Is it a value or a trap? CNX Quick Quote CNX - Free Report) 2. Matador Resources Company is focused on oil and natural gas production in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas but also operates in South Texas, Northwest Louisiana and East Texas. Shares have fallen 11.2% year-to-date. It now trades with a forward P/E of 12.7. Is it a value or a trap? MTDR 3. Pioneer Natural Resources has a $21.4 billion market cap and is one of the biggest players in the Permian Basin. Year-to-date the shares are down 3.8%. It currently has a $2 billion share buyback program and just recently raised the dividend, which now yields 1.4%. With a forward P/E of 15.3, is it a value or a trap? PXD 4. Diamondback Energy shares are down 15% year-to-date. It’s headquartered in Midland, Texas, one of the fastest growing cities in America. Shares are trading with a forward P/E of 11.9. Is it a value or a trap? FANG
There are 70 companies in Zacks Exploration & Production industry category and none are Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buys). Just two are Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) stocks.
What else do you need to know about the E&Ps?
Tune into this podcast to find out.
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