Geopolitical tensions took center stage at the start of the New Year. A U.S. drone strike near Baghdad international airport killed Iran’s top commander General Qassim Soleimani, fueling tensions between Iran and the United States. The U.S. move followed a New Year Eve attack by Iran-backed militias on the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad (read: Iraq Attack: Sector ETF Winners and Losers).
Investors should note that the United States’ sanctions against Iran were put into place in August 2018. The sanctions were on cars, metals and minerals as well as U.S. and European aircraft. The second part of the sanctions that bans import of Iranian energy was enacted in November 2018.
The result of the U.S. air strike and the killing of Iranian commander was Iraq’s demand for an expulsion of all foreign troops and Iran’s pulling back from the 2015 nuclear deal. Strategists expect the U.S.-Iran tensions to flare up in the medium term.
Germany called for “crisis meeting of EU foreign ministers” over Middle-East tension. Volatility in the stock market rose with iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX - Free Report) gaining about 5.3% on Jan 3.
Global equities fell with the S&P 500-based ETF SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY and SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA - Free Report) losing about 0.8% and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ - Free Report) shedding around 0.9%, respectively. All-world ETF iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI - Free Report) was off 0.9% on Jan 3. Safe-haven trade intensified as the yield on the 10-year benchmark U.S. Treasury fell to 1.80% on Jan 3 from 1.88% recorded the earlier day.
How to Profit
Given the upheaval, investors could easily tap the opportunity by going short on global equities, at least for the near term. Below we highlight a few of them (read: Guide to the 10 Most-Popular Leveraged Inverse ETFs).
Investors can go against the S&P 500 with ProShares Short S&P500 ETF (SH - Free Report) (up 0.8% on Jan 3) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (SPDN - Free Report) (up 0.7% on Jan 3).
Investors intending to play against the tumbling Dow Jones, may tap ProShares Short Dow 30 (DOG - Free Report) (up 0.8% on Jan 3), ProShares UltraShort Dow30 DXD (up 1.7% on Jan 3) and ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (SDOW - Free Report) (up 2.4% on Jan 3).
ProShares Short QQQ (PSQ - Free Report) (up 0.8% on Jan 3), ProShares UltraShort QQQ QID (up 1.8% on Jan 3) and ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (SQQQ - Free Report) (up 2.7% on Jan 3) are good to play against the Nasdaq.
One can short small-cap U.S. equities with ProShares Short Russell2000 RWM (up 0.4% on Jan 3).
ProShares Short MSCI EAFE (EFZ - Free Report) (up 0.3% on Jan 3) could be a good way to short stocks from the EAFE region and avoid the spillover effect of the geopolitical tension (read: Country ETFs to Top/Flop on US Air Raid at Baghdad).
Short MSCI Emerging Markets ProShares (EUM - Free Report) added more than 1.7% on Jan 3. The fund tracks the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. The index covers equites from 21 emerging market country indexes.
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