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Why Is Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) Up 16.1% Since Last Earnings Report?

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY - Free Report) . Shares have added about 16.1% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Bed Bath & Beyond due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.

Bed Bath & Beyond Reports Q3 Loss, Misses Sales

Bed Bath & Beyond reported dismal third-quarter fiscal 2019 results, wherein the company incurred a loss. Moreover, the top line lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate and declined on a year-over-year basis.

Results were mainly hurt by the calendar shift of the Thanksgiving holiday in 2019. Apart from this, the company’s business was challenged with certain self-inflicted issues such as noncompetitive pricing and dearth of convenient shopping choices. Management stated that sales and profitability are likely to be under pressure in fiscal fourth quarter.

Q3 in Detail

Bed Bath & Beyond reported adjusted loss of 38 cents per share in fiscal third quarter, against the Zacks Consensus Estimate of an earnings of 3 cents. Also, the reported figure compared unfavorably with adjusted earnings of 2 cents in the year-ago quarter.

Net sales fell nearly 9% to $2,759.3 million and lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,859 million. The downside was caused by comparable sales (comps) decline of 8.3%. Comps fell due to lower store transactions, somewhat offset by a rise in the average transaction amount. In fact, comps in stores fell in high single-digit percentage range, while the metric at the company’s digital channel fell in mid-single digit percentage range.

Notably, quarterly sales were significantly hurt by calendar shift of the Thanksgiving holiday, which fell short of one week compared with the year-ago period. Adjusting for this shift, including Thanksgiving and Cyber Monday weeks, comps fell 3.6% in the reported quarter. The decline of 3.6% resulted from a fall of 6.5% in store sales, somewhat offset by a rise of 9.4% in digital sales.
 
Nevertheless, comps on a shifted basis increased 7.1% during the five-day shopping period from Thanksgiving to Cyber Monday.

Further, gross profit declined nearly 9% to $913.8 million in the reported quarter. Also, adjusted gross margin contracted 80 basis points (bps) to 32.3%, mainly driven by lower merchandise margins on increased promotional activity and partly offset by a decline in net direct to customer shipping expense.

Adjusted SG&A expenses dropped 2.3% to $931.8 million, driven by gains from its cost structure and optimization efforts. As a percentage of net sales, SG&A increased 140 bps to 33.8% mainly owing to higher occupancy, advertising and technology-related costs. Further, the company incurred operating loss of $29.8 million against income of $49.5 million in the year-ago quarter.

Financial Position

Bed Bath & Beyond ended fiscal third quarter with cash and investments of roughly $920 million. Long-term debt totaled $1,488.3 million and total shareholders' equity came in at $1,848.2 million as of Nov 30, 2019.

At the end of first nine months of fiscal 2019, the company generated cash flow of about $257.1 million from operating activities and deployed nearly $188.4 million toward capital expenditures.

For fiscal 2019, capital expenditures are anticipated between $275 million and $300 million compared with $350-$375 million expected earlier.

Share Buyback & Dividend

In the reported quarter, Bed Bath & Beyond repurchased stock worth nearly $1.2 million, reflecting about 87,000 shares.

Additionally, the company’s board declared a quarterly dividend of 17 cents per share, payable Apr 14, 2020, to its shareholders of record as on Mar 13.

Store Update

In third-quarter fiscal 2019, Bed Bath & Beyond inaugurated four stores — one namesake, two Cost Plus World Market and one One Kings Lane stores. Simultaneously, it closed 14 outlets, including 13 namesake and one Cost Plus World Market stores.

As of Nov 30, 2019, the company had 1,524 stores in operation, comprising 981 namesake stores across 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico and Canada; 278 stores under the labels World Market, Cost Plus World Market or Cost Plus; 126 buybuy BABY stores; 81 stores under the labels Christmas Tree Shops, Christmas Tree Shops andThat! or andThat!; 55 stores under Harmon, Harmon Face Values or Face Values names; and three stores under the label One Kings Lane.

Additionally, the company’s joint venture operates 10 flagship stores in Mexico.

During the current fiscal year, the company is on track to open nearly 10 total stores, including two flagship outlets.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

It turns out, estimates review have trended downward during the past month. The consensus estimate has shifted -24.72% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

Currently, Bed Bath & Beyond has an average Growth Score of C, though it is lagging a lot on the Momentum Score front with an F. However, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top quintile for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of C. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. It's no surprise Bed Bath & Beyond has a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell). We expect a below average return from the stock in the next few months.


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