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Morgan Stanley (MS) Q1 Earnings Miss on Coronavirus Mayhem

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Morgan Stanley’s (MS - Free Report) first-quarter 2020 adjusted earnings of 99 cents per share missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.07. Also, the figure declined 26% from the year-ago quarter. The results were largely impacted by coronavirus-related concerns and economic slowdown.

Shares of the company lost almost 2% in early market trading. The stock’s price performance after the full day’s trading will give a better picture.

As expected, Morgan Stanley recorded a 11% year-over-year decline in advisory fees. Equity underwriting fees inched down 1%, while fixed income underwriting revenues grew 10% from the prior-year quarter. Therefore, investment banking fees fell 1% from the year-ago quarter.

As projected, its trading revenues registered growth. Specifically, fixed income trading revenues increased 29% and equity trading income improved 20% from the prior-year period. Overall trading revenues increased 30% from the year-ago period.

Higher net interest income, driven by a rise in loan balance (up 15%) and lower interest expenses, supported the top line to some extent.

Net income applicable to common shareholders during the quarter was $1.60 billion, decreasing 32% from a year ago.

Lower Advisory Fees Hurt Revenues, Costs Stable

Net revenues were $9.49 billion, down 8% from the prior-year quarter. However, the top line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.08 billion.

Net interest income was $1.36 billion, jumping 34% from the year-ago quarter. This was largely due to 34% fall in interest expenses.

Total non-interest revenues of $8.13 billion declined 12% year over year.

Total non-interest expenses were $7.34 billion, on par with the prior-year reported number.

Dismal Segmental Performance

Institutional Securities: Pre-tax income from continuing operations was $950 million, decreasing 40% year over year. Net revenues were $4.91 billion, down 6% from the prior-year figure. The fall was mainly due to lower investment banking revenues and loss in investment revenues, partially offset by higher trading income.

Wealth Management: Pre-tax income from continuing operations totaled $1.06 billion, down 11% from the year-ago figure. Net revenues were $4.04 billion, declining 8% year over year, as fall in transactional revenues and net interest income were partially offset by higher asset management revenues.

Investment Management: Pre-tax income from continuing operations was $143 million, falling 18% from the year-ago quarter. Net revenues were $692 million, down 14% from the prior-year level. The decrease was mainly owing to lower investment revenues, partially offset by a rise in asset management fees.

As of Mar 31, 2020, total assets under management or supervision were $584 billion, up 22% on a year-over-year basis.

Strong Capital Position

As of Mar 31, 2020, book value per share was $49.09, up from $42.83 in the corresponding period of 2019. Tangible book value per share was $43.28, up from $37.62 in the comparable year-ago period.

Morgan Stanley’s Tier 1 capital ratio was 17.4% compared with 19.0% in the year-ago quarter. Tier 1 common equity ratio was 15.3%, down from 16.7% in the prior year.

Share Repurchase Update

During the first quarter, Morgan Stanley repurchased shares worth $1.3 billion. This was part of the company's 2019 capital plan. Notably, in mid-March, the company suspended the buyback plan amid coronavirus pandemic.

Our Viewpoint

Morgan Stanley’s focus on less capital-incentive operations like wealth management is commendable. However, coronavirus-related concerns and economic slowdown are expected to continue hurting the company’s financials in the near term.

Morgan Stanley Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

 

Morgan Stanley Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Morgan Stanley price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Morgan Stanley Quote

Currently, Morgan Stanley carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Performance of Other Big Banks

Bank of America’s (BAC - Free Report) first-quarter 2020 earnings of 40 cents per share missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 42 cents. This was attributed to reserve build of $3.6 billion for coronavirus-related crisis.

JPMorgan’s (JPM - Free Report) first-quarter 2020 earnings came in at 78 cents per share, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.70, thanks to a substantial rise in provisions owing to coronavirus-related concerns.

Goldman Sachs (GS - Free Report) reported first-quarter 2020 earnings per share of $3.11, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.83. However, the bottom line compared unfavorably with earnings of $5.71 per share recorded in the year-earlier quarter.

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