Papa John's (PZZA - Free Report) could be a solid addition to your portfolio given a notable revision in the company's earnings estimates. While the stock has been gaining lately, the trend might continue since its earnings outlook is still improving.
The rising trend in estimate revisions, which is a result of growing analyst optimism on the earnings prospects of this pizza chain, should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. Our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is principally built on this insight.
The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.
Consensus earnings estimates for the next quarter and full year have moved considerably higher for Papa John's, as there has been strong agreement among the covering analysts in raising estimates.
The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions
The company is expected to earn $0.43 per share for the current quarter, which represents a year-over-year change of +53.57%.
Over the last 30 days, four estimates have moved higher for Papa John's while one has gone lower. As a result, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased 40.49%.
Current-Year Estimate Revisions
For the full year, the earnings estimate of $1.44 per share represents a change of +23.08% from the year-ago number.
In terms of estimate revisions, the trend for the current year also appears quite encouraging for Papa John's. Over the past month, four estimates have moved higher compared to one negative revision, helping the consensus estimate increase 10.56%.
Favorable Zacks Rank
Thanks to promising estimate revisions, Papa John's currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.
Papa John's shares have added 15.7% over the past four weeks, suggesting that investors are betting on its impressive estimate revisions. So, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away to benefit from its earnings growth prospects.