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Bear of the Day

Headquartered in Thief River Falls, MN, Arctic Cat Inc. (ACAT - Snapshot Report) is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of All-terrain vehicles (ATVs) & Side-by-Sides, Snowmobiles, and Parts, garments & accessories.
 
During FY 2013, ATV and Side-by-Sides contributed 45% of sales and Snowmobiles accounted for 39%.
 
Disappointing Results and Downbeat Guidance
 
ACAT reported it Q4 FY 2014 results on May 15. Net loss for the quarter was $1.5 million or $0.12 per share, worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate for a loss of $0.09 per share. This was ACAT’s third consecutive quarterly miss.
 
The guidance provided by the management for full-year fiscal 2015 sales and earnings was also below street estimates. They expect sales to be in the range of $775 million to $786 million and earnings to be in the range of in the $2.33 to $2.43 per share.
 
Downward Revisions
 
After disappointing results and guidance, analysts have cut earnings estimates for current and the next fiscal year. Zacks Consensus Estimates for FY2015 and FY2015 are down to $2.40 per share and $2.78 per share from $3.34 per share and $3.70 per share respectively, 30 days ago.
 
The following chart shows the declining estimates trend for ACAT. Declining estimates sent ACAT back to Zacks Rank # 5 (Strong Sell) last month.


 
CEO Resigns
 
On June 2, ACAT announced that Claude Jordan had stepped down as the chairman and CEO.
Chris Twomey, who had served as CEO earlier, took over as the interim chairman and CEO while the board started the search for a permanent CEO. ACAT also announced that its CFO Tm Delmore, has postponed his previously announced retirement during this transition period
 
Better Play?
 

Investors seeking exposure to the industry could look at Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation (SWHC) which has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

The Bottom Line

ACAT was earlier featured as the ‘Bear of the Day’ on February 25. The shares are down more than 20% since then.

While the company is trying to launch innovative new products as well as expand into new market segments and international markets, near-term headwinds will impact the share price. Top management transition adds further uncertainty to the outlook.
 
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