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Earnings estimate revisions are the most powerful force impacting stock prices. Stocks with rising earnings estimates, as a group, have materially outperformed the S&P 500 year-after-year. Similarly, stocks with falling earnings estimates have underperformed the S&P 500 year-after-year.
Zacks has made the process of identifying stocks with changing earnings estimates easy and very profitable. Since 1988, a portfolio constructed of Zacks #1 Rank stocks has generated an average annual return of 26%. Even during the 2000-2002 bear market, the strategy generated positive returns.
This short guide explains how earnings estimates are created and, more importantly, how investors can use revisions in earnings estimates to invest more profitably.1
"I can honestly say that I have never felt as confident in my trading, nor have I been as profitable, as I have by using Zacks."
(A version of this guide formatted for printing is also available.)
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At the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system. Since 1986 it has nearly tripled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +26% per year. These returns cover a period from 1986-2011 and were examined and attested by Baker Tilly, an independent accounting firm.
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