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The US vs. the World

I recently talked about this being a consolidation period as investors wrestle over conflicting information. The confusion boils down to:

The US economy is improving while the rest of the World looks to be slipping.

The concern for US based investors is how much of the problems from around the globe will come to our shores. And if it did, then yes, it would mean lower GDP, earnings and stock prices.

I think the rest of the world is not as bad as headlines appear (read: China is fine for now and Cyprus is but a fly on an elephant's back). Most importantly, the US economy has proven to be incredibly resilient to outside shocks because of a large domestic consumer base.

This should equate to a continuation of Muddle Through Growth in the US (approx. +2% GDP). And that should provide ample reason for the bull market to continue pressing higher over time.

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Steve Reitmeister

Executive VP - Zacks.com

Zacks Investment Research

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