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Wednesday morning/s selloff and bounce accomplished a few things:
• Proved there is still a line a few miles long of portfolio managers who need stocks
• Showed bears that the big correction to make their dreams come true is still on hold
• Established more higher lows on the S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq since March 19.
The reasons that "bears can't get a break" have to do with forward expectations about the economy and the market. Those expectations keep getting lifted, whether for housing and jobs or for capital investment and earnings.
And in this environment, portfolio managers (PMs) can't afford to be left behind as the best asset class forges new highs. Could a spring swoon be around the corner to spoil this party? After a 16% run off the November lows, seasonal profit-keeping effects could certainly take over.
But, what's different this spring – I know, I know, it's rarely very different - is that the economy is firing on all cylinders and the upside surprises put the risks for PMs to the upside too. Few of them want to be left behind when the S&P prints all time highs on its way to 1600 and beyond.
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