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The weak Employment Situation report on Friday was a cherry on top of an ugly serving of poor economic reports. And so investors headed for the hills early in the session with a late surge leading to a not so painful -0.43% decline on the day.
You have probably heard me rail against the government's sloppy handling of these monthly employment reports. And so I don't really believe things are as bad as the headline miss would suggest. Looking out over the last two months, we still have nearly 178,000 jobs added per month. That is above the 150K level needed to continue reducing the unemployment rate.
Unfortunately investors have seen enough yellow flags of late to press pause on the rally. Next up for consideration will be earnings season which starts Monday after hours with Alcoa. However, the larger flow of meaningful announcements doesn't start in earnest til the week of April 15th. So expect sideways, to slightly negative action, until the next clear catalyst emerges.
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