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Historically speaking, September has the worst track record for stocks of any month. That didn't stop the S&P from rising +0.42% on the first session of the new month.
However, stocks were up over 1% out of the gate because it was assumed that President Obama seeking congressional support for an armed response to Syria meant lower likelihood of that actually taking place. Then just before lunch Boehner, and other top officials, were vocal in throwing their weight behind the measure. Shares lost some luster from there.
Pushing that aside for the time being, the slate of manufacturing data on the day was strong. Europe, China and the US are all seeing solid gains on that front. Even better, the forward looking New Orders component points to more good times ahead.
The above paragraph is the good. The one above that is the bad. And unfortunately the ugly may be what is happening now at the Fukushima nuclear plant in Japan. The latest news is that recent radiation levels were measured 18 times above the count from just 2 months ago.
I am not typically an alarmist. But if the situation gets worse there, then it becomes another big question mark for investors around the world. And as we know investors don't like question marks. This has me becoming just a touch more cautious in the short term even as I remain steadfastly bullish for the long term.
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