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The Problem with Transparency is

The problem with transparency is... transparency.

Bernanke for years took great pride in being the most transparent Fed Chairman in history. Early on there were benefits as enough investors believed him and the markets reacted in orderly fashion. Now he sees the downside of clear communication because his signaling of a forthcoming taper had bond rates nearly double in short order. No small feat.

This happened because bond investors took him at this word. There was no need to wait for him to taper once or twice or seventeen times. They got busy and acted as if the full taper were in already, which was the right move on their part. This was a much faster and stronger move than the Fed ever expected. So now they want to be coy about when the taper will actually start.

Sorry Ben. The verdict is in. The taper will come sooner or later and bond rates will stay aloft... as they should be. So enough gamesmanship. Start the taper at the late October meeting and let's move on with our lives.

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