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4 Event Risks for the Rally

The hurdle on Wednesday was the Fed's April announcement and the risk of an earlier than expected rate hike. The removal of a couple phrases about global risks means they are more likely to raise rates in the future. Or at least that was the immediate interpretation.

Oddly both short term and long term bond rates went lower after the initial spike. This improved the case for stocks which logged modest gains. The outlier was the dollar strengthening, which typically doesn't happen when rates go lower.

Often the initial reaction to Fed news is not the same as the lasting reaction by investors. What happens the following session will be much more telling.

Right now this is a market that refuses to go down. And there is a growing feeling that making new highs is inevitable. However, Kevin Cook points out that there are serious fault lines on the horizon that could shake the market from its lofty perch. Thus, now is an important time to read his latest commentary.

4 Event Risks for the Rally

Best,

Steve Reitmeister

Executive Vice President, Zacks Investment Research

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