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Tale of the Tape

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Can Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Keep the Earnings Streak Alive This Quarter?
December 27, 2013

MTDR

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Looking for a stock that might be in a good position to beat earnings at its next report? Consider Matador Resources Company (MTDR - Snapshot Report), a firm in the Oil and Gas industry, which could be a great candidate for another beat.

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, MTDR has beaten estimates by at least 50% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, MTDR expected to earn 12 cents per share, while it actually produced earnings of 32 cents per share, a beat of 166.7%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of 30 cents per share, when it actually saw earnings of 45 cents per share instead, representing a 50% positive surprise.

Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Matador Resources Company. In fact, the Earnings ESP for MTDR is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for MTDR, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of 12.50%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that MTDR has a great Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. And when you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70% of the time, so it seems pretty likely that MTDR could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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