Early February in Chicago is about two things for me; Cold weather and the Auto Show. I remember going as a kid and coming back with a sweet Lamborghini Diablo poster I stuck up on my wall and dreamed about. Just like the one Leo crawled into in “Wolf of Wall Street.” The showstopper for me was BMWs i8 electric supercar beast. It’s like looking into the future, but wait, the future is here in July? All the glitz, glamour, and Carnauba wax got me thinking. Automakers have made strides toward energy efficiency over the last several years, what’s going on with the trucking business? Are these efficient motor designs making their way over the commercial end?
Maybe it is actually the other way around. Maybe the trucking industry made changes years ago and the consumer segment is just catching on. Honestly, I didn’t have a great understanding of the trucking biz so I dug in a little bit. Little did I know I would find some of the most exciting earnings stories I’ve heard in a long time. Couple that with the best price and consensus chart I have ever seen and you’ve got one heck of story.
An interesting feature in new high-end import cars is the “Night vision” option. Think infrared googles only the image appears on your in-dash screen. This can help drivers avoid hitting that deer around the corner in the dark or avoid the nasty pothole on Ashland Ave (Good luck!). Turns out that trucks have had these kinds of systems for years. Gentex Corp (GNTX - Snapshot Report) develops and markets electro-optic products, Night Vision Safety automatic dimming mirrors, and a whole line of products that help keep the roads safer at night. The earnings story is great with recent upside revisions and next year growth numbers through the roof. This Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stock looks good fundamentally. The price and consensus chart gives me a warm fuzzy feeling about this company and certainly puts it on my radar.
The chart makes me feel good too. I didn’t miss the boat and I’ll get another shot at it. Right now we are trading below the 25x5 which means I can wait. Also, I have an obvious price level to enter at right around $30. Classic example of a breakout that comes back down to retest. See that wick that came down to touch $30 at the end of January? That tells me $30 is right around the corner again, just be patient. Aside from that, the stochastic buy was right on but I’m not looking for a move from $30.50 to topside resistance at the 25x5 just two bucks away. I’m a momentum wave rider and the surf is not up right now.
At the Jeep display, a professional driver took willing participants up a grade that looked over 45 degrees steep. Jeep does a great job of promoting how rugged and reliable their trucks are. The commercial equivalent of this is Oshkosh Corp (OSK - Snapshot Report). I thought they made kids overalls, but apparently that’s a different company. OSK manufactures specialty access equipment, fire, emergency and military vehicles and vehicle bodies. Earnings have been looking up for this company as well, although not as high as the Jeep headlights I saw. OSK is a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) with solid fundamentals and a great name in the commercial vehicle market.
The chart is setting up nicely. A big spike in late January has already cleared the way above $58. We have the stochastics oversold and crossing bullish as the stock finds support at the 25x5. I wouldn’t call it textbook perfection, but we are getting there. A keen eye could put a stop in on the south side of $50 and have a nice risk/reward situation.
I know what you’re all thinking by now. Where’s this “best price and consensus chart I have ever seen?” That belongs to Magna (MGA - Analyst Report). Unfortunately I don’t have a fun anecdote from my night at the show to give as an intro on this one. Magna is an independent supplier of OE components, assemblies, modules and systems for cars and light trucks. It’s in the same industry that is in the Top 26% of the Zacks Industry Rank as the other two stocks mentioned. The fundamental rank for us here is a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
Now totally eliminate the P&C from your head. This stock could break out tomorrow. Above the 25x5, got a stochastic buy from oversold three days ago at $83, and we are approaching a double top with support beneath us at $84-$85. If it takes out the previous high and sees $90 then the stock goes to $100. The pullback we had the beginning of February helped to establish a new bullish support trend line down through the December lows and upwards to the heavens. Earnings are slated for March 3rd and could be the catalyst to push this to the triple digits.