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Here's Why Investors Should Hold Caterpillar (CAT) Stock Now

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Caterpillar Inc. (CAT - Free Report) has been delivering growth in its top and bottom lines for eight straight quarters despite inflationary pressures and supply-chain snarls that have been plaguing the industry at large. The outperformance was aided by improving demand in CAT’s end markets and cost-control efforts. A strong liquidity position, and the company’s ongoing investments in its expanded offerings, services and digital initiatives are expected to contribute to growth.

Let’s delve deeper and analyze the factors that make this stock worth holding on to.

Solid Q4 Results & Robust Backlog Levels: Caterpillar’s adjusted earnings per share were $3.86 in fourth-quarter 2022, which marked a 43.5% year-over-year improvement. Strong demand across most of its end markets and a favorable price realization led to improved earnings despite unfavorable manufacturing costs in the quarter. The backlog at the end of the quarter was an impressive $30 billion. This bodes well for CAT’s top-line performance in the days ahead.

Positive Earnings Surprise History: Caterpillar’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, the average being 8.95%.

Upbeat Growth Projections: An uptrend in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company echoes a positive sentiment. The consensus estimate for 2023 earnings has moved 1% upward over the past 60 days and is pegged at $15.67. It suggests growth of 13.2% from the year-ago reported figure. The consensus mark for fiscal 2023 earnings stands at $16.64, indicating a year-over-year improvement of 6.2%. It has moved up 1% over the past 60 days.

CAT has an estimated long-term earnings growth rate of 12%.

Solid Demand to Aid Top-Line Growth

In North America, demand in the residential and non-residential construction sectors is likely to bolster demand for Caterpillar’s construction equipment. The perked-up investment in roads, bridges, airports and waterways as a result of the U.S. Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act represents a huge opportunity for CAT. In the Asia Pacific (barring China) region, higher commodity prices, housing strength and increased government spending on infrastructure will support construction equipment sales. Increased construction activity will drive machine demand in EAME and Latin America.

In Resource Industries, mining orders are on an uptrend, auguring well for the Resource Industries segment. Miners are increasingly relying on autonomous systems to enhance productivity, and reduce costs and emissions. Therefore, Caterpillar is enhancing its autonomous capabilities and bringing innovative products to the market. In the Energy & Transportation segment, strong order rates in most applications are expected to support revenues.

Strong Balance Sheet

Its cash and liquidity position remains strong, with the company generating an operating cash flow of $7.8 billion in 2022. It ended 2022 with cash and short-term investments of $7 billion. ME&T debt stood at $9.5 billion. Compared to the base of 4.5 in 2017, its times interest earned ratio has improved substantially over the years and is currently at 9.7.

Last year, CAT hiked its quarterly dividend 8% to $1.20 per share. It maintained its status as a dividend aristocrat, having continuing its streak of paying higher dividends to its shareholders for 28 straight years. CAT’s dividend yield and payout ratio are higher than its peers. Over the past four years, CAT has returned an average of 99% of its ME&T free cash flow to its shareholders, in sync with its target of returning all its ME&T free cash flow to its shareholders over time.

Growth Strategies in Place

Caterpillar continues to focus on customers and the future by steadily investing in digital capabilities, connecting assets and job sites, and developing next-generation productive and efficient products. CAT is consistently investing in expanding its offerings and services, and digital initiatives like e-commerce to drive long-term growth.

Price Performance

Shares of Caterpillar have gained 6.4% in the past year compared with the industry’s growth of 6.7%.

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Stocks to Consider

Some better-ranked stocks from the Industrial Products sector are OI Glass (OI - Free Report) , Encore Wire (WIRE - Free Report) , and Illinois Tool Works (ITW - Free Report) . OI and WIRE flaunt a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) at present, and ITW has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

OI Glass has an average trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 16.4%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OI’s 2023 earnings is pegged at $2.57 per share. This indicates an 11.7% increase from the prior-year reported figure. The consensus estimate for 2023 earnings has moved 16% north in the past 60 days. OI’s shares gained 74.1% in the last year.

Encore Wire has an average trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 146.8%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WIRE’s 2023 earnings is pegged at $19.76 per share. The consensus estimate for 2023 earnings has moved north by 1.7% in the past 60 days. Its shares gained 61.3% in the last year.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Illinois Tool Works’ fiscal 2023 earnings per share is pegged at $9.61, suggesting an increase of 4.8% from that reported in the last year. The consensus estimate for fiscal 2023 earnings rose 4% in the last 60 days. ITW has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 0.9%. Its shares gained 16.9% in the last year.

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