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inflation: Archive
On the Last Trading Day of 2023, Looking Ahead to Jobs Week
by Mark Vickery
As always, we look for clues as to where things are headed in 2024, and next week brings a fresh Jobs Week.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
inflation interest-rate staffing
Labor, Housing Stay Healthy Going into 2024
by Mark Vickery
The Dow is striking new all-time highs (not seen in almost two years, by the way), and the S&P is too, but we're still off November 2021 all-time highs on the Nasdaq and Russell.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
home-builder home-buying-apps inflation interest-rate staffing
Santa Claus Rally Losing Steam; Jobless Claims Up a Bit
by Mark Vickery
The economy has done better than expected through 2023 -- how long can this continue?
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance inflation internet-content staffing
2023 Rewind: Technicals (Part 3)
by Andrew Rocco
On Wall Street, price action is king. 2023 provided plenty of valuable lessons to investors on the technical front.
MSFTNegative Net Change QQQPositive Net Change COINNegative Net Change
earnings inflation interest-rate investing
A Couple Important Points About 2024
by Mark Vickery
Bullishness in the market and economic structures for 2024 will not trigger a cut from the Fed.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate
After Big Gains, Is a "Santa Claus Rally" Possible?
by Mark Vickery
Any Santa Claus rally from here would likely be a resuming of bullish narratives followed over the past couple weeks.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
home-builder home-buying-apps inflation interest-rate staffing
Bouncing Back for the Day, Quarter and Full Year
by Mark Vickery
All in all, it's been a lovely couple months on the stock market; you can say Christmas came early this year.
NKEPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
apparel consumer-discretionary consumer-staples earnings inflation retail
Bring on Santa! Economic Prints (Mostly) Favorable
by Mark Vickery
After Q3 GDP, jobless claims and Philly Fed, results in the markets have been to drive higher while yield rates on 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds have been falling.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
basic-materials inflation interest-rate staffing
Could Supply Chain Disruptions End the Party?
by Mark Vickery
It's likely some profit-booking going on in the sell-off, but it's always worth it to pay attention to what's going on.
GISNegative Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
consumer-staples inflation interest-rate transportation
Housing Starts/Permits Healthy, Rally Continues
by Mark Vickery
Housing Starts results brought the best tally since May, and the second-highest print of the year.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
construction home-builder inflation interest-rate
3 Highly Ranked Retail Stocks to Buy at Year's End
by Shaun Pruitt
Rising earnings estimates are a reminder that the impressive price performances of these retail stocks should continue as 2024 approaches.
DECKNegative Net Change CASYPositive Net Change PDDPositive Net Change JDPositive Net Change BABAPositive Net Change
apparel e-commerce inflation investing retail
Pre-Markets Take Profits to Conclude Momentous Trading Week
by Mark Vickery
Melting inflation with relatively steady employment and increasing productivity have provided a recipe for a "soft landing."
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
basic-materials industrial-products inflation interest-rate
3 Exciting Small Cap Stocks with Dividend Yields Over 5%
by Shaun Pruitt
As broader markets continue to rally on the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged, many small-cap stocks are joining the party.
DLXPositive Net Change JHGPositive Net Change FATPositive Net Change
business-services dividend-investing dividends finance inflation interest-rate payments restaurants retail
Economic Data Supports Fed Positivity
by Mark Vickery
We appear to be on the other side of the mountain, and market participants are rejoicing.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate retail staffing
Fed Keeps Rates Steady, Infers 3 Rate Cuts in 2024
by Mark Vickery
In just 10 minutes following the release of the FOMC statement this afternoon, major indices all leapt higher.
ADBEPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate
PPI Flat Month Over Month, +2.0% Year Over Year
by Mark Vickery
Year over year PPI has come down precipitously, from +9.6% in April of 2022 and +5.7% in January of this year.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
basic-materials industrial-products inflation interest-rate
4 Sector ETFs to Win Despite Slowing November Inflation Data
by Sanghamitra Saha
The annual inflation rate in the United States slowed to 3.1% in November 2023, the lowest reading in five months.
VNQPositive Net Change XTNPositive Net Change IHINegative Net Change EATZNegative Net Change
etfs inflation
What's the Fed Going to Say About All This Bullishness?
by Mark Vickery
Fed Chair Powell might make quick work of the notion of early 2024 rate cuts in a mere phrase or two.
BANegative Net Change JPMNegative Net Change VNegative Net Change IBMPositive Net Change XOMNegative Net Change ORCLNegative Net Change ADBEPositive Net Change
earnings finance inflation interest-rate
November CPI Roughly In-Line, Pre-Markets Cool
by Mark Vickery
The "Inflation Rate" was directly in-line with estimates for November: 3.1%, down 10 bps month over month, and the one shining beacon of evidence for the narrative that inflation is coming down.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples finance inflation interest-rate
Market Rally Grows Legs as Breadth Improves: Stocks to Watch
by Bryan Hayes
The rebound points to a higher probability that the major indexes will ultimately eclipse their all-time highs sooner rather than later.
TOLNegative Net Change LENNegative Net Change
construction earnings home-builder inflation interest-rate investing tech-stocks
Markets Trade Up Ahead of CPI, Fed Meeting
by Mark Vickery
CPI numbers tomorrow are not expected to spike hotter; even if they do, one set of data points would almost assuredly not be enough for the Fed to consider making a move.
MPositive Net Change ORCLNegative Net Change CASYPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples earnings inflation interest-rate
BLS Shows 199K New Jobs; Unemployment Down to 3.7%
by Mark Vickery
This 199K figure is roughly in the median of the past several months, which had been roughly double during the Great Reopening period.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
earnings inflation interest-rate staffing
ADP 103K, Productivity +5.2%: Goldilocks-Adjacent
by Mark Vickery
At roughly 100K private-sector job gains per month, we're still on track for a soft landing in the overall economy.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
inflation interest-rate staffing
Stocks Waver to Begin December: Here's What to Expect
by Bryan Hayes
Periods of low volatility are inevitably followed by periods of high volatility.
RCLNegative Net Change SPOTNegative Net Change COINNegative Net Change
bitcoin blockchain consumer-discretionary cryptocurrency earnings inflation interest-rate investing tech-stocks travel-leisure
Friday Pre-Market Quiets, Indices Slightly Lower
by Mark Vickery
The past month of trading has been extraordinary, with the S&P +7.4%, both the Dow and Russell +7.9% and the Nasdaq +8.1%.
CRMPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change
construction earnings inflation interest-rate