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Ahead of Wall Street: Archive
Housing Starts/Permits Healthy, Rally Continues
by Mark Vickery
Housing Starts results brought the best tally since May, and the second-highest print of the year.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
construction home-builder inflation interest-rate
"Pivot Party" Keeps Holiday Season Rolling
by Mark Vickery
The old adage that the year before a presidential election is always best for the stock market has most definitely borne out in 2023.
XNegative Net Change CLFPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance home-builder
A Full Week with PCE, First Q4 Earnings Reports
by Mark Vickery
It's been an undeniably great year, especially with this late-year rally pulling the Dow and small-cap Russell 2000 along.
CCLPositive Net Change NKEPositive Net Change PAYXPositive Net Change FDXNegative Net Change KMXNegative Net Change
earnings finance home-builder transportation
Pre-Markets Take Profits to Conclude Momentous Trading Week
by Mark Vickery
Melting inflation with relatively steady employment and increasing productivity have provided a recipe for a "soft landing."
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
basic-materials industrial-products inflation interest-rate
Markets Stay on a Roll; COST, LEN Beat on Earnings
by Mark Vickery
Economic data has continued shedding excess inflation like a recent prescription of Ozempic can do for one's physique.
COSTPositive Net Change LENPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-staples earnings home-builder retail
Economic Data Supports Fed Positivity
by Mark Vickery
We appear to be on the other side of the mountain, and market participants are rejoicing.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate retail staffing
Fed Keeps Rates Steady, Infers 3 Rate Cuts in 2024
by Mark Vickery
In just 10 minutes following the release of the FOMC statement this afternoon, major indices all leapt higher.
ADBEPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate
PPI Flat Month Over Month, +2.0% Year Over Year
by Mark Vickery
Year over year PPI has come down precipitously, from +9.6% in April of 2022 and +5.7% in January of this year.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
basic-materials industrial-products inflation interest-rate
What's the Fed Going to Say About All This Bullishness?
by Mark Vickery
Fed Chair Powell might make quick work of the notion of early 2024 rate cuts in a mere phrase or two.
BANegative Net Change JPMPositive Net Change VPositive Net Change IBMPositive Net Change XOMNegative Net Change ORCLPositive Net Change ADBEPositive Net Change
earnings finance inflation interest-rate
November CPI Roughly In-Line, Pre-Markets Cool
by Mark Vickery
The "Inflation Rate" was directly in-line with estimates for November: 3.1%, down 10 bps month over month, and the one shining beacon of evidence for the narrative that inflation is coming down.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples finance inflation interest-rate
Markets Trade Up Ahead of CPI, Fed Meeting
by Mark Vickery
CPI numbers tomorrow are not expected to spike hotter; even if they do, one set of data points would almost assuredly not be enough for the Fed to consider making a move.
MPositive Net Change ORCLPositive Net Change CASYPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples earnings inflation interest-rate
Consumer Prices & the Fed Decision
by Mark Vickery
Could Tuesday's CPI (and Wednesday's PPI) augment the Fed's thinking on changing rates?
DRIPositive Net Change COSTPositive Net Change ADBEPositive Net Change LENPositive Net Change CASYPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples restaurants retail
BLS Shows 199K New Jobs; Unemployment Down to 3.7%
by Mark Vickery
This 199K figure is roughly in the median of the past several months, which had been roughly double during the Great Reopening period.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
earnings inflation interest-rate staffing
Lululemon, Broadcom Beat After-Hours; Jobs Report Tomorrow
by Mark Vickery
Tomorrow morning is the big Employment Situation report, expected to bring in 190K new jobs for November.
ADPPositive Net Change LULUPositive Net Change AVGONegative Net Change
apparel earnings semiconductor staffing
Jobless Claims Cool Week Over Week; Pre-Markets Up
by Mark Vickery
After seeing last week's headline Continuing Claims spike up north of 1.9 million, today's number is back down to 1.861 million.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
staffing
ADP 103K, Productivity +5.2%: Goldilocks-Adjacent
by Mark Vickery
At roughly 100K private-sector job gains per month, we're still on track for a soft landing in the overall economy.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
inflation interest-rate staffing
JOLTS Data Tame, Most Indices See Profits Booked
by Mark Vickery
JOLTS results came in lower than expected: 8.7 million domestic job openings fell -617K from the previous month's downwardly revised 9.4 million.
TOLPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary staffing
Pre-Markets Stay Negative Ahead of JOLTS Report
by Mark Vickery
Today marks the start of so-called "Jobs Week," with Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for October out at 10 am ET.
ADPPositive Net Change AZOPositive Net Change TOLPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary real-estate staffing
Small-Cap Russell Leads the Way, Jobs Data to Come
by Mark Vickery
Only the small-cap Russell 2000 managed to stay above zero the entire trading day.
RHHBYPositive Net Change ALKPositive Net Change HAPositive Net Change
airlines industrial-products
Pre-Markets Lower Ahead of Big Jobs Week
by Mark Vickery
Without predicting any surprises one way or another, jobs data is expected to remain overall complimentary to a good economy.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
cryptocurrency finance staffing
Friday Pre-Market Quiets, Indices Slightly Lower
by Mark Vickery
The past month of trading has been extraordinary, with the S&P +7.4%, both the Dow and Russell +7.9% and the Nasdaq +8.1%.
CRMPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
construction earnings inflation interest-rate
Big Day on the Dow, +520 Points; ULTA Beats & Raises
by Mark Vickery
The Dow cleaned up this session: +520 points, +1.47%, led by Salesforce (CRM) coming off its impressive Q3 earnings report yesterday.
BANegative Net Change CRMPositive Net Change UNHPositive Net Change ULTAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary earnings home-buying-apps
Big Inflation Data Morning: PCE, Income & Spending, Jobless Claims
by Mark Vickery
PCE is behaving as well as can be expected, spending and income remain reasonably OK, but longer-term joblessness appears to be a developing economic headwind.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples inflation interest-rate staffing
Markets Mixed as November Trading Nearly Over; CRM, SNOW Beat; PVH Mixed
by Mark Vickery
We're now one day from closing out the month of November, and gains to this point have been excellent.
CRMPositive Net Change PVHPositive Net Change SNOWPositive Net Change
advertising apparel cloud-computing earnings software
Pre-Markets Up on Stronger Q3 GDP, GM Surge
by Mark Vickery
General Motors (GM) shares are up a strong +9% at this pre-market hour, as the company announced some new bold steps clearly meant to infuse its stock price.
GMPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
auto-tires-trucks consumer-discretionary consumer-staples self-driving-cars