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Mark Vickery

Big Inflation Data Morning: PCE, Income & Spending, Jobless Claims

PCE is behaving as well as can be expected, spending and income remain reasonably OK, but longer-term joblessness appears to be a developing economic headwind.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobless Claims, Durable Goods, Deere Q4 Earnings All Drop

New jobless claims for last week dropped to 209K -- 20K fewer than analysts were looking for.

DEPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Long-Term Jobless Claims Highest in 2 Years; Walmart Meets, Macy's Beats

Continuing Claims rose for the eighth-straight week, to 1.865 million from a slight downward revision.

MSFTPositive Net Change MPositive Net Change WMTNegative Net Change METANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Strong on Higher Bond Rates, Mixed Earnings

While this positive sentiment is welcome, we note bond yield rates going higher this morning.

AZNPositive Net Change TPRNo Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobs Cut in Half to 150K; Unemployment +3.9%

Today's headline BLS number is 150K, below the 170-180K expected, and well below the downwardly revised 297K the previous month.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Markets Up Big Again; Apple (AAPL) Beats Modestly

Bond yield rates came down notably from their multi-year highs, with the 2-year back below 5% and the 10-year down to 4.663%.

AAPLPositive Net Change EXPEPositive Net Change BKNGNegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobless Claims, Q3 Productivity Up - So Are the Pre-Markets

Much of what we see up on major indices this morning came after much of this economic data was reported.

ADPPositive Net Change SBUXNegative Net Change CROXPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

ADP Jobs +113K Lower than Expected; Fed at 2pm

This means we're still creating more than the amount of monthly private-sector jobs the economy needs to offset retiring Baby Boomers.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Q3 GDP +4.9%, Earnings Beats for UPS, Bristol Myers and Honeywell

In the preliminary Q3 GDP print, consumer spending jumped to +4.0% while private domestic investment roared ahead +8.4%.

AMZNNegative Net Change INTCNegative Net Change FNegative Net Change BMYPositive Net Change HONPositive Net Change UPSNegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Q3 Earnings Mixed, Big Results Expected After-Hours

The Dow is the sole major index in the green this morning, boosted by Microsoft's strong performance yesterday afternoon.

BAPositive Net Change AAPLPositive Net Change IBMPositive Net Change ADPPositive Net Change TMOPositive Net Change NOWPositive Net Change METANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobs Numbers Double to 336K on Low Wage Growth

Yes, folks - the "good news is bad news" scenario is not dead yet.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Markets Just Miss Closing in the Green

Tomorrow's Employment Situation is the biggest economic news event of the week, and we hold out hope it may have a positive effect on Friday's trading.

NVDANegative Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change LEVIPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Initial, Continuing Jobless Claims Down Again

What we continue to see is overall strength, even if private-sector payrolls yesterday melted down to sub-100K for the first time in quite a while.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Markets Close in the Green; Services Prints Modest

Even though it was a little topsy-turvy on the indices, all four majors finished in the green.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

ADP +89K, Cutting Estimates in Half; Pre-Markets Up

ADP's September headline is much lower than expected, half the 150-160K estimates we were seeing before the release.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

GOP Speaker Ousted, Markets Fall Again

Even big jobs numbers later this week might not be big enough to counteract the dysfunction at the nation's capitol.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Down on 4.7% 10-Year; JOLTS Data This Morning

The 10-year bond yield continues to be an albatross around the neck of equities trading, currently bringing returns of 4.71%.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

John Blank

A Nonfarm Payroll Week: Global Week Ahead

Markets kick off the all-important final quarter of the year after a game-changer of a last few months, driven largely by a +30% surge in oil prices.

CEGPositive Net Change ROSTPositive Net Change ONNegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

New Jobless Claims 204K, Q2 GDP +2.1%, Pre-Markets Still Down

Tomorrow will be the final trading day of September -- a month we'll all be happy to exit.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

On Work Stoppages and Stock Market Futures

The last time we saw one a federal government shutdown was over Christmas and New Year's in 2018-19.

MCOPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobless Claims, Philly Fed, U.S. Deficit All Shrink

Through the first three weeks of September, the month is living up to its reputation as a bull-market killer.

FDXPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Early Traders Seek Value Ahead of Fed Decision

Taking Fed Chair Powell's temperature on his outlook through the rest of the year will take center stage this afternoon, likely between 2:15-2:30pm ET.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

PPI, Retail Sales, Jobless Claims All Higher

PPI came in hotter on headline for the month of August than analysts had been expecting: +0.7% is 30 basis points (bps) higher than the +0.4% consensus.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Markets Flatten Post-CPI Report; PPI, Jobless Claims Thursday

Even though CPI numbers were a little warmer than we'd have preferred, on year over year core this was the lowest read in almost two years.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Drifting Ahead of CPI, UAW News

Core CPI tomorrow is expected to take another step down, and the Fed is expected to pause interest rates next week.

FNegative Net Change GMNo Net Change STLAPositive Net Change