Back to top

Image: Bigstock

Starbucks Replaces CEO: Time to Buy?

Read MoreHide Full Article

While the overall market has delivered an impressive return in 2024, the same can’t be said for all, particularly Starbucks (SBUX - Free Report) . Shares have faced consistent pressure amid worries surrounding China and declining same store sales.

However, shares popped following news that Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG - Free Report) CEO Brian Niccol would be replacing Laxman Narasimhan as CEO of the company. Conversely, CMG shares fell following the news.

In addition, it's critical to note that Brian Niccol was previously served as CEO of Taco Bell, which is operated by Yum Brands ((YUM - Free Report) ).

But can the company turn around? Let’s take a closer look at how it currently stacks up.

 

Starbucks Steals Brian Niccol

Starbucks’ most recent quarterly release was met with modest positivity, with shares seeing an initial positive move before reversing lower in the days following. The company posted somewhat mixed top and bottom line results, meeting the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate but modestly falling short of sales expectations.

Earnings revisions have been taken modestly lower across the board over recent months.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Sales fell 1% year-over-year, whereas EPS declined 7%. Global comparable store sales came in weak, falling 3% from the year-ago period alongside a 5% decline in comparable transactions. Higher prices have helped offset the slump, though, with its average ticket moving 2% higher.

The average ticket increase does raise some eyebrows, leaving some to wonder if consumers can increasingly pay higher prices after years of already doing so.  

As mentioned previously, woes in China have been felt heavily by the company, with the recent quarterly print again confirming the trend – China comparable store sales fell 14% alongside a 7% decline in both average ticket and comparable transactions.

As shown below, the company’s sales recovered nicely post-pandemic but have slowed recently.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Chipotle Shares Provide Stunning Returns

CMG shares have been considerably strong over the years, reflecting one of the top-performing restaurant stocks overall. Though its recent set of quarterly results brought about some profit-taking, the performance disparity has been immense over the past year, as shown below.

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Unlike SBUX, Chipotle has seen notable success in its established locations, seeing comparable restaurant sales growth of 11% throughout its latest period. Revenue growth, in general, was also strong, jumping nearly 20% higher to $3 billion.

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

CMG has also enjoyed margin expansion over the years, unlocking higher profitability thanks to consistent cost efficiencies. Please note that the chart below tracks the company’s gross margin on a trailing twelve-month basis.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

All in all, CMG has been firing on all cylinders throughout recent periods, reflected by its bullish share movement.

 

Putting Everything Together

Starbucks (SBUX - Free Report) investors got much-needed relief following the announcement of a new CEO, who comes from none other than the highly successful Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG - Free Report) .

Of course, time will tell if the CEO rotation ends up paying dividends for SBUX, but given Brian Niccol’s track record, the company certainly appears to be in good hands. Still, it's worth noting that SBUX's earnings outlook remains hazy, and investors should be instead waiting for positive earnings estimate revisions to hit the tape, signaling a bullish change in analyst sentiment.


See More Zacks Research for These Tickers


Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:


Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) - free report >>

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) - free report >>

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) - free report >>

Published in