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Bear of the Day: Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA)

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Key Takeaways

  • PZZA's earnings outlook has tanked over the last few years.
  • Its most recent downward EPS revisions land it a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
  • The pizza giant's stock is down 70% in the last five years, and its revenue is set to fall in 2026.

Pizza giant, Papa John’s International, Inc. (PZZA - Free Report) , has seen its earnings estimates steadily fall off a cliff over the last several years, driven by declining comparable sales, cost pressures, and heavy competition from its rivals such as Domino’s.

PZZA’s most recent wave of downward earnings revisions earn it a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).

PZZA Stock is Down 70%: It’s Not Time to Buy the Dip Yet

Papa John’s boasts that it is the third-largest pizza delivery company on the planet, with more than 6,000 restaurants in approximately 50 countries and territories. The firm operates across four main segments: Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Franchised Restaurants, North America Restaurants, and International Restaurants.

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PZZA revenue dropped 3.6% in FY24 and slipped slightly in 2025. Its North America comparable sales fell 2% in FY25, with Domestic Company-owned restaurants down 3% and North America franchised restaurants down 2%. Worst still, its GAAP earnings tanked 64% YoY and its adjusted EPS fell 39%.

Most recently, its first-quarter 2026 revenue fell 7.7% YoY, with North America comparable sales down 6.4%. “In North America, results were in line with our expectations as we navigate the cautious consumer environment and promotional QSR marketplace,” CEO and President Todd Penegor said in prepared remarks.

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Its adjusted EPS also slipped 11% YoY, falling 20% short of our estimate. Papa John’s earnings outlook has dropped significantly over the last 90 days, and its most accurate estimate for FY27 came in 9% below the already beaten-down consensus.

This backdrop earns PZZA a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) and has prolonged its string of negative EPS revisions over the last several years.

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Papa John’s faces intense competition from Domino’s (DPZ - Free Report) , Pizza Hut, and other chains, forcing discounting and promotions. The company is also struggling, alongside many others, with slower consumer spending as consumers around the U.S. pull back on non-essentials as inflation continues.  

Some investors might consider taking a bite out of Papa John’s stock since it is already down 70% over the past five years. But it could be best for investors to stay away from Papa John’s shares, at least for now.

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