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After Three Up Days In A Row, Stocks Poised For A Positive Week

Stocks added to their gains yesterday making it three days in a row. After turning positive for the week intraday, they finished just under that mark by the close. But they are within striking distance of closing up for the week with one more day to go.

While there's a degree of confusion over what happens next with the trade talks, there's also a degree of optimism that a deal between the two largest economies will eventually get done.

In the meantime, our economy and the market looks great. And the outlooks for both look strong as well.

And they should. It's estimated that the first round of tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods, and the $60 billion of U.S. goods, would only shave two tenths to three tenths of a percent off of our GDP. Although, it would likely knock a half percent off of China's. That number climbs to four tenths to a half percent off of our GDP if the U.S. levies tariffs on the additional $325 billion it's threatened. And that would likely shave more than one full percentage point off of China's GDP. But with our full year GDP expected to be around 3% or more, we're starting from a great place.

Further underscoring the strength of our economy and our record jobs market was yesterday's Weekly Jobless Claims. They dropped -16,000 to 212K vs. last week's 228K and views for 219K.

Housing Starts were up more than expected at 1.235 million units (annualized) vs. last month's upwardly revised 1.168M units and estimates for 1.2M.

And the Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey beat expectations as well coming in at 16.6 vs. last month's 8.5 reading and the consensus for 9.3.

Our economy continues to impress.

Today we'll get a look at Consumer Sentiment, E-Commerce Retail Sales, and Leading Indicators. And I'm expecting these numbers to impress as well.

If today's trading is anything like the last three days, we're poised for another up day and up week.

Best,

Kevin Matras

Executive Vice President, Zacks Investment Research

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