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Economic Outlook: Archive
Is the Fed Done Raising Rates?
by John Blank
As the FOMC were in the process of reversing multiple years of near zero interest rates, the path back to rate 'normalization' was communicated relatively clearly to the public.
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finance
Key Themes to Follow Closely in 2019
by John Blank
We acknowledge valid uncertainties around trade wars and rising interest rates. Yet there are solid economic fundamentals across the board.
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finance
The Rodney Dangerfield Economy Persists
by John Blank
It still "can't get no respect" from the stock market. Zacks Chief Strategist John Blank explains.
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finance
Is 3%+ GDP Growth Sustainable, or Have We Peaked?
by John Blank
Proponents of the recent the economic courses of action argue the latest numbers are evidence of well-designed policies. Opponents question their sustainability.
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finance
Fed Drops 'Accommodative' from Verbiage
by John Blank
This indicates we might be close to its 'neutral' rate. Where do we go from here?
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Do Deficits Matter?
by John Blank
July marked the biggest increase in the U.S. trade deficit in 3 years. This occurred as the domestic economy continues to grow stronger, while demand abroad has weakened.
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Do Deficits Matter?
by John Blank
July marked the biggest increase in the U.S. trade deficit in 3 years. This occurred as the domestic economy continues to grow stronger, while demand abroad has weakened.
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U.S. GDP Growth for Q2 Clocks in at 4.1%
by Mark Vickery
Is this the new normal, or is there a fly in the ointment?
What Do 'Normal' Interest Rates Look Like?
by John Blank
Is it a Fed Funds rate close to the real neutral interest rate, now at 2.9%, is it an unemployment rate close to the NAIRU, or is it something else?
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Is the Phillips Curve the 'Loch Ness Monster' of Macroeconomics?
by John Blank
Is the inverse data relationship between higher consumer inflation as a consequence of a lower overall unemployment rate actually as robust as assumed?
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Are Higher Interest Rates a Threat to the Market?
by John Blank
Interest rates increase, stock markets decline and recession follows... is it that simple?
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Corporate Leverage: A Catalyst for the Next Downturn or Just Fuel to the Fire?
by John Blank
During this prolonged period of low interest rates, U.S. corporate debt has increased to levels above those seen prior to the financial crisis in 2008.
Have Reports on the Death of Low Inflation Been Greatly Exaggerated?
by John Blank
Most -10% stock market corrections like this last 2 months. So buckle your seatbelt until April.
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Economy Maintains Momentum, Though Inflation Stays Elusive
by John Blank
The double-digit growth driver within this fully employed part of the cycle is investment spending by U.S. rms.
Economic Outlook for 2018: Will the Goldilocks Scenario Persist?
by John Blank
2017 was characterized by a rare occurrence of solid economic growth with a tightening labor market below the level of natural employment.
Is a Recession Imminent?
by John Blank
Spreads this low are concerning. Investors should closely observe developments in upcoming months.
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What Will Be the Effect of Fed Policies?
by John Blank
The Fed has laid the groundwork for a third rate rise in December, and more rate hikes will follow in 2018. So, investors wonder, "How will a chain of policy rate increases affect the key financial markets?"
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GOP Tax Cuts and Economic Growth. Is There a Link?
by John Blank
a permanent increase in the growth rate will be very difficult, but a temporary increase might be enough to raise the standards of living.A
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The Wage Growth Puzzle
by John Blank
Why we are not observing stronger increases in consumer price levels?
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The Inflation Conundrum
by John Blank
As the Federal Reserve lays the groundwork for a further normalization of its policy instruments, it is finding it difficult to explain the sticky low inflation tied to the strong US economy.
The Inflation Conundrum
by John Blank
As the Federal Reserve lays the groundwork for a further normalization of its policy instruments, it is finding it difficult to explain the sticky low inflation tied to the strong US economy.
Don't Worry About Q1 GDP Growth
by Zacks Equity Research
While estimates for Q1 GDP growth have come down, overall growth for the year is expected to improve from last year's pace.
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Q1 GDP Growth Likely on the Weak Side
by Zacks Equity Research
Residual seasonality is likely causing first quarter growth to be weaker than its true pace.
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