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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
CRM salesfor 1.14% 0.70 0.69 177.85 3 20.00% 05/28/20
VEEV Veeva Sy 2.74% 0.60 0.58 202.96 3 3.85% 05/28/20
MOMO Momo Inc 5.75% 0.46 0.44 19.14 3 6.58% 05/28/20
WDAY Workday, 10.89% 0.53 0.47 168.15 3 25.00% 05/27/20
DG Dollar G 6.69% 1.79 1.68 178.98 2 3.96% 05/28/20

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Use the Zacks Earnings Expected Surprise Prediction (ESP) Filter to search for stocks to buy beforehand that have the highest probability of positively surprising for profitable earnings season trading. You can also use it to find those stocks to sell before they report that are likely to negatively surprise.

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Using Earnings ESP Filter3/16

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You can quickly see ESP Buys or ESP Sells and filter by certain criteria that you select.

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
Spark Energ... SPKE 8.45 +16.71%
PFSweb, Inc... PFSW 5.95 +9.98%
Turtle Beac... HEAR 10.57 +5.49%
BJs Wholesa... BJ 37.09 +5.22%
AMNEAL PHAR... AMRX 4.69 +3.53%

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Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
SQ 17.25 81.49 +372.41%
LULU 73.64 276.73 +275.79%
MSFT 55.09 183.51 +233.11%
SAM 168.00 520.19 +209.64%
LRCX 100.49 261.14 +159.87%

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New Upgrades: BPMC, NBL, RYAAY, DVN, DY, BIG, TEVA, TDS, SINA, PBH

  • Blueprint Medicines Corporation
    (
    BPMC)
    Upgraded: 05/22/20

    Blueprint Medicines’ lead drug, Ayvakit, holds great potential to treat several types of cancers. Other pipeline candidates too are progressing well.

  • Noble Energy Inc
    (
    NBL)
    Upgraded: 05/22/20

    High-quality domestic and foreign assets, plans to preserve liquidity, as well as crude oil hedges are going to drive its performance.

  • Ryanair Holdings Plc
    (
    RYAAY)
    Upgraded: 05/22/20

    The carrier’s expansion initiatives are encouraging.

  • Devon Energy Corporation
    (
    DVN)
    Upgraded: 05/22/20

    Capital investment, divestment of non-core assets, cost management, increase in oil production, declining debt levels and free cash flow boosted the company’s performance.

  • Dycom Industries Inc
    (
    DY)
    Upgraded: 05/21/20

    Favorable industry trends like surging demand for 1 Gigabyte deployments, huge investment in wireline networks and cable capacity projects will continue to drive growth.

  • Big Lots Inc
    (
    BIG)
    Upgraded: 05/21/20

    Big Lots is likely to continue gaining from transformation initiative that encompasses driving top line growth, cost containment, and enhancement in systems and infrastructure.

  • Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd
    (
    TEVA)
    Upgraded: 05/19/20

    With encouraging progress on restructuring activities, stabilization in U.S. and European generics business and improvement in financials, Teva may return to growth in 2020.

  • Telephone And Data Systems Inc
    (
    TDS)
    Upgraded: 05/19/20

    Telephone and Data Systems is moving ahead with plans to expand its business in the fiber space to diversify its business model from a telecom service provider to a fiber provider.

  • Sina Corporation
    (
    SINA)
    Upgraded: 05/19/20

    SINA is expected to benefit from the growing popularity of Weibo, robust mobile user base in China and partnerships with companies such as Baidu and AutoNavi.

  • Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc
    (
    PBH)
    Upgraded: 05/19/20

    Prestige Consumer gains from its strong earnings trend. Also, the company has been witnessing improved gross margins for a while now.

New Downgrades: VNO, UNM, PVH, CZZ, DKS, NS, CINF, FL, SRCL, CRI

  • Vornado Realty Trust
    (
    VNO)
    Downgraded: 05/22/20

    Earnings dilution led by high disposition activity, retail store closures and tenant bankruptcies as well as intense competition from developers and operators remain causes of concern for Vornado.

  • Unum Group
    (
    UNM)
    Downgraded: 05/22/20

    Soft performances at the Closed Block and Corporate segment over the past few quarters and rise in total benefits and expenses for the past few years inducing margin contraction remain concerns.

  • Pvh Corp
    (
    PVH)
    Downgraded: 05/22/20

    PVH Corp has furloughed staff and is reducing spending to combat the effects of the COVID-19 crisis. It has withheld guidance, given the uncertainty related to this pandemic.

  • Cosan Limited
    (
    CZZ)
    Downgraded: 05/22/20

    Cosan’s results will be hurt by adverse impacts of rising costs of sales and services. Unfavorable weather conditions and lower global sugar prices will also impact its performance.

  • Dicks Sporting Goods Inc
    (
    DKS)
    Downgraded: 05/22/20

    Negative impacts from coronavirus outbreak should mar fiscal 2020 results. The company has temporarily closed all stores across the United States and is working to lower costs to offset the impacts.

  • Nustar Energy Lp
    (
    NS)
    Downgraded: 05/20/20

    NuStar's high debt levels remain a cause of worry. 

  • Cincinnati Financial Corporation
    (
    CINF)
    Downgraded: 05/16/20

    Exposure to catastrophes making earnings volatile, higher expenses weighing on margins, continued turmoil in group benefits associated with the Affordable Care Act remain a challenge.

  • Foot Locker Inc
    (
    FL)
    Downgraded: 05/12/20

    Challenging retail landscape and changing consumer spending pattern are making operating environment tough. Moreover, higher SG&A expense may strain margins to an extent.

  • Stericycle Inc
    (
    SRCL)
    Downgraded: 05/08/20

    Declining CRS businesses, stiff competition, foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations and high debt weigh on Stericycle's prospects.

  • Carters Inc
    (
    CRI)
    Downgraded: 05/05/20

    Carter’s sales for first-quarter 2020 were largely impacted by stores closures due to the coronavirus outbreak. It withdrew 2020 view anticipating supply-chain disruptions and other uncertainties.

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