Back to top

Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
ESP Most Accurate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
CRM salesfor 1.14% 0.70 0.69 177.85 3 20.00% 05/28/20
VEEV Veeva Sy 2.74% 0.60 0.58 202.96 3 3.85% 05/28/20
MOMO Momo Inc 5.75% 0.46 0.44 19.14 3 6.58% 05/28/20
WDAY Workday, 10.89% 0.53 0.47 168.15 3 25.00% 05/27/20
DG Dollar G 6.69% 1.79 1.68 178.98 2 3.96% 05/28/20

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

Visit the Earnings ESP Center

See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

Earnings ESP Filter2/16


Use the Zacks Earnings Expected Surprise Prediction (ESP) Filter to search for stocks to buy beforehand that have the highest probability of positively surprising for profitable earnings season trading. You can also use it to find those stocks to sell before they report that are likely to negatively surprise.

Go to the Top Stocks to Beat Earnings


Using Earnings ESP Filter3/16


You can quickly see ESP Buys or ESP Sells and filter by certain criteria that you select.

Go to Full List of Stocks to Beat Earnings


Premium Screens4/16


Quickly access a list of the best stocks for every type of investor, including value, growth, momentum and income, and more with Premium Screens.

Go to All Premium Screens


Zacks Premium Home Page


Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for


Company Symbol Price %Chg
Spark Energ... SPKE 8.45 +16.71%
PFSweb, Inc... PFSW 5.95 +9.98%
Turtle Beac... HEAR 10.57 +5.49%
BJs Wholesa... BJ 37.09 +5.22%
AMNEAL PHAR... AMRX 4.69 +3.53%

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers7/16


The Zacks #1 Rank List is the best place to start your stock search each morning. It's made up of the top 5% of stocks with the most potential. Each weekday, you can quickly see the Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers from Value to Growth, Momentum and Income, even VGM Score.

Go to Zacks Rank #1 Top Movers


Full Zacks #1 Rank List8/16


You can see the full Zacks #1 Rank List or narrow it down to Zacks #1 Rank Stocks with a Value, Growth, Momentum or Income Style Score of A or B. Plus, you can see the Zacks #1 Rank Stocks with a VGM of A or B. You can also sort the list with criteria you choose, view Additions and Deletions by day, and Performance.

Go to the Zacks #1 Rank List


Focus List Top Performers


Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
SQ 17.25 81.49 +372.41%
LULU 73.64 276.73 +275.79%
MSFT 55.09 183.51 +233.11%
SAM 168.00 520.19 +209.64%
LRCX 100.49 261.14 +159.87%

Focus List Top Performers9/16


Our Focus List is a portfolio of 50 long-term stocks selected by Zacks' Director of Research Sheraz Mian based on their earnings momentum. The Zacks Premium homepage displays the Top Performers. You can also quickly access the latest Weekly Market Analysis article, including timely insights and market direction.

Go to Focus List Top Performers


Full Focus List10/16


The Focus List portfolio displays the Zacks Rank for each selection and comprehensive Equity Research Report that details the reasons behind each pick. You can also sort by Additions and Deletions by week.

Go to the Focus List


Premium Insight

Premium Insight13/16


The Premium Insight section on the Zacks Premium homepage provides timely information on the market. The Economic Outlook and Market Strategy reports are written by Zacks Chief Equity Strategist John Blank, PhD. Research Daily highlights new research reports that have been handpicked from the roughly 70 reports published by our analyst team each weekday, and also features New Upgrades and New Downgrades.

Go to Premium Insight


Weekly Market Analysis14/16


Every Monday, Zacks' Stock Strategist David Borun shares timely insights on overall market direction, sector allocation and why specific stocks have been added or deleted from the Focus List portfolio in the Weekly Market Analysis. For your convenience, you will automatically receive these crucial emails with your Zacks Premium membership.


Zacks Equity Research15/16


We cover more than 1,000 of the most widely followed stocks in our Equity Research Reports. Each report features independent research from our analysts and provides in-depth analysis on a company, its fundamentals and its growth prospects. Quickly access reports for New Upgrades and New Downgrades.

You can also find a report on the ticker of your choice, or access all of the stock reports covered by Zacks analysts.

View All Zacks Equity Research Reports


Zacks Equity Research


  • Blueprint Medicines Corporation
    Upgraded: 05/22/20

    Blueprint Medicines’ lead drug, Ayvakit, holds great potential to treat several types of cancers. Other pipeline candidates too are progressing well.

  • Noble Energy Inc
    Upgraded: 05/22/20

    High-quality domestic and foreign assets, plans to preserve liquidity, as well as crude oil hedges are going to drive its performance.

  • Ryanair Holdings Plc
    Upgraded: 05/22/20

    The carrier’s expansion initiatives are encouraging.

  • Devon Energy Corporation
    Upgraded: 05/22/20

    Capital investment, divestment of non-core assets, cost management, increase in oil production, declining debt levels and free cash flow boosted the company’s performance.

  • Dycom Industries Inc
    Upgraded: 05/21/20

    Favorable industry trends like surging demand for 1 Gigabyte deployments, huge investment in wireline networks and cable capacity projects will continue to drive growth.

  • Big Lots Inc
    Upgraded: 05/21/20

    Big Lots is likely to continue gaining from transformation initiative that encompasses driving top line growth, cost containment, and enhancement in systems and infrastructure.

  • Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd
    Upgraded: 05/19/20

    With encouraging progress on restructuring activities, stabilization in U.S. and European generics business and improvement in financials, Teva may return to growth in 2020.

  • Telephone And Data Systems Inc
    Upgraded: 05/19/20

    Telephone and Data Systems is moving ahead with plans to expand its business in the fiber space to diversify its business model from a telecom service provider to a fiber provider.

  • Sina Corporation
    Upgraded: 05/19/20

    SINA is expected to benefit from the growing popularity of Weibo, robust mobile user base in China and partnerships with companies such as Baidu and AutoNavi.

  • Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc
    Upgraded: 05/19/20

    Prestige Consumer gains from its strong earnings trend. Also, the company has been witnessing improved gross margins for a while now.

New Downgrades: VNO, UNM, PVH, CZZ, DKS, NS, CINF, FL, SRCL, CRI

  • Vornado Realty Trust
    Downgraded: 05/22/20

    Earnings dilution led by high disposition activity, retail store closures and tenant bankruptcies as well as intense competition from developers and operators remain causes of concern for Vornado.

  • Unum Group
    Downgraded: 05/22/20

    Soft performances at the Closed Block and Corporate segment over the past few quarters and rise in total benefits and expenses for the past few years inducing margin contraction remain concerns.

  • Pvh Corp
    Downgraded: 05/22/20

    PVH Corp has furloughed staff and is reducing spending to combat the effects of the COVID-19 crisis. It has withheld guidance, given the uncertainty related to this pandemic.

  • Cosan Limited
    Downgraded: 05/22/20

    Cosan’s results will be hurt by adverse impacts of rising costs of sales and services. Unfavorable weather conditions and lower global sugar prices will also impact its performance.

  • Dicks Sporting Goods Inc
    Downgraded: 05/22/20

    Negative impacts from coronavirus outbreak should mar fiscal 2020 results. The company has temporarily closed all stores across the United States and is working to lower costs to offset the impacts.

  • Nustar Energy Lp
    Downgraded: 05/20/20

    NuStar's high debt levels remain a cause of worry. 

  • Cincinnati Financial Corporation
    Downgraded: 05/16/20

    Exposure to catastrophes making earnings volatile, higher expenses weighing on margins, continued turmoil in group benefits associated with the Affordable Care Act remain a challenge.

  • Foot Locker Inc
    Downgraded: 05/12/20

    Challenging retail landscape and changing consumer spending pattern are making operating environment tough. Moreover, higher SG&A expense may strain margins to an extent.

  • Stericycle Inc
    Downgraded: 05/08/20

    Declining CRS businesses, stiff competition, foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations and high debt weigh on Stericycle's prospects.

  • Carters Inc
    Downgraded: 05/05/20

    Carter’s sales for first-quarter 2020 were largely impacted by stores closures due to the coronavirus outbreak. It withdrew 2020 view anticipating supply-chain disruptions and other uncertainties.

Find a Report

Get timely analysis that provides the reason behind the Zacks Rank for more than 4,400 stocks

Welcome to
Zacks Premium

Learn how to easily access the benefits now available to you.

Getting Started with Zacks Premium

You now have exclusive access to our powerful research and tools that will give you an edge in improving the performance of your portfolio. This interactive tour is the best place to learn how to easily access the benefits now available to you.

If you aren't a Zacks Premium member, you can start your free trial now.

Zacks Premium Homepage


The Zacks Premium homepage gives you access to all of the tools and resources included in your membership. To find it, first log on to Then hover on the "Services" tab in the top navigation and click on "Zacks Premium." Helpful hint: bookmark this page for your convenience.


Zacks Premium Tips

Zacks Premium Tips help you get the most out of your Zacks Premium membership. Simply click on the tip you're interested in learning more about. It couldn't be easier.

View All Zacks Premium Tips

Of course, if you have any questions, need additional help, are feeling overwhelmed with all of the features and benefits you're privy to as part of your Zacks Premium membership, call our Support team. They're available Monday through Friday between 10:00 a.m. and 6:00 p.m. ET at 1.800.767.3771 ext. 9339. (Outside the U.S., call 1.312.265.9339.) Or email

If you aren't a Zacks Premium member, you can start your free trial now.

Features Tour
  • 1. Premium Resources & Tools
  • 2. Earnings ESP Filter
  • 3. Using Earnings ESP Filter
  • 4. Premium Screen
  • 5. Custom Stock Screener
  • 6. Free Portfolio Tracker
  • 7. Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers
  • 8. Full Zacks #1 Rank List
  • 9. Focus List Top Performers
  • 10. Full Focus List
  • 11. Top Industries
  • 12. Full Zacks Industry Rank List
  • 13. Premium Insight
  • 14. Weekly Market Analysis
  • 15. Zacks Equity Research
  • 16. Zacks Premium Tips