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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

Visit the Earnings ESP Center

See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

Trending Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(Last Qtr.)
Reporting Date
PEP PepsiCo, 0.97% 1.49 1.48 133.55 3 5.60% 10/01/20
THO Thor Ind 5.23% 1.45 1.38 93.21 2 200.00% 09/28/20
BBBY Bed Bath 186.42% 0.15 -0.17 14.53 3 -38.03% 10/01/20
UNFI United N 26.32% 0.90 0.71 17.91 1 -0.71% 09/28/20
GTT GTT Comm 21.66% -0.34 -0.43 5.03 3 -203.85% 10/01/20

Earnings ESP Filter2/16

Use the Zacks Earnings Expected Surprise Prediction (ESP) Filter to search for stocks to buy beforehand that have the highest probability of positively surprising for profitable earnings season trading. You can also use it to find those stocks to sell before they report that are likely to negatively surprise.

Go to the Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Using Earnings ESP Filter3/16

You can quickly see ESP Buys or ESP Sells and filter by certain criteria that you select.

Go to Full List of Stocks to Beat Earnings

Premium Screens4/16

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
RentACenter... RCII 29.89 +4.99%
BG Staffing... BGSF 8.51 +4.80%
Elevate Cre... ELVT 2.24 +3.70%
Mistras Gro... MG 3.98 +3.11%
Select Medi... SEM 19.35 +2.82%

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers7/16

The Zacks #1 Rank List is the best place to start your stock search each morning. It's made up of the top 5% of stocks with the most potential. Each weekday, you can quickly see the Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers from Value to Growth, Momentum and Income, even VGM Score.

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Full Zacks #1 Rank List8/16

You can see the full Zacks #1 Rank List or narrow it down to Zacks #1 Rank Stocks with a Value, Growth, Momentum or Income Style Score of A or B. Plus, you can see the Zacks #1 Rank Stocks with a VGM of A or B. You can also sort the list with criteria you choose, view Additions and Deletions by day, and Performance.

Go to the Zacks #1 Rank List

Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
SQ 17.25 157.72 +814.32%
SAM 168.00 875.77 +421.29%
LULU 73.64 315.35 +328.23%
MSFT 55.09 207.82 +277.24%
SE 44.04 155.29 +252.61%

Focus List Top Performers9/16

Our Focus List is a portfolio of 50 long-term stocks selected by Zacks' Director of Research Sheraz Mian based on their earnings momentum. The Zacks Premium homepage displays the Top Performers. You can also quickly access the latest Weekly Market Analysis article, including timely insights and market direction.

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Full Focus List10/16

The Focus List portfolio displays the Zacks Rank for each selection and comprehensive Equity Research Report that details the reasons behind each pick. You can also sort by Additions and Deletions by week.

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Premium Insight13/16

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Weekly Market Analysis14/16

Every Monday, Zacks' Stock Strategist David Borun shares timely insights on overall market direction, sector allocation and why specific stocks have been added or deleted from the Focus List portfolio in the Weekly Market Analysis. For your convenience, you will automatically receive these crucial emails with your Zacks Premium membership.

Zacks Equity Research15/16

We cover more than 1,000 of the most widely followed stocks in our Equity Research Reports. Each report features independent research from our analysts and provides in-depth analysis on a company, its fundamentals and its growth prospects. Quickly access reports for New Upgrades and New Downgrades.

You can also find a report on the ticker of your choice, or access all of the stock reports covered by Zacks analysts.

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Zacks Equity Research

New Upgrades: QRVO, LECO, RGLD, UNFI, TOL, HCA, NWSA, WGO, LOW, HAIN

  • Qorvo Inc
    (
    QRVO)
    Upgraded: 09/25/20

    Qorvo is leveraging industry’s most comprehensive product portfolio, advanced packaging technologies, and system-level expertise to gain unrivalled competitive advantage.

  • Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc
    (
    LECO)
    Upgraded: 09/25/20

    Focus on acquisitions, innovative product launches and execution of the 2020 vision and strategy will drive Lincoln Electric’s growth. Its cost management actions will also aid margins.

  • Royal Gold Inc
    (
    RGLD)
    Upgraded: 09/25/20

    Royal Gold is likely to benefit from the rally in gold prices and ramping up of new projects. Focus on acquisitions, new business investments aided by a deleveraged strong balance sheet bode well.

  • United Natural Foods Inc
    (
    UNFI)
    Upgraded: 09/24/20

    United Natural is gaining on spike in demand stemming from coronavirus-led stock piling. Apart from this, integration synergies related to SUPERVALU are aiding the company’s performance.

  • Toll Brothers Inc
    (
    TOL)
    Upgraded: 09/22/20

    Favorable housing backdrop, lack of competition in the luxury new home market and buyout synergies are expected to drive growth

  • Hca Healthcare Inc
    (
    HCA)
    Upgraded: 09/19/20

    The company's numerous acqusitions, rising admissions, diversified business and capital deployment should drive long term growth. Rise in telemedicine also impresses.

  • News Corporation
    (
    NWSA)
    Upgraded: 09/19/20

    News Corporation is diversifying its revenue streams through strategic acquisitions and operational enhancement. The company is concentrating on cost cutting and augmenting its digital subscriber base.

  • Winnebago Industries Inc
    (
    WGO)
    Upgraded: 09/19/20

    Winnebago has been riding on the strength of its acquisitions, including Newmar, Grand Design and Chris-Craft.

  • Lowes Companies Inc
    (
    LOW)
    Upgraded: 09/15/20

    Lowe’s is making progress on key sales initiatives such as inventory levels, job-lot quantities, Pro service levels, better product presentation and labor scheduling.

  • The Hain Celestial Group Inc
    (
    HAIN)
    Upgraded: 08/26/20

    Growth in North America segment along with sound business fundamentals have been supporting Hain Celestial’s top-line. It is also on track with transformation and rationalization efforts.

New Downgrades: CLB, HON, TRV, WAFD, ZTO, TRN, TWTR, SCHW, EXC, SFIX

  • Core Laboratories Nv
    (
    CLB)
    Downgraded: 09/25/20

    Continued weakness in Core Laboratories’ Production Enhancement segment has impacted its results.

  • Honeywell International Inc
    (
    HON)
    Downgraded: 09/25/20

    The coronavirus outbreak-led market downturn, high-debt levels and unfavorable movements in foreign currencies remain concerning for Honeywell.

  • The Travelers Companies Inc
    (
    TRV)
    Downgraded: 09/25/20

    Exposure to catastrophe loss inducing underwriting volatility and high debt level leading to  higher interest expenses restricting margin expansion are some of the headwinds faced by the company.

  • Washington Federal Inc
    (
    WAFD)
    Downgraded: 09/24/20

    Pressure on margins amid interest rate cuts is a major headwind for Washington Federal and will hurt top-line growth. Additionally, increasing operating expenses are likely to hurt bottom-line growth.

  • Zto Express Cayman Inc
    (
    ZTO)
    Downgraded: 09/24/20

    Increase in SG&A expenses are limiting bottom-line growth.

  • Trinity Industries Inc
    (
    TRN)
    Downgraded: 09/24/20

    Coronavirus concerns might weigh on Trinity’s shipping volumes in the near term.

  • Twitter Inc
    (
    TWTR)
    Downgraded: 09/22/20

    Sluggish user growth amid increasing competition, lack of revenue diversification, higher expenses related to product development and increasing social media regulations are major concerns.

  • The Charles Schwab Corporation
    (
    SCHW)
    Downgraded: 09/22/20

    Near-zero interest rates are expected to hamper Schwab’s net interest margin growth in the near term. Additionally, continuously mounting expenses will likely hurt the bottom line to an extent.

  • Exelon Corporation
    (
    EXC)
    Downgraded: 09/19/20

    Low wholesale power prices, stringent government regulations, impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the possibility of increase in uranium prices are major causes of concern.

  • Stitch Fix Inc
    (
    SFIX)
    Downgraded: 07/28/20

    Stitch Fix has been grappling with rising SG&A expenses for the past few quarters now. Additionally, stiff competition remains a headwind.

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