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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

Trending Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
ESP Most Accurate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(Last Qtr.)
Reporting Date
PEP PepsiCo, 0.97% 1.49 1.48 133.55 3 5.60% 10/01/20
THO Thor Ind 5.23% 1.45 1.38 93.21 2 200.00% 09/28/20
BBBY Bed Bath 186.42% 0.15 -0.17 14.53 3 -38.03% 10/01/20
UNFI United N 26.32% 0.90 0.71 17.91 1 -0.71% 09/28/20
GTT GTT Comm 21.66% -0.34 -0.43 5.03 3 -203.85% 10/01/20

Earnings ESP Filter2/16

Use the Zacks Earnings Expected Surprise Prediction (ESP) Filter to search for stocks to buy beforehand that have the highest probability of positively surprising for profitable earnings season trading. You can also use it to find those stocks to sell before they report that are likely to negatively surprise.

Go to the Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Using Earnings ESP Filter3/16

You can quickly see ESP Buys or ESP Sells and filter by certain criteria that you select.

Go to Full List of Stocks to Beat Earnings

Premium Screens4/16

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Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for


Company Symbol Price %Chg
RentACenter... RCII 29.89 +4.99%
BG Staffing... BGSF 8.51 +4.80%
Elevate Cre... ELVT 2.24 +3.70%
Mistras Gro... MG 3.98 +3.11%
Select Medi... SEM 19.35 +2.82%

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers7/16

The Zacks #1 Rank List is the best place to start your stock search each morning. It's made up of the top 5% of stocks with the most potential. Each weekday, you can quickly see the Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers from Value to Growth, Momentum and Income, even VGM Score.

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Full Zacks #1 Rank List8/16

You can see the full Zacks #1 Rank List or narrow it down to Zacks #1 Rank Stocks with a Value, Growth, Momentum or Income Style Score of A or B. Plus, you can see the Zacks #1 Rank Stocks with a VGM of A or B. You can also sort the list with criteria you choose, view Additions and Deletions by day, and Performance.

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Focus List Top Performers


Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
SQ 17.25 157.72 +814.32%
SAM 168.00 875.77 +421.29%
LULU 73.64 315.35 +328.23%
MSFT 55.09 207.82 +277.24%
SE 44.04 155.29 +252.61%

Focus List Top Performers9/16

Our Focus List is a portfolio of 50 long-term stocks selected by Zacks' Director of Research Sheraz Mian based on their earnings momentum. The Zacks Premium homepage displays the Top Performers. You can also quickly access the latest Weekly Market Analysis article, including timely insights and market direction.

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Full Focus List10/16

The Focus List portfolio displays the Zacks Rank for each selection and comprehensive Equity Research Report that details the reasons behind each pick. You can also sort by Additions and Deletions by week.

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Weekly Market Analysis14/16

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Zacks Equity Research15/16

We cover more than 1,000 of the most widely followed stocks in our Equity Research Reports. Each report features independent research from our analysts and provides in-depth analysis on a company, its fundamentals and its growth prospects. Quickly access reports for New Upgrades and New Downgrades.

You can also find a report on the ticker of your choice, or access all of the stock reports covered by Zacks analysts.

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Zacks Equity Research


  • Qorvo Inc
    Upgraded: 09/25/20

    Qorvo is leveraging industry’s most comprehensive product portfolio, advanced packaging technologies, and system-level expertise to gain unrivalled competitive advantage.

  • Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc
    Upgraded: 09/25/20

    Focus on acquisitions, innovative product launches and execution of the 2020 vision and strategy will drive Lincoln Electric’s growth. Its cost management actions will also aid margins.

  • Royal Gold Inc
    Upgraded: 09/25/20

    Royal Gold is likely to benefit from the rally in gold prices and ramping up of new projects. Focus on acquisitions, new business investments aided by a deleveraged strong balance sheet bode well.

  • United Natural Foods Inc
    Upgraded: 09/24/20

    United Natural is gaining on spike in demand stemming from coronavirus-led stock piling. Apart from this, integration synergies related to SUPERVALU are aiding the company’s performance.

  • Toll Brothers Inc
    Upgraded: 09/22/20

    Favorable housing backdrop, lack of competition in the luxury new home market and buyout synergies are expected to drive growth

  • Hca Healthcare Inc
    Upgraded: 09/19/20

    The company's numerous acqusitions, rising admissions, diversified business and capital deployment should drive long term growth. Rise in telemedicine also impresses.

  • News Corporation
    Upgraded: 09/19/20

    News Corporation is diversifying its revenue streams through strategic acquisitions and operational enhancement. The company is concentrating on cost cutting and augmenting its digital subscriber base.

  • Winnebago Industries Inc
    Upgraded: 09/19/20

    Winnebago has been riding on the strength of its acquisitions, including Newmar, Grand Design and Chris-Craft.

  • Lowes Companies Inc
    Upgraded: 09/15/20

    Lowe’s is making progress on key sales initiatives such as inventory levels, job-lot quantities, Pro service levels, better product presentation and labor scheduling.

  • The Hain Celestial Group Inc
    Upgraded: 08/26/20

    Growth in North America segment along with sound business fundamentals have been supporting Hain Celestial’s top-line. It is also on track with transformation and rationalization efforts.


  • Core Laboratories Nv
    Downgraded: 09/25/20

    Continued weakness in Core Laboratories’ Production Enhancement segment has impacted its results.

  • Honeywell International Inc
    Downgraded: 09/25/20

    The coronavirus outbreak-led market downturn, high-debt levels and unfavorable movements in foreign currencies remain concerning for Honeywell.

  • The Travelers Companies Inc
    Downgraded: 09/25/20

    Exposure to catastrophe loss inducing underwriting volatility and high debt level leading to  higher interest expenses restricting margin expansion are some of the headwinds faced by the company.

  • Washington Federal Inc
    Downgraded: 09/24/20

    Pressure on margins amid interest rate cuts is a major headwind for Washington Federal and will hurt top-line growth. Additionally, increasing operating expenses are likely to hurt bottom-line growth.

  • Zto Express Cayman Inc
    Downgraded: 09/24/20

    Increase in SG&A expenses are limiting bottom-line growth.

  • Trinity Industries Inc
    Downgraded: 09/24/20

    Coronavirus concerns might weigh on Trinity’s shipping volumes in the near term.

  • Twitter Inc
    Downgraded: 09/22/20

    Sluggish user growth amid increasing competition, lack of revenue diversification, higher expenses related to product development and increasing social media regulations are major concerns.

  • The Charles Schwab Corporation
    Downgraded: 09/22/20

    Near-zero interest rates are expected to hamper Schwab’s net interest margin growth in the near term. Additionally, continuously mounting expenses will likely hurt the bottom line to an extent.

  • Exelon Corporation
    Downgraded: 09/19/20

    Low wholesale power prices, stringent government regulations, impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the possibility of increase in uranium prices are major causes of concern.

  • Stitch Fix Inc
    Downgraded: 07/28/20

    Stitch Fix has been grappling with rising SG&A expenses for the past few quarters now. Additionally, stiff competition remains a headwind.

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