Back to top

Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
ESP Most Accurate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
HMST HomeStre 9.52% 0.46 0.42 31.20 1 41.86% 01/22/18
BSRR Sierra B 2.38% 0.43 0.42 28.30 2 2.50% 01/22/18
WTFC Wintrust 0.88% 1.15 1.14 87.28 2 3.70% 01/22/18
NAVI Navient 2.38% 0.43 0.42 13.51 2 10.00% 01/23/18
SNV Synovus 1.47% 0.69 0.68 50.17 2 1.56% 01/23/18

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

Visit the Earnings ESP Center

See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

Zacks Premium Home Page


Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers


Company Symbol Price %Chg
BIOVERATIV... BIVV 103.95 +62.14%
Commercial... CVGI 13.47 +4.42%
ArcBest Cor... ARCB 39.25 +3.70%
Mitsubishi... MTLHY 55.59 +2.51%
Resolute En... REN 34.68 +2.42%

Focus List Top Performers


Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 32.75 230.11 +602.63%
FB 57.94 181.29 +212.89%
SQ 17.25 42.56 +146.72%
WGO 23.30 53.00 +127.47%
LRCX 100.49 207.53 +106.52%

Premium Insight

Zacks Equity Research

New Upgrades: WSO, D, TRS, RSG, BA, PANW, NI, MCRN, IR, NTAP

  • Watsco, Inc.
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    Watsco is poised to gain from its industry-leading technologies, strategic acquisitions and e-commerce sales growth. Cost-cutting initiatives and growth potential in the replacement market will likely drive growth.

  • Dominion Energy Inc.
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    Dominion’s expansion of electric transmission, natural gas facilities and midstream assets are strong positives. In addition, contribution from the Questar acquisition will also boost the performance of the company.

  • Trimas Corporation
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    TriMas’ focus on improving manufacturing footprint and strategies will drive growth. Stable order patterns, investment in new products, cross-currency swap agreement and efforts on debt reduction remain tailwinds.

  • Republic Services, Inc.
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    The company is currently focusing on a series of quality acquisition opportunities, primarily of recycling assets, which are likely to act as a catalyst for a healthy long-term growth within its top 25 markets.

  • Boeing Company (the)
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    For Boeing, the title of the world's largest airplane manufacturer maybe attributed to its impressive track record in both innovation and fuel efficiency

  • Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    Product ramp ups, deal wins, continuous growth of the network security market and expected benefits from the ongoing investments are the positives.

  • Nisource, Inc
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    NiSource’s consistent investment to strengthen its existing infrastructure and focus on clean energy are going to drive its performance.

  • Milacron Holdings Corp.
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    Milacron will benefit from rising demand from plastics in many markets, solid order growth, introduction of new products, its breakthrough Klear Can technology as well as cost reduction initiatives.

  • Ingersoll-rand Plc (ireland)
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    Ingersoll’s solid foundation, disciplined capital allocation strategy, and accretive acquisitions bode well for the company’s future prospects.

  • Netapp, Inc.
    Upgraded: 10/06/17

    NetApp is gaining momentum in flash-based solutions with the newly introduced all-flash array, which will help it to gain traction in the storage market.

New Downgrades: SUP, THC, HP, HMY, FRC, RCI, WFT, CNAT, JCI, BPL

  • Superior Industries International, Inc.
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    Superior Industries is exposed to currency and energy price fluctuations. Rising capital expenditure is a concern.

  • Tenet Healthcare Corporation
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    High level of debt and high operating expenses raise caution.

  • Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    Despite early signs of recovery in North America, the current oilfield environment remains one of the most difficult.

  • Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    Harmony remains exposed to issues such as mine shut downs and labor strikes. The company’s high cost structure is another concern.

  • First Republic Bank
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    Low ROE, stretched valuation and mounting expenses remain near term headwinds for the company.

  • Rogers Communication, Inc.
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    Rogers Communications operates in an intensely competiitve wireless and cable TV industry.

  • Weatherford International Plc
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    Weatherford's debt-heavy balance sheet and its incapability to generate strong free cash flow are causes for concern.

  • Conatus Pharmaceuticals Inc.
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    Emricasan is still quite a few years away from entering the market, if at all. Any setback/hiccup in developing emricasan will pull the stock down significantly. Stiff competition remains a threat as well.

  • Johnson Controls International Plc
    Downgraded: 01/18/18

    Currency headwinds, divestiture of several businesses and volatility in commodity prices are some concerns for Johnson Controls.

  • Buckeye Partners L.p.
    Downgraded: 12/16/17

    Adverse weather, stringent government regulations and loss of a major customer are headwinds for Buckeye Partners.

Find a Report

Get timely analysis that provides the reason behind the Zacks Rank for more than 4,400 stocks