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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
HMST HomeStre 9.52% 0.46 0.42 31.35 1 41.86% 01/22/18
BSRR Sierra B 2.38% 0.43 0.42 28.38 2 2.50% 01/22/18
WTFC Wintrust 0.88% 1.15 1.14 87.81 2 3.70% 01/22/18
NAVI Navient 2.38% 0.43 0.42 13.60 2 10.00% 01/23/18
SNV Synovus 1.47% 0.69 0.68 50.52 2 1.56% 01/23/18

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
Mitsubishi... MTLHY 54.23 0.00
Teijin Ltd.... TINLY 22.95 0.00
Asahi Kasei... AHKSY 26.90 0.00
BIOVERATIV... BIVV 104.22 +62.56%
Commercial... CVGI 13.18 +2.17%

Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 32.75 230.11 +602.63%
FB 57.94 181.29 +212.89%
SQ 17.25 42.56 +146.72%
WGO 23.30 53.00 +127.47%
LRCX 100.49 207.53 +106.52%

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Zacks Equity Research

New Upgrades: RSG, PANW, BA, Y, MIDD, UNH, TOT, NRP, MHK, NTAP

  • Republic Services, Inc.
    (
    RSG)
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    The company is currently focusing on a series of quality acquisition opportunities, primarily of recycling assets, which are likely to act as a catalyst for a healthy long-term growth within its top 25 markets.

  • Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
    (
    PANW)
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    Product ramp ups, deal wins, continuous growth of the network security market and expected benefits from the ongoing investments are the positives.

  • Boeing Company (the)
    (
    BA)
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    For Boeing, the title of the world's largest airplane manufacturer maybe attributed to its impressive track record in both innovation and fuel efficiency

  • Alleghany Corporation
    (
    Y)
    Upgraded: 01/18/18

    Improving top line, strategic buyouts and solid balance sheet are positives.

  • The Middleby Corporation
    (
    MIDD)
    Upgraded: 01/18/18

    Diligent acquisitions, greater innovation and strategic business expansion will likely boost Middleby’s near-term results.

  • Unitedhealth Group Incorporated
    (
    UNH)
    Upgraded: 01/18/18

    UnitedHealth' s continued strong growth at Optum as well as UnitedHealthcare segments are driving growth. Its  favorable government business and strong capital position are other positives.

  • Totalfinaelf, S.a.
    (
    TOT)
    Upgraded: 01/18/18

    TOTAL’s strong production portfolio, initiative to lower operating costs, reduce debts and start new projects will boost its performance.

  • Natural Resource Partners Lp
    (
    NRP)
    Upgraded: 01/18/18

    Strategic initiatives to lower its debts while also helping improve liquidity, plus the improving fundamentals in the Aggregates market, will boost the performance of the partnership.

  • Mohawk Industries, Inc.
    (
    MHK)
    Upgraded: 01/18/18

    Mohawk enjoys a leading position in the home furnishings industry, and its strategic acquisitions are encouraging. The U.S. housing market has shown some meaningful improvement in the recent times, which should boost demand

  • Netapp, Inc.
    (
    NTAP)
    Upgraded: 10/06/17

    NetApp is gaining momentum in flash-based solutions with the newly introduced all-flash array, which will help it to gain traction in the storage market.

New Downgrades: JAKK, FRC, WFT, THC, CNAT, JCI, PRGO, DUK, NWSA, PAY

  • Jakks Pacific, Inc.
    (
    JAKK)
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    A challenging retail environment, forex headwinds, cost issues and increasing usage of technology remain potent headwinds

  • First Republic Bank
    (
    FRC)
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    Low ROE, stretched valuation and mounting expenses remain near term headwinds for the company.

  • Weatherford International Plc
    (
    WFT)
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    Weatherford's debt-heavy balance sheet and its incapability to generate strong free cash flow are causes for concern.

  • Tenet Healthcare Corporation
    (
    THC)
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    High level of debt and high operating expenses raise caution.

  • Conatus Pharmaceuticals Inc.
    (
    CNAT)
    Downgraded: 01/19/18

    Emricasan is still quite a few years away from entering the market, if at all. Any setback/hiccup in developing emricasan will pull the stock down significantly. Stiff competition remains a threat as well.

  • Johnson Controls International Plc
    (
    JCI)
    Downgraded: 01/18/18

    Currency headwinds, divestiture of several businesses and volatility in commodity prices are some concerns for Johnson Controls.

  • Perrigo Company
    (
    PRGO)
    Downgraded: 01/18/18

    Perrigo’s businesses continue to be impacted by pricing and other macro-economic pressures. Stiff competition remains a threat as well.

  • Duke Energy Corporation
    (
    DUK)
    Downgraded: 01/18/18

    Stringent environmental regulations, pending regulatory cases, volatile commodity prices, severe weather patterns and foreign exchange risks may hinder Duke Energy’s performance

  • News Corporation
    (
    NWSA)
    Downgraded: 01/17/18

    Advertising, which forms a major part of News Corporation’s total revenue (approximately 35% of fiscal 2017 total revenue), remains highly vulnerable to the economic conditions.

  • Verifone Systems, Inc.
    (
    PAY)
    Downgraded: 12/15/17

    Macroeconomic weakness, pricing pressure and leveraged balance sheet remain headwinds.

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