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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
AFSI AmTrust 15.07% 0.28 0.24 12.93 2 95.92% 02/26/18
KNSL Kinsale 7.69% 0.42 0.39 48.39 2 122.22% 02/26/18
CLGX CoreLogi 8.23% 0.57 0.53 45.79 3 0.00% 02/26/18
CMTA Clementi 21.36% -0.27 -0.34 13.23 3 -490.32% 02/26/18
DK Delek US 8.21% 0.44 0.40 34.26 3 19.12% 02/26/18

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
LPL Financi... LPLA 65.50 +4.72%
Conn's, Inc... CONN 33.10 +4.19%
Nitto Denko... NDEKY 40.73 +2.91%
Express Scr... ESRX 77.00 +2.88%
Shutterfly,... SFLY 77.64 +2.84%

Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 32.75 245.93 +650.93%
FB 57.94 183.29 +216.34%
SQ 17.25 44.86 +160.06%
CMA 46.85 98.68 +110.63%
MU 23.26 46.53 +100.04%

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Zacks Equity Research

New Upgrades: GIS, FCN, SON, FLR, SMP, SJM, WMT, WM, TRS, LAD

  • General Mills, Inc.
    (
    GIS)
    Upgraded: 02/23/18

    Consumer-focused innovation, key strategies, marketing initiatives and robust restructuring savings are making up for the sluggish revenue growth at General Mills

  • Fti Consulting, Inc.
    (
    FCN)
    Upgraded: 02/23/18

    Intensifying regulatory scrutiny, increasingly complex corporate litigation and acquisitions on a global scale are some of the drivers of growth for this consulting giant. 

  • Sonoco Products Company
    (
    SON)
    Upgraded: 02/23/18

    Sonoco is poised to gain from its Grow and Optimize strategy which includes growth through targeted acquisitions and by developing new products. The impact of the tax reform will also drive its earnings.

  • Fluor Corporation
    (
    FLR)
    Upgraded: 02/22/18

    Fluor’s strategy of maintaining a good business portfolio mix permits it to focus on the more stable business markets and capitalize on developing the cyclical markets at suitable times.

  • Standard Motor Products, Inc.
    (
    SMP)
    Upgraded: 02/21/18

    Standard Motor will gain from its solid brand recognition and regular capital deployment, which will enhance shareholder value. Moreover, plant consolidations and relocations will be beneficial.

  • J.m. Smucker Company (the)
    (
    SJM)
    Upgraded: 02/21/18

    Smucker gains from the growing popularity of its brands and augments its portfolio through new launches and partnerships.

  • Wal-mart Stores, Inc.
    (
    WMT)
    Upgraded: 02/20/18

    Walmart continues to impress investors with positive comps at Walmart U.S. for 14 successive quarters. It continues to expand its online activities.

  • Waste Management, Inc.
    (
    WM)
    Upgraded: 02/08/18

    Waste Management is executing well on its initiative to refocus on the core business activities and instill price and cost discipline to achieve better margins and returns in the long run.

  • Trimas Corporation
    (
    TRS)
    Upgraded: 01/19/18

    TriMas’ focus on improving manufacturing footprint and strategies will drive growth. Stable order patterns, investment in new products, cross-currency swap agreement and efforts on debt reduction remain tailwinds.

  • Lithia Motors, Inc.
    (
    LAD)
    Upgraded: 01/09/18

    Lithia Motors will benefit from the expansion of its business through acquisitions and store openings. The company enhances shareholder value through aggressive share repurchases.

New Downgrades: RCII, PRA, KIRK, CTB, IMGN, ABX, CYBR, CBD, AIV, VTR

  • Rent-a-center Inc.
    (
    RCII)
    Downgraded: 02/23/18

    Rent-A-Center has been witnessing a year over year decline across its top and bottom lines. Moreover, the company has been grappling with soft comparable-store sales performance for quite some time now.

  • Proassurance Corporation
    (
    PRA)
    Downgraded: 02/23/18

    Deteriorating investment portfolio, volatility in premium retention, growing expenses are some of the headwinds facing the stock.

  • Kirkland's, Inc.
    (
    KIRK)
    Downgraded: 02/22/18

    Management narrowed its fiscal 2017 earnings guidance range on account of hurricane impacts; supply chain disruptions and higher expected tax rate.

  • Cooper Tire & Rubber Company
    (
    CTB)
    Downgraded: 02/22/18

    Cooper Tire is exposed to volatility in raw material prices, which is also creating pressure on the gross margin. Moreover, unit sales in the United States are declining.

  • Immunogen, Inc.
    (
    IMGN)
    Downgraded: 02/22/18

    With the company depending heavily on its lead candidate, mirvetuximab soravtansine, any hiccup in its development or regulatory process would affect the stock significantly.

  • Barrick Gold Corporation
    (
    ABX)
    Downgraded: 02/22/18

    Barrick faces headwinds from lower expected production and higher costs in 2018. The company's falling gold reserve base is another concern. It is also exposed to a volatile gold pricing environment.

  • Cyberark Software Ltd.
    (
    CYBR)
    Downgraded: 02/22/18

    We are apprehensive about higher operating expenses related to enrichment of the solutions suite and enhancing sales competency, which will weigh on CyberArk’s near-term profits.

  • Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao
    (
    CBD)
    Downgraded: 02/21/18

    Acute food deflation, along with a tough retail environment remained hurdles for the company in fourth-quarter 2017.

  • Apartment Investment And Management Company
    (
    AIV)
    Downgraded: 02/21/18

    Earning-dilutive effects of divestiture, rise in the interest rate and stiff competition pose challenges for Aimco.

  • Ventas, Inc.
    (
    VTR)
    Downgraded: 11/28/17

    Concentration risks associated with dependence on few tenants, intense competition with national and local operators and any rise in interest rate are concerning Ventas.

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