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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
A Agilent 1.24% 0.63 0.63 68.79 3 13.46% 11/20/17
GBDC Golub Ca 2.33% 0.33 0.32 19.00 3 9.38% 11/20/17
URBN Urban Ou 2.11% 0.33 0.33 27.90 3 18.92% 11/20/17
EV Eaton Va 0.99% 0.72 0.71 51.79 2 -7.46% 11/21/17
HPQ HP Inc. 0.68% 0.45 0.44 21.75 2 2.38% 11/21/17

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

Visit the Earnings ESP Center

See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
Amerigo Res... ARREF 0.71 +5.52%
Century Cas... CNTY 8.15 +4.09%
P.A.M. Tran... PTSI 35.13 +4.06%
Alps Electr... APELY 65.07 +3.38%
Micron Tech... MU 47.72 +3.38%

Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 32.75 211.36 +545.37%
FB 57.94 179.00 +208.94%
SQ 17.25 44.18 +156.12%
WGO 23.30 49.50 +112.45%
LRCX 100.49 210.47 +109.44%

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Zacks Equity Research

New Upgrades: WMT, RH, NFLX, BHP, AMTD, SSYS, TM, PRGO, ORCL, MT

  • Wal-mart Stores, Inc.
    (
    WMT)
    Upgraded: 11/17/17

    Wal-Mart continues to impress investors with positive comps at Wal-Mart U.S. for 13 successive quarters. It continues to expand its online activities.

  • Restoration Hardware Holdings Inc.
    (
    RH)
    Upgraded: 11/17/17

    The company’s efforts to redesign its supply chain network, rationalize product offerings and the Waterworks acquisition are expected to boost growth

  • Netflix, Inc.
    (
    NFLX)
    Upgraded: 11/17/17

    Netflix's international expansion and focus on original content will boost subscriber growth.

  • Bhp Billiton Limited
    (
    BHP)
    Upgraded: 11/17/17

    Improved mining productivity, higher prices of major core metals and greater cost discipline would likely boost BHP Billiton's near-term results.

  • Td Ameritrade Holding Corporation
    (
    AMTD)
    Upgraded: 11/16/17

    TD Ameritrade is poised to see top-line growth based on a steady asset growth and surge in trading volumes. Also, its robust balance sheet position keeps us encouraged.

  • Stratasys, Ltd.
    (
    SSYS)
    Upgraded: 11/16/17

    Stratasys' sustained focus on launching new products and entering into strategic partnerships will drive long-term growth. Additionally, its efforts toward turning around MakerBot’s performance are encouraging.

  • Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord
    (
    TM)
    Upgraded: 11/14/17

    Toyota’s focus on product development, capacity expansion and plans on electric and self-driving vehicles are positives.

  • Perrigo Company
    (
    PRGO)
    Upgraded: 11/14/17

    We are positive on the company’s growth-by-acquisition strategy. Restructuring initiatives bode well for the company's growth.

  • Oracle Corporation
    (
    ORCL)
    Upgraded: 11/14/17

    Oracle is benefiting from its database management and cloud business.

  • Arcelormittal
    (
    MT)
    Upgraded: 11/11/17

    ArcelorMittal should gain from its efforts to reduce debt. It is also making a significant progress in reducing costs and expanding its advanced high strength steel product line under the Action 2020 program.

New Downgrades: ZBH, FRC, TXT, IFNNY, ANDE, OZRK, NS, WSM, VTR, VMC

  • Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.
    (
    ZBH)
    Downgraded: 11/17/17

    Factors like macroeconomic uncertainties, pricing pressure and unfavorable currency fluctuations adversely impacted Zimmer Biomet’s sales during the reported quarter.

  • First Republic Bank
    (
    FRC)
    Downgraded: 11/17/17

    Low ROE, stretched valuation and mounting expenses remain near term headwinds for the company.

  • Textron Inc.
    (
    TXT)
    Downgraded: 11/16/17

    Consistent deterioration at Textron Aviation and global political uncertainties, along with intensifying competition for Textron’s products, are causes of concern

  • Infineon Technologies Ag
    (
    IFNNY)
    Downgraded: 11/15/17

    Infineon’s business, in particular and in the semiconductor industry in general, is highly cyclical. It is characterized by constant and swift technological changes and price erosion.

  • The Andersons, Inc.
    (
    ANDE)
    Downgraded: 11/15/17

    Andersons’ results will be adversely affected by oversupply issues in the Plant Nutrient and Rail Groups. Furthermore, lower DDG margins continue to dent Ethanol Group’s performance.

  • Bank Of The Ozarks
    (
    OZRK)
    Downgraded: 11/15/17

    Mounting expenses and exposure to risky loans remain major near-term concerns for Bank of the Ozarks. Further, a stretched valuation indicates limited upside potential for the stock.

  • Nustar Energy L.p.
    (
    NS)
    Downgraded: 11/14/17

    A sub-1.0x distribution coverage ratio and high debt levels are major concerns. 

  • Williams-sonoma, Inc.
    (
    WSM)
    Downgraded: 11/14/17

    Comparable brand revenues have been sluggish for several quarters owing to soft retail environment and cautious customers. Moreover, continued e-commerce and supply chain investments weigh on operating margins

  • Ventas, Inc.
    (
    VTR)
    Downgraded: 11/14/17

    Concentration risks associated with dependence on few tenants, intense competition with national and local operators and any rise in interest rate are concerns before Ventas.

  • Vulcan Materials Company
    (
    VMC)
    Downgraded: 08/05/17

    Below-trend shipment growth and seasonal influences on construction activity, including weather, could weigh on the company’s performance.

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