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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
ESP Most Accurate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
NAT Nordic A 7.14% -0.13 -0.14 4.99 3 -133.33% 08/21/17
DSW DSW Inc. 3.45% 0.30 0.29 15.84 3 -3.03% 08/22/17
MDT Medtroni 0.93% 1.09 1.08 83.41 3 1.53% 08/22/17
RAVN Raven In 4.55% 0.23 0.22 31.70 3 41.67% 08/22/17
RY Royal Ba 5.04% 1.46 1.39 73.32 2 6.77% 08/23/17

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers


Company Symbol Price %Chg
Ichor Holdi... ICHR 20.36 +6.65%
Alps Electr... APELY 55.65 +3.04%
IntriCon Co... IIN 8.75 +2.94%
FormFactor,... FORM 14.05 +2.93%
Chemours Co... CC 46.08 +2.61%

Focus List Top Performers


Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 32.75 161.50 +393.04%
FB 57.94 167.41 +188.07%
UNH 120.33 190.82 +60.14%
LRCX 100.49 160.49 +57.69%
HRC 48.88 73.09 +51.23%

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