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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
DHR Danaher 1.45% 0.95 0.93 102.42 2 2.59% 04/19/18
MRTN Marten T 1.78% 0.19 0.19 23.85 2 0.00% 04/19/18
NUE Nucor Co 0.34% 1.11 1.10 65.42 2 18.18% 04/19/18
BBT BB&T Cor 1.43% 0.93 0.92 50.61 3 2.50% 04/19/18
BDN Brandywi 1.76% 0.33 0.32 15.48 3 -3.03% 04/19/18

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
HITACHI CON... HTCMY 77.50 +5.70%
Advantest C... ATEYY 21.76 +4.82%
China Natio... CASDY 21.15 +4.60%
Ecopetrol S... EC 22.23 +2.42%
CNOOC Limit... CEO 167.80 +2.03%

Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 32.75 236.37 +621.74%
SQ 17.25 51.38 +197.86%
MU 23.26 54.01 +132.20%
LRCX 100.49 203.77 +102.78%
CMA 46.85 93.28 +99.10%

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New Upgrades: TSS, SIMO, COP, OI, MTB, NINOY, LRCX, GOL, GILD, NRP

  • Total System Services, Inc.
    (
    TSS)
    Upgraded: 04/18/18

    Strong Merchant Solutions, accretive acquisitions, solid balance sheet, benefits from tax reform will drive long term growth.

  • Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
    (
    SIMO)
    Upgraded: 04/18/18

    Silicon Motion has established itself as the leading merchant supplier of client SSD controller to module makers, including most market leaders in the U.S., Taiwan and China.

  • Conocophillips
    (
    COP)
    Upgraded: 04/18/18

    ConocoPhillips has managed to significantly lower its well operating costs.

  • Owens-illinois, Inc.
    (
    OI)
    Upgraded: 04/18/18

    Owens-Illinois will benefit from the extension and expansion of JV with Constellation, acquisition of Vitro's food and beverage business, and strategic initiatives.

  • M&t Bank Corporation
    (
    MTB)
    Upgraded: 04/18/18

    Organic growth aided by rising loans and deposits along with inorganic growth strategies will bolster M&T Bank’s top-line growth. Further, easing margin pressure and lower tax rates will be favorable.

  • Nikon Corp.
    (
    NINOY)
    Upgraded: 04/18/18

    Nikon is pursuing growth by following two avenues, which include strengthening its existing business and foraying into new areas. Also, the company banks upon its transformation initiatives to maximize growth.

  • Lam Research Corporation
    (
    LRCX)
    Upgraded: 04/18/18

    Lam’s exposure to memory manufacturers (a segment with multi-year growth prospects), and opportunity in logic and foundry segments are positives.

  • Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes S.a.
    (
    GOL)
    Upgraded: 04/18/18

    We expect the company’s focus on capacity discipline to result in improvement in yields.

  • Gilead Sciences, Inc.
    (
    GILD)
    Upgraded: 04/18/18

    Gilead is a dominant player in the HIV market. It also boasts a strong HCV portfolio. Newly launched products should continue to perform well, thereby driving top-line growth.

  • Natural Resource Partners Lp
    (
    NRP)
    Upgraded: 04/18/18

    Strategic initiatives to lower its debts while also helping improve liquidity, plus the improving fundamentals in the Aggregates market, will boost the performance of the partnership.

New Downgrades: RCI, CNMD, DNKN, IRWD, NLY, THS, NWL, ED, DPS, IRM

  • Rogers Communication, Inc.
    (
    RCI)
    Downgraded: 04/18/18

    Rogers Communications operates in an intensely competiitve wireless and cable TV industry.

  • Conmed Corporation
    (
    CNMD)
    Downgraded: 04/18/18

    Foreign exchange headwinds are expected to significantly impact CONMED’s top-line growth in the near term. Intensifying competition and pricing pressure by GPOs are added concerns.

  • Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc.
    (
    DNKN)
    Downgraded: 04/17/18

    Intense competition, a soft consumer spending environment, challenging international markets and a shift in ice cream consumption remain potent headwinds

  • Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
    (
    IRWD)
    Downgraded: 04/17/18

  • Annaly Capital Management Inc
    (
    NLY)
    Downgraded: 04/17/18

    Competition with several players and adverse macro-economic conditions remain a concern. A rise in rate of interest may further add to its woes.

  • Treehouse Foods, Inc.
    (
    THS)
    Downgraded: 04/17/18

    Escalated commodity and freight expenses significantly weighed on the company’s operating performance in the quarter.

  • Newell Brands Inc.
    (
    NWL)
    Downgraded: 04/17/18

    Lower core sales, adverse pricing and commodity cost inflation have been hurting the company’s results. Also, it has been witnessing weak margins for few quarters now.

  • Consolidated Edison Inc
    (
    ED)
    Downgraded: 04/17/18

    Stringent utility regulations, interest rate risk and adverse decision for its pending regulatory cases could be detrimental to growth.

  • Dr Pepper Snapple Group, Inc
    (
    DPS)
    Downgraded: 04/17/18

    Weak volumes of its carbonated beverages and stiff competition raise caution

  • Iron Mountain Incorporated
    (
    IRM)
    Downgraded: 12/23/17

    The storage and information management services industry remains a highly fragmented industry with numerous competitors

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