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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
NAT Nordic A 79.45% -0.03 -0.15 2.16 3 -17.65% 05/28/18
NK NantKwes 1.33% -0.37 -0.38 3.83 3 -2.94% 05/28/18
BAH Booz All 3.62% 0.47 0.45 41.79 2 11.63% 05/29/18
HEI Heico Co 0.47% 0.53 0.53 90.95 3 -12.82% 05/29/18
SPTN SpartanN 0.62% 0.54 0.54 19.25 3 -2.38% 05/29/18

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
AEterna Zen... AEZS 2.16 +5.92%
SolarEdge T... SEDG 58.95 +4.61%
Kirin Holdi... KNBWY 28.50 +3.67%
Computer Pr... CPSI 32.55 +3.00%
Grupo Simec... SIM 9.75 +2.70%

Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 32.75 249.28 +661.16%
SQ 17.25 55.76 +223.30%
MU 23.26 61.35 +163.76%
CMA 46.85 97.76 +108.67%
UNH 120.33 244.95 +103.57%

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New Upgrades: AEE, THC, SLGN, LAD, XRX, SEE, UNH, RMD, CHD, SYK

  • Ameren Corporation
    (
    AEE)
    Upgraded: 05/25/18

    Ameren's systematic investments in growth projects, infrastructure upgrades, electric transmission and delivery infrastructure will help to improve service reliability and generate higher profits.

  • Tenet Healthcare Corporation
    (
    THC)
    Upgraded: 05/25/18

    Incremental synergies from acquisitions, higher revenues and growth in the outpatient business are positives.

  • Silgan Holdings Inc.
    (
    SLGN)
    Upgraded: 05/25/18

    Silgan Holdings expects to gain from improvement in capital expenditures. Synergies from the Dispensing Systems acquisition and lower effective tax rate will also drive growth.

  • Lithia Motors, Inc.
    (
    LAD)
    Upgraded: 05/25/18

    Lithia Motors will benefit from the expansion of its business through acquisitions and store openings. The company enhances shareholder value through aggressive share repurchases.

  • Xerox Corporation
    (
    XRX)
    Upgraded: 05/25/18

    Strategic Transformation program, post-sale driven business model and acquisitions are positives for Xerox

  • Sealed Air Corporation
    (
    SEE)
    Upgraded: 05/24/18

    Sealed Air’s focus on innovations, growth in the global protein market, restructuring actions and acquisitions will drive growth.

  • Unitedhealth Group Incorporated
    (
    UNH)
    Upgraded: 05/24/18

    UnitedHealth' s continued strong growth at Optum as well as UnitedHealthcare segments are driving growth. Its  favorable government business and strong capital position are other positives.

  • Resmed Inc.
    (
    RMD)
    Upgraded: 05/24/18

    ResMed continues to rein in surging demand for its products for the treatment of SDB. Meanwhile, the company’s latest Brightree buyout has been meaningfully boosting its sleep apnea devices sales in the U.S.

  • Church & Dwight Co., Inc.
    (
    CHD)
    Upgraded: 05/24/18

    Church & Dwight with a strong brand portfolio and constant innovation is well-positioned in the consumer product categories. The company’s strategic buyouts and cost management initiatives are encouraging.

  • Stryker Corporation
    (
    SYK)
    Upgraded: 05/24/18

    Stryker’s acquisition-driven strategy is expected to boost growth by expanding existing product offerings across all business segments, while an enhanced international presence should support the growth of its global business.

New Downgrades: HSY, FIVE, AMKR, DY, MNTA, FIT, CBRL, WSO, TTWO, PTR

  • Hershey Company (the)
    (
    HSY)
    Downgraded: 05/25/18

    High freight and logistics costs as well as additional investments in trade and packaging is hurting margins

  • Five Below, Inc.
    (
    FIVE)
    Downgraded: 05/25/18

    Macroeconomic challenges such as high household debt and unemployment levels and stiff competition from both brick-&-mortar and online retailers remains a threat for Five Below.

  • Amkor Technology, Inc.
    (
    AMKR)
    Downgraded: 05/25/18

    The weakness in the smartphone market, high fixed cost structure and erosion of  average selling prices remain concerns.

  • Dycom Industries, Inc.
    (
    DY)
    Downgraded: 05/25/18

    Despite overall favorable trends, initiations of large-scale network deployments, particularly those occurring during periods of customer M&A activity, remain vulnerable to timing uncertainty, thus adding to Dycom's woes.

  • Momenta Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
    (
    MNTA)
    Downgraded: 05/24/18

    Generic competition is adversely immpacting sales. Pipeline setbacks also weigh on the company's growrh prospects.

  • Fitbit, Inc.
    (
    FIT)
    Downgraded: 05/23/18

    Increased competition and increased popularity of smart watches will continue to be major headwinds.

  • Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.
    (
    CBRL)
    Downgraded: 05/22/18

    A tricky industry dependent on consumer discretionary spending, rising costs as well as limited geographical presence remain potent headwinds for the company.

  • Watsco, Inc.
    (
    WSO)
    Downgraded: 05/19/18

    Watsco’s margin performance will be impacted by price increases by suppliers. Furthermore, seasonal factors will impact its revenues.

  • Take-two Interactive Software, Inc.
    (
    TTWO)
    Downgraded: 05/19/18

    Take Two’s dependence on few franchises is concerning. Plus, hit driven and competitive nature of video game industry begets caution. 

  • Petrochina Company Limited
    (
    PTR)
    Downgraded: 05/19/18

    Over the past few years, PetroChina has struggled to increase production.

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