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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
CFG Citizens 1.69% 0.60 0.59 35.25 2 19.61% 07/21/17
KSU Kansas C 0.79% 1.27 1.26 104.07 2 0.00% 07/21/17
MCO Moody's 4.51% 1.39 1.33 127.17 2 19.51% 07/21/17
FITB Fifth Th 2.38% 0.43 0.42 25.49 3 0.00% 07/21/17
HBAN Huntingt 4.35% 0.24 0.23 13.56 3 -4.55% 07/21/17

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find earnings surprises by focusing on the most recent analyst revisions. This is done because, generally speaking, if an analyst reevaluates their earnings estimate right before an earnings release, it means that they have fresh information which could potentially be more accurate than what analysts thought about a company two or three months ago.

The crux of this approach is comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, although the Zacks Rank is also an important feature of the ESP metric. Combining these two can help investors find stocks that are ready to beat the consensus at their next report, and hopefully surge higher in price too.

In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time. And best of all, by using these parameters, investors have seen 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
ADTRAN, Inc... ADTN 23.80 +8.18%
Asahi Kasei... AHKSY 23.61 +2.92%
SUMITOMO CH... SOMMY 30.28 +2.61%
POSCO PKX 72.95 +2.50%
Tailored Br... TLRD 11.86 +2.42%

Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 32.75 167.50 +404.12%
FB 57.94 164.53 +183.29%
HRC 48.88 83.48 +70.77%
MAN 72.26 119.05 +63.88%
LRCX 100.49 164.80 +63.43%

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New Upgrades: HUBS, FBHS, HON, SGMS, MDR, YUM, WEN, CMI, SNV, CCI

  • Hubspot, Inc.
    (
    HUBS)
    Upgraded: 07/20/17

    HubSpot’s growing customer base, cross selling opportunities, One HubSpot initiative and expanding international footprint are key positives.

  • Fortune Brands Home & Security, Inc.
    (
    FBHS)
    Upgraded: 07/19/17

    Fortune Brands is well positioned to benefit from its organic and inorganic growth strategies. Also, the policy of rewarding its shareholders will work in the company's favor.

  • Honeywell International Inc.
    (
    HON)
    Upgraded: 07/19/17

    Honeywell has a flexible yet disciplined focus on cost and productivity, and maintains a conservative balance sheet.

  • Scientific Games Corp
    (
    SGMS)
    Upgraded: 07/19/17

    Scientific Games is benefiting from its acquisition strategies and innovative product lines.

  • Mcdermott International, Inc.
    (
    MDR)
    Upgraded: 07/19/17

    Overall, McDermott is in a better position to weather the current uncertain environment in the energy engineering and construction space, given its solid backlog position, broad product portfolio and impressive geographic footprint.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc.
    (
    YUM)
    Upgraded: 07/19/17

    Yum! Brands’ strategic transformation plan to drive growth, efforts to boost the domestic business coupled with various digital initiatives undertaken, bode well

  • Wendy's Company (the)
    (
    WEN)
    Upgraded: 07/19/17

    The company’s initiatives like menu innovation, international expansion and re-imaging of units should help boost the top line

  • Cummins Inc.
    (
    CMI)
    Upgraded: 07/19/17

    Cummins will benefit from innovative products, rising demand for engines among OEMs, focus on cost reduction and improvement of operational efficiency. Share buybacks and acquisitions are other tailwinds.

  • Synovus Financial Corp.
    (
    SNV)
    Upgraded: 07/18/17

    Improving interest income and credit quality, shedding of distressed assets, expected lesser regulations and a strong capital position will continue to support the company’s financials.

  • Crown Castle International Corporation
    (
    CCI)
    Upgraded: 07/08/17

    The acquisition of Wilcon will enable Crown Castle attain ownership over 28,000 route miles of fiber.

New Downgrades: NAVI, EOG, FMC, ANGO, CENT, JACK, MRO, BJRI, GNC, CPB

  • Navient Corporation
    (
    NAVI)
    Downgraded: 07/20/17

    Navient’s top-line faces potential threat from lack of access to new loans and alternative sources of revenue. Also, ongoing litigation issues remain an added concern.

  • Eog Resources, Inc.
    (
    EOG)
    Downgraded: 07/20/17

    The continued weakness in oil prices has adversely affected EOG Resources' cash flows.

  • Fmc Corporation
    (
    FMC)
    Downgraded: 07/20/17

    FMC Corp. is faced with challenging agriculture market fundamentals, especially in North America. It is also exposed to currency headwinds. The company’s stretched valuation is another concern.

  • Angiodynamics, Inc.
    (
    ANGO)
    Downgraded: 07/19/17

    A sluggish capital-spending environment, third-party risks, higher debt levels and pricing headwinds due to aggressive competition and regulatory setbacks are adversely affecting AngioDynamics’ top-li

  • Central Garden & Pet Company
    (
    CENT)
    Downgraded: 07/19/17

    Gardening is generally limited to the period between spring to summer, which makes the garden business highly seasonal in nature.

  • Jack In The Box Inc.
    (
    JACK)
    Downgraded: 07/19/17

    A challenging sales environment leading to decelerating comps growth, rising costs, along with stiff competition in breakfast and lunch day parts raise caution

  • Marathon Oil Corporation
    (
    MRO)
    Downgraded: 07/19/17

    Marathon Oil's upside potential will remain limited until crude prices stabilize.

  • Bj's Restaurants, Inc.
    (
    BJRI)
    Downgraded: 07/18/17

    A challenging macro environment in the U.S. and increasing costs are likely to hurt sales and margins in the near term

  • Gnc Holdings, Inc.
    (
    GNC)
    Downgraded: 07/18/17

    GNC Holdings faces tough competition from varied companies both in the domestic and overseas market. Also, failure to comply with FTC regulations and changing consumer preferences may hamper the company’s business.

  • Campbell Soup Company
    (
    CPB)
    Downgraded: 07/18/17

    The company expects recovery at its Campbell Fresh segment to be slower than anticipated, which poses threats to its overall top line.

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