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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
FDX FedEx Co 0.51% 5.79 5.72 263.67 2 20.78% 06/19/18
ATU Actuant 4.23% 0.36 0.36 25.85 3 -7.14% 06/20/18
DRI Darden R 0.09% 1.35 1.35 94.30 3 4.27% 06/21/18
KR The Krog 2.77% 0.61 0.62 26.01 3 0.00% 06/21/18
MEI Methode 0.67% 0.75 0.75 44.15 3 31.82% 06/21/18

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

Visit the Earnings ESP Center

See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
CVR Refinin... CVRR 23.75 +3.92%
PGT, Inc. PGTI 21.75 +3.36%
Murphy Oil... MUR 33.84 +3.27%
Cardtronics... CATM 24.49 +2.94%
America's C... CRMT 66.75 +2.70%

Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 32.75 265.09 +709.95%
SQ 17.25 66.20 +273.80%
MU 23.26 58.45 +150.34%
UNH 120.33 254.87 +112.73%
CMA 46.85 94.68 +101.86%

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New Upgrades: STLD, XEL, JEC, DIS, PHG, LAMR, ICFI, HIW, DVN, UMBF

  • Steel Dynamics, Inc.
    (
    STLD)
    Upgraded: 06/16/18

    Steel Dynamics should gain from strong demand across automotive and construction markets as well as acquisitions and its efforts to expand capacity. It also remains committed to deliver value to shareholders leveraging strong cash flows.

  • Xcel Energy Inc.
    (
    XEL)
    Upgraded: 06/16/18

    Xcel Energy’s disciplined investments in infrastructure projects, focus on renewable expansion and demand driven by improvement in economic condition will act as growth catalysts.

  • Jacobs Engineering Group Inc.
    (
    JEC)
    Upgraded: 06/16/18

    Improved segmental performances, new contract wins, the CH2M acquisition and efforts made to focus on high-value business will likely improve Jacobs’ near-term results.

  • The Walt Disney Company
    (
    DIS)
    Upgraded: 06/15/18

    Planned acquisition of majority of Fox’s assets, impressive line-up of big budget movies, upcoming launch of direct-to-consumer service and robust visitor growth rate at parks & resorts are key catalyst.

  • Koninklijke Philips N.v.
    (
    PHG)
    Upgraded: 06/15/18

    Philips is gradually evolving as a healthcare company, having grown its presence in the domain primarily driven by an expanding portfolio.

  • Lamar Advertising Company
    (
    LAMR)
    Upgraded: 06/15/18

    Lamar’s diversified tenant base, impressive national footprint, opportunistic acquisitions, and its healthy balance sheet bode well for its growth.

  • Icf International, Inc.
    (
    ICFI)
    Upgraded: 06/15/18

    ICF continues to strengthen backed by strong global presence and strategic acquisitions.

  • Highwoods Properties, Inc.
    (
    HIW)
    Upgraded: 06/15/18

    Highwoods’ diversified real estate portfolio, efforts to expand in high-growth markets, disposition of non-core assets and investing the proceeds for further expansion bode well for long term growth.

  • Devon Energy Corporation
    (
    DVN)
    Upgraded: 06/15/18

    Capital investment, divestment of non-core assets, increase in oil production and free cash flow further boost the performance of the company.

  • Umb Financial Corporation
    (
    UMBF)
    Upgraded: 06/14/18

    UMB Financial benefits from its top-line strength and improving credit quality. Strong capital position remains another tailwind.

New Downgrades: SSYS, PBI, MDP, ATGE, GSK, ITRI, WTR, QSII, SBS, ESRX

  • Stratasys, Ltd.
    (
    SSYS)
    Downgraded: 06/16/18

    Falling sales of high-end products in North America is hurting Stratasys’ top-line performance, which makes us increasingly cautious about its near-term performance.

  • Pitney Bowes Inc.
    (
    PBI)
    Downgraded: 06/16/18

    As Pitney Bowes continues to transform its portfolio and make investments to boost up sales, it expects pressure on margins on account in the short term.

  • Meredith Corporation
    (
    MDP)
    Downgraded: 06/16/18

    Waning print media trends, shift from traditional advertising and stiff competition may impact Meredith's performance.

  • Adtalem Global Education Inc.
    (
    ATGE)
    Downgraded: 06/16/18

    As the employment situation is improving, more individuals are opting for jobs and the demand for academic programs is declining, thereby hampering growth prospects of for-profit education companies

  • Glaxosmithkline Plc
    (
    GSK)
    Downgraded: 06/15/18

    The company faces challenges in the form of increasing competition, genericization and pricing pressure.

  • Itron, Inc.
    (
    ITRI)
    Downgraded: 06/15/18

    Itron’s results will be dampened by elevated expenses due to restructuring, impact of tax rates as well as industry supply chain headwinds and pricing issues.

  • Aqua America, Inc.
    (
    WTR)
    Downgraded: 06/15/18

    Risk of water contamination, compliance with stricter regulation,rising interest rates and fluctuating weather conditions impacting demand for water are headwinds for Aqua America.

  • Quality Systems, Inc.
    (
    QSII)
    Downgraded: 06/15/18

    Unfavorable product mix, global economic weakness, intensifying competition and growing integration risk due to frequent acquisitions are major concerns. 

  • Companhia De Saneamento Basico Do Estado De Sao Paulo - Sabesp
    (
    SBS)
    Downgraded: 05/16/18

    In the near term, huge debt levels, governmental interference and dependence on electricity as a source of energy may prove to be potential headwinds for SABESP.

  • Express Scripts Holding Company
    (
    ESRX)
    Downgraded: 04/28/18

    The company faces intense competition. Moreover, dependence on a small number of clients for a significant part of its revenues is concerning.

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