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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
LRCX Lam Rese 0.98% 3.33 3.30 192.36 1 2.98% 10/17/17
IBKR Interact 5.41% 0.39 0.37 47.72 2 0.00% 10/17/17
SNV Synovus 0.52% 0.65 0.64 46.65 2 1.69% 10/17/17
FULT Fulton F 0.72% 0.28 0.28 19.25 3 0.00% 10/17/17
GS Goldman 0.28% 4.32 4.31 242.41 3 17.56% 10/17/17

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
MDC Partner... MDCA 11.75 +3.98%
J d Wethers... JDWPY 85.90 +3.00%
Vishay Inte... VSH 21.25 +1.68%
Tilly's, In... TLYS 12.07 +1.60%
Werner Ente... WERN 34.70 +1.46%

Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 32.75 197.93 +504.37%
FB 57.94 174.52 +201.21%
SQ 17.25 33.22 +92.58%
LRCX 100.49 192.36 +91.42%
WGO 23.30 44.15 +89.48%

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New Upgrades: CMPR, VNO, VMI, URBN, ECA, SCMP, RDC, QCOM, PF, JOE

  • Cimpress N.v
    (
    CMPR)
    Upgraded: 10/14/17

    Cimpress has been acquiring firms with complementary product offerings and expects to ramp up its revenues with operating synergies through economies of scale and technological collaborations.

  • Vornado Realty Trust
    (
    VNO)
    Upgraded: 10/14/17

    Strategic acquisitions and divestitures including spin-offs, diversified tenant base and strong New York business keep its growth momentum going.    

  • Valmont Industries, Inc.
    (
    VMI)
    Upgraded: 10/14/17

    Valmost is pursuing an aggressive acquisition strategy and capacity expansion plan to boost growth. The company is also looking to improve its overall cost structure through restructuring actions. 

  • Urban Outfitters, Inc.
    (
    URBN)
    Upgraded: 10/14/17

    We expect Urban Outfitters to drive growth on the back of new store openings, increase in direct penetration, growing wholesale operations, technology advancements and merchandising improvements.

  • Encana Corporation
    (
    ECA)
    Upgraded: 10/14/17

    Encana's cost reduction initiative and divestment of high-cost low-profit assets offer financial flexibility to the company to better handle the current volatile market condition.

  • Sucampo Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
    (
    SCMP)
    Upgraded: 10/14/17

    Growth prospects of Amitiza look promising with Sucampo working on expanding the label and penetrating into new markets.

  • Rowan Companies Plc
    (
    RDC)
    Upgraded: 10/14/17

    Rowan Companies has the largest number of jack up fleet among all the drillers.

  • Qualcomm Incorporated
    (
    QCOM)
    Upgraded: 10/14/17

    Qualcomm’s Snapdragon processors are known for its Internet of Things (IoT) applications.

  • Pinnacle Foods, Inc.
    (
    PF)
    Upgraded: 10/14/17

    Pinnacle Foods has developed a strong brand portfolio through regular innovations. The company has taken different initiatives to reduce costs and has been carrying out acquisitions to enhance its distribution network and customer base.

  • St. Joe Company (the)
    (
    JOE)
    Upgraded: 10/14/17

    St. Joe’s concerted efforts to enhance its resorts, leisure business and leasing operations augur well. Sale of non-strategic assets provides it with substantial liquidity for developmental needs.

New Downgrades: CFR, YUM, XRAY, KEY, SNA, WBA, CBS, TXT, TECD, AGN

  • Cullen/frost Bankers, Inc.
    (
    CFR)
    Downgraded: 10/14/17

    Escalating expenses along with exposure to risky loan portfolio remain concerns for the company.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc.
    (
    YUM)
    Downgraded: 10/14/17

    Continual underperformance of the Pizza Hut U.S. division, macroeconomic concerns along with negative currency translation remain potent headwinds 

  • Dentsply Sirona Inc.
    (
    XRAY)
    Downgraded: 10/14/17

    Foreign exchange volatility is expected to present a major headwind in 2017. Strengthening of the U.S. dollar will negatively impact the company’s near-term results.

  • Keycorp
    (
    KEY)
    Downgraded: 10/14/17

    Exposure to risky loan portfolios remains a near-term concern for KeyCorp.

  • Snap-on Incorporated
    (
    SNA)
    Downgraded: 10/14/17

    Fluctuations in petroleum and energy prices will likely raise Snap On’s operating costs, thereby adding to its woes. Also, Snap-on faces stiff competition across its all market segments.

  • Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc.
    (
    WBA)
    Downgraded: 10/14/17

    Ongoing generic drug inflation, reimbursement pressure and competitive market offer tough challenges for Walgreens Boots. Also, the fluctuating weak U.S. macroeconomic environment still prevailing might hamper the company’s margin.

  • Cbs Corporation
    (
    CBS)
    Downgraded: 10/14/17

    The media industry is highly competitive and CBS faces intense competition. Moreover, CBS remains highly vulnerable to the advertising market. Any deterioration in the economy of the major markets may lower advertising demand.

  • Textron Inc.
    (
    TXT)
    Downgraded: 10/14/17

    Consistent deterioration at Textron Aviation and global political uncertainties, along with intensifying competition for Textron’s products, are causes of concern

  • Tech Data Corporation
    (
    TECD)
    Downgraded: 10/14/17

    Tech Data’s business is likely to be affected by the sluggishness in the PC and other devices market.

  • Allergan Plc.
    (
    AGN)
    Downgraded: 10/14/17

    Allergan is facing generic threat for Namenda franchise as well as patent challenges for some of the other products in its branded portfolio.

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