Shares of Commercial Metals (
CMC Quick Quote CMC - Free Report) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 6.7% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $32.68 in the previous session. Commercial Metals has gained 58% since the start of the year compared to the 27.3% move for the Zacks Basic Materials sector and the 56.7% return for the Zacks Steel - Producers industry. What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on March 18, 2021, Commercial Metals reported EPS of $0.66 versus consensus estimate of $0.61 while it missed the consensus revenue estimate by 3.55%.
For the current fiscal year, Commercial Metals is expected to post earnings of $2.45 per share on $6.17 billion in revenues. This represents a -7.2% change in EPS on a 12.74% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $2.32 per share on $6.17 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of -5.31% and -0.08%, respectively.
Commercial Metals may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Commercial Metals has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and C, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 13.2X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 8.5X versus its peer group's average of 11.7X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 3.88. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Commercial Metals currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Commercial Metals passes the test. Thus, it seems as though Commercial Metals shares could have potential in the weeks and months to come.
How Does Commercial Metals Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of Commercial Metals have been rising, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also impressive, including Ternium (
TX Quick Quote TX - Free Report) , Aperam ( APEMY Quick Quote APEMY - Free Report) , and POSCO ( PKX Quick Quote PKX - Free Report) , all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.
The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 13% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Commercial Metals, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.