Shares of JAKKS Pacific (
JAKK Quick Quote JAKK - Free Report) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 25.4% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $15.54 in the previous session. JAKKS Pacific has gained 193.2% since the start of the year compared to the -2.7% move for the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the -10.2% return for the Zacks Toys - Games - Hobbies industry. What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on July 28, 2021, Jakks reported EPS of $-0.38 versus consensus estimate of $-1.66.
For the current fiscal year, Jakks is expected to post earnings of $0.17 per share on $590.7 million in revenues. This represents a 109.88% change in EPS on a 14.51% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $2.17 per share on $612.3 million in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 1176.47% and 3.66%, respectively.
Jakks may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Jakks has a Value Score of A. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and F, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 85.9X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 7.1X versus its peer group's average of 16.6X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Jakks currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Jakks meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though Jakks shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.
How Does Jakks Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of Jakks have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also solid potential picks, including OneWater Marine (
ONEW Quick Quote ONEW - Free Report) , Brunswick ( BC Quick Quote BC - Free Report) , and SnapOn ( SNA Quick Quote SNA - Free Report) , all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.
The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 20% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Jakks, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.