Have you been paying attention to shares of Home Bancorp (
HBCP Quick Quote HBCP - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 7.1% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $42.5 in the previous session. Home Bancorp has gained 51.8% since the start of the year compared to the 24.9% move for the Zacks Finance sector and the 43.4% return for the Zacks Banks - Southeast industry. What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on October 26, 2021, Home Bancorp reported EPS of $1.79 versus consensus estimate of $1.11 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 18.24%.
For the current fiscal year, Home Bancorp is expected to post earnings of $5.37 per share on $117.87 million in revenues. This represents an 87.11% change in EPS on a 10.65% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $3.51 per share on $108.14 million in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of -34.79% and -8.26%, respectively.
Home Bancorp may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Home Bancorp has a Value Score of A. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 7.9X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 10.2X versus its peer group's average of 13.1X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Home Bancorp currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Home Bancorp fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Home Bancorp shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.
How Does Home Bancorp Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of Home Bancorp have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also impressive, including United Bankshares (
UBSI Quick Quote UBSI - Free Report) , Chemung Financial ( CHMG Quick Quote CHMG - Free Report) , and Southern First Bancshares ( SFST Quick Quote SFST - Free Report) , all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.
The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 18% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Home Bancorp, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.