The market is trying to cope with geopolitical tension, thanks to the Russia and Ukraine conflict, supply chain bottlenecks, and soaring inflation. Well, the rising crude prices on concerns about supplies from Russia, which is one of the world's largest producers of the commodity, is a worrying factor. The Biden administration’s ban on the import of Russian crude and energy products has contributed to oil’s rapid price surge.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve raised the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points in order to tame shooting commodity prices. The policymakers have kept interest rate near zero since the pandemic struck the economy. But now the Fed chief Jerome Powell has signaled an aggressive stance on rate hikes to rein in current price increases. The current scenario calls for a prudent investment strategy, as it will be difficult to generate the kind of return registered last year. Investors always try to hit the jackpot while picking stocks. But striking the right chord each time is not easy unless you are blessed with Midas touch. When it comes to the investment market, experts consider value style as one of the most effective approaches. Value investing is essentially about selecting stocks that have good things going for them at a time when they have been beaten down by some external factor. There are different valuation metrics to determine a stock’s inherent strength but a random selection of ratios cannot serve your purpose if you want a realistic assessment of a company’s financial position. For this, we recommend Price to Cash Flow (or P/CF) as one of the key metrics. This metric evaluates the market price of a stock relative to the amount of cash flow that the company is generating on a per share basis – the lower the number, the better. Celestica Inc. ( CLS Quick Quote CLS - Free Report) , Target Corporation ( TGT Quick Quote TGT - Free Report) , TotalEnergies SE ( TTE Quick Quote TTE - Free Report) and Signet Jewelers Limited ( SIG Quick Quote SIG - Free Report) boast a low P/CF ratio. Price to Cash Flow Reveals Financial Health
Questions may arise as to why we are considering the Price to Cash Flow valuation metric, when the most widely used metric is Price/Earnings (or P/E). Well, what makes P/CF stand out is that operating cash flow adds back non-cash charges such as depreciation and amortization to net income, truly reflecting the financial health of a company.
Analysts caution that a company’s earnings are subject to accounting estimates and management manipulation. However, cash flow is reliable. It is net cash flow that reveals how much money a company is actually generating and how effectively management is putting the same to use. A positive cash flow indicates an increase in the company’s liquid assets. This gives the company the means to settle debt, shell out for its expenses, reinvest in its business, endure downturns and finally pay back its shareholders. Then again, a negative cash flow implies a decline in the company’s liquidity, which in turn lowers its flexibility to support these moves. What’s the Best Strategy?
An investment decision solely based on the P/CF metric may not fetch the desired results. To identify stocks that are trading at a discount, you should expand your search criteria and also consider price-to-book ratio, price-to-earnings ratio and price-to-sales ratio. Adding a favorable Zacks Rank and a
of A or B to your search criteria should lead to even better results as these eliminate the chance of falling into a value trap. Value Score Here are the parameters for selecting true value stocks: P/CF less than or equal to X-Industry Median. Price greater than or equal to 5: The stocks must all be trading at a minimum of $5 or higher. Average 20-Day Volume greater than 100,000: A substantial trading volume ensures that the stock is easily tradable. P/E using (F1) less than or equal to X-Industry Median: This parameter shortlists stocks that are trading at a discount or are equal to its peers. P/B less than or equal to X-Industry Median: A lower P/B compared with the industry average implies that there is enough room for the stock to gain. P/S less than or equal to X-Industry Median: The P/S ratio determines how a stock price compares to the company’s sales — the lower the ratio the more attractive the stock is. PEG less than 1: The ratio is used to determine a stock's value by taking the company's earnings growth into account. The PEG ratio portrays a more complete picture than the P/E ratio. A value of less than 1 indicates that the stock is undervalued and that investors need to pay less for a stock that has robust earnings growth prospects. Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2: Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) stocks are known to outperform irrespective of the market environment. Value Score of less than or equal to B: Our research shows that stocks with a Style Score of A or B when combined with Zacks Rank #1 or 2 offer the best upside potential. Here are four of the 21 stocks that qualified the screening: Celestica, a leader in design, manufacturing and supply-chain solutions for the world's most innovative companies, sports a Zacks Rank #1. It has an expected EPS growth rate of 14.5% for three-five years. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 10.9%, on average. You can see . the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Celestica's current financial-year sales and EPS suggests growth of 12.6% and 23.9%, respectively, from the year-ago period. CLS has a Value Score of A. The stock has zoomed 47.5% in the past year. Target, a general merchandise retailer in the United States, carries a Zacks Rank #1 and has an expected EPS growth rate of 16.5% for three-five years. The company has a trailing four-quarter positive earnings surprise of 21.3%, on average. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Target’s current financial year sales and EPS suggests growth of 3.5% and 6.7%, respectively, from the year-ago period. Target has a Value Score of B. Shares of TGT have gained 8% in the past year. TotalEnergies, which operates as an integrated oil and gas company globally, sports a Zacks Rank #1 and has an expected EPS growth rate of 6.6% for three-five years. The company has a trailing four-quarter positive earnings surprise of 18.9%, on average. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TotalEnergies’ current financial year EPS suggests growth of 31.1% from the year-ago period. TotalEnergies has a Value Score of A. Shares of TTE have gained 10.5% in the past year. Signet, the world's largest retailer of diamond jewelry, carries a Zacks Rank #2. It has an expected EPS growth rate of 8% for three-five years. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 73.8%, on average. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Signet's current financial year sales suggests growth of 5.2% from the year-ago period. SIG has a Value Score of A. The stock has risen 34.4% in the past year. You can get the rest of the stocks on this list by signing up now for your 2-week free trial to the Research Wizard and start using this screen in your own trading. Further, you can also create your own strategies and backtest them first before taking the investment plunge. The Research Wizard is a great place to begin. It's easy to use. Everything is in plain language. And it's very intuitive. Start your Research Wizard trial today. And the next time you read an economic report, open up the Research Wizard, plug your finds in, and see what gems come out. . Click here to sign up for a free trial to the Research Wizard today Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. Disclosure: Performance information for Zacks’ portfolios and strategies are available at: . https://www.zacks.com/performance