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How to Boost Your Portfolio with Top Retail and Wholesale Stocks Set to Beat Earnings

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Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.

Life and the stock market are both about expectations, and rising above what is expected is often rewarded, while falling short can come with negative consequences. Investors might want to try to capture stronger returns by finding positive earnings surprises.

Hunting for 'earnings whispers' or companies poised to beat their quarterly earnings estimates is a somewhat common practice. But that doesn't make it easy. One way that has been proven to work is by using the Zacks Earnings ESP tool.

The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained

The Zacks Earnings ESP is more formally known as the Expected Surprise Prediction, and it aims to grab the inside track on the latest analyst estimate revisions ahead of a company's report. The idea is relatively intuitive as a newer projection might be based on more complete information.

With this in mind, the Expected Surprise Prediction compares the Most Accurate Estimate (being the most recent) against the overall Zacks Consensus Estimate. The percentage difference provides the ESP figure. The system also utilizes our core Zacks Rank to provide a stronger system for identifying stocks that might beat their next quarterly earnings estimate and possibly see the stock price climb.

Bringing together a positive earnings ESP alongside a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better has helped stocks report a positive earnings surprise 70% of the time. Furthermore, by using these parameters, investors have seen 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

Stocks with a ranking of #3 (Hold), or 60% of all stocks covered by the Zacks Rank, are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. Stocks with rankings of #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy), or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market; Strong Buy stocks should outperform more than any other rank.

Should You Consider Booking Holdings?

The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. Booking Holdings (BKNG - Free Report) earns a #3 (Hold) eight days from its next quarterly earnings release on May 2, 2024, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $14.27 a share.

BKNG has an Earnings ESP figure of +1.75%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $14.27 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.02. Booking Holdings is one of a large database of stocks with positive ESPs. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

BKNG is one of just a large database of Retail and Wholesale stocks with positive ESPs. Another solid-looking stock is Dollar Tree (DLTR - Free Report) .

Slated to report earnings on May 23, 2024, Dollar Tree holds a #3 (Hold) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is $1.47 a share 29 days from its next quarterly update.

For Dollar Tree, the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.44 is +1.61%.

BKNG and DLTR's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>


See More Zacks Research for These Tickers


Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:


Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) - free report >>

Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) - free report >>

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