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Will 21st Century Fox (FOXA) Q4 Earnings Be a Letdown?

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Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (FOXA - Free Report) is scheduled to report fourth-quarter fiscal 2016 results on Aug 3, after the closing bell. The big question facing investors now is, whether the company will be able to deliver a positive earnings surprise in the to-be-reported quarter after posting in-line earnings in the previous two quarters.

Notably, in the trailing four quarters, the company surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by an average of 2%. Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Zacks Model Shows Unlikely Earnings Beat

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Twenty-First Century Fox is likely to beat earnings estimates this quarter. This is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) for this to happen.

Twenty-First Century Fox has an Earnings ESP of -2.70% as the Most Accurate estimate stands at 36 cents, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate is pegged higher at 37 cents. Though Twenty-First Century Fox’s Zacks Rank #3 increases the predictive power of ESP, a negative ESP complicates our surprise prediction.  

TWENTY-FST CF-A Price and EPS Surprise

TWENTY-FST CF-A Price and EPS Surprise | TWENTY-FST CF-A Quote

Factors Influencing This Quarter

Due to rise in affiliate fees, the company’s Cable Network Programming is expected to report higher revenues. Affiliate fees are the dominant source of revenue for the Cable Network segment as well as a major contributor to total revenues.

However, we note that Twenty-First Century Fox’s international Cable and Film operations continue to be adversely affected by the foreign currency exchange rate. Management had earlier guided that the foreign currency exchange rate will hamper the company’s growth rate by 3% or nearly $200 million in fiscal 2016. It expects adjusted EBITDA between flat to up in the low single-digits for fiscal 2016, in comparison to the previous forecast of an increase in the mid-single-digit range.

Stocks Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates

Here are some companies you may want to consider as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat:

Eros International Plc has an Earnings ESP of +7.14% and a Zacks Rank #3.

TiVo Inc. has an Earnings ESP of +15.39% and a Zacks Rank #3.

Time Warner Inc. has an Earnings ESP of +0.87% and a Zacks Rank #3.

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