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Tale of the Tape

Zacks Equity Research

3 Reasons Why Avianca Holdings (AVH) is a Great Momentum Stock
November 10, 2016

AVH

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Many investors like to look for momentum in stocks, but this can be very tough to define. There is great debate regarding which metrics are the best to focus on in this regard, and which are not really quality indicators of future performance. Fortunately, with our new style score system we have identified the key statistics to pay close attention to and thus which stocks might be the best for momentum investors in the near term.

This method discovered several great candidates for momentum-oriented investors, but today let’s focus in on Avianca Holdings S.A. (AVH - Free Report) as this stock is looking especially impressive right now. And while there are numerous ways in which this company could be a great choice, we have highlighted three of the most vital reasons for AVH’s status as a solid momentum stock below:

Longer Term Price Change for Avianca Holdings

While any stock can see a spike in price, it takes a real winner to consistently outperform the market. That is why looking at longer term price metrics—such as performance over the past three months or year-- and comparing these to an industry at large can be very useful.

And in the case of AVH, the results are quite impressive. The company has beaten out the industry at large over the past 12 weeks by a margin of 10.3% to 6.9% while it has also outperformed when looking at the past year, putting up a gain of 69.6%. Clearly, AVH is riding a bit of a hot streak and is worth a closer look by investors. 

Fiscal Year EPS Estimate Change for AVH

In addition to price performance, it is also important to take a look at earnings estimate changes for the full year. This can show if AVH is poised to make a run based on fundamentals, or if the company is simply moving on speculation.

Over the past week, the full year earnings estimate for AVH has risen by 15%. On its own this is impressive, but consider that it also beats the industry average of 0.0% too. The trend is undeniably in Avianca Holdings’ favor right now, and it suggests that the momentum might be long lasting for this stock.  

AVH Earnings Estimate Revisions Moving in the Right Direction

While the great momentum factors outlined in the preceding paragraphs might be enough for some investors, we should also take into account broad earnings estimate revision trends. A nice path here can really help to show us a promising stock, and we have actually been seeing that with AVH as of late too.

Over the past two months, 1 earnings estimate has gone higher compared to no downward revisions for the full year.  This has helped to boost the consensus estimate as two months ago AVH was expected to post earnings of 40 cents/share for the full year, though today it looks to have EPS of 46 cents for the full year now, representing a solid increase which is something that should definitely be welcomed news to would-be investors.

Bottom Line

Given these factors, investors shouldn’t be surprised to note that we have AVH as a security with a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and a Momentum Score of ‘B’. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

So if you are looking for a fresh pick that has potential to move in the right direction, definitely keep AVH on your short list as this looks be a stock that is very well-positioned to soar in the near term.

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