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Why Is Jack In The Box (JACK) Down 19% Since Last Earnings Report?

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It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Jack In The Box (JACK - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 19% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Jack In The Box due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

It turns out, fresh estimates have trended downward during the past month.

VGM Scores

Currently, Jack In The Box has a subpar Growth Score of D, however its Momentum Score is doing a lot better with an A. Following the exact same course, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top quintile for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. It's no surprise Jack In The Box has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). We expect a below average return from the stock in the next few months.

Performance of an Industry Player

Jack In The Box is part of the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry. Over the past month, Cheesecake Factory (CAKE - Free Report) , a stock from the same industry, has gained 6.8%. The company reported its results for the quarter ended March 2025 more than a month ago.

Cheesecake Factory reported revenues of $927.2 million in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +4%. EPS of $0.93 for the same period compares with $0.73 a year ago.

For the current quarter, Cheesecake Factory is expected to post earnings of $1.05 per share, indicating a change of -3.7% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -1.6% over the last 30 days.

The overall direction and magnitude of estimate revisions translate into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Cheesecake Factory. Also, the stock has a VGM Score of A.


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