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Is Cisco Stock's 4.42X PS Still Worth it? Buy, Sell, or Hold?

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Key Takeaways

  • Cisco shares gained 13.8% YTD but lagged peers Broadcom and Arista Networks.
  • AI Infrastructure orders hit $2B in fiscal 2025, doubling management's forecast.
  • Cisco guides fiscal 2026 revenues of $59 to $60B and EPS of $4.00 to $4.06.

Cisco Systems (CSCO - Free Report) shares are trading at a premium, as suggested by the Value Score of D. 

In terms of the forward 12-month price/sales, CSCO is trading at a premium of 4.45X, higher than the Zacks Computer Networks industry’s 4.16X. However, Cisco shares are trading at a discount compared with Arista Networks (ANET - Free Report) and Broadcom (AVGO - Free Report) . In terms of the forward 12-month P/S, Arista Networks and Broadcom shares are trading at 18.19X and 21.43X, respectively.

CSCO Stock’s Valuation

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Meanwhile, year to date (YTD), CSCO shares have appreciated 13.8%, underperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector, as well as close peers Broadcom and Arista Networks. While the broader sector has appreciated 15.9%, shares of Broadcom and Arista Networks have appreciated 46.1% and 28.4%, respectively, over the same time frame.

CSCO shares have dropped 4.4% since the fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results were reported on Aug. 13. The drop can be attributed to apparently slowing momentum in networking revenues, which grew 12% year over year to $7.63 billion, in the reported quarter.

 

CSCO Stock’s Performance

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

However, growing AI Infrastructure orders from webscale customers is expected to boost CSCO’s prospects. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, AI Infrastructure orders from webscale customers exceeded $800 million, bringing the total revenues to $2 billion in fiscal 2025, double the management’s original expectation. Product orders from service providers and cloud customers jumped 49% year over year in the reported quarter. This was driven by triple-digit order growth in webscale customers, with orders from each of the four out of the top six webscale customers growing in the triple digits. 

However, does expanding clientele and AI order growth improve CSCO’s appeal to investors? Let’s find out.

Expanding Portfolio to Boost Cisco’s Prospects

Cisco’s aggressive AI push and growing security dominance have been major growth drivers. Rapid acceleration in the capacity requirements of the network due to unprecedented levels of network traffic and an ever-evolving threat landscape bodes well for Cisco’s prospects. The AI opportunity further gets a boost from Cisco’s partnership with NVIDIA (NVDA - Free Report) . 

Cisco’s expanded partnership with NVIDIA, under which the companies plan to offer solutions that help build AI-ready data center networks, is a game-changer. Integration of Cisco Nexus switches with NVIDIA’s Spectrum-X architecture is offering low-latency, high-speed networking for AI clusters, driving enterprise AI orders. The Cisco Secure AI factory with NVIDIA provides a trusted blueprint for building secure AI-ready data centers for enterprises, sovereign cloud providers and newly emerging Neocloud providers.

Networking product orders grew double digits (for the fourth consecutive quarter) in the fiscal fourth quarter, driven by webscale infrastructure, switching, enterprise routing, industrial IoT and servers. Silicon One powered smart switches are very much in demand. Orders for the industrial IoT portfolio, comprised of ruggedized catalyst products, grew double digits (for the fifth consecutive quarter). Cisco expects momentum to continue in fiscal 2026 as more and more strategic infrastructure and manufacturing come onshore to the United States.

Cisco’s security business is benefiting from strong demand for both Cisco Secure Access, Hypershield and XDR. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, orders grew mid-single-digit. Splunk and Cisco synergies reported 14% year-over-year growth in new logos for Splunk.  Secure Access, XDR, Hypershield and AI Defense added 750 new customers collectively in the reported quarter.

CSCO Offers Positive 2026 Guidance

For fiscal 2026, CSCO expects revenues to be $59-$60 billion compared with $56.7 billion reported in fiscal 2025. Non-GAAP earnings are expected between $4 per share and $4.06 per share compared with $3.81 per share reported in fiscal 2025.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CSCO’s fiscal 2026 revenues is pegged at $56.58 billion, indicating growth of 5.2% on a year-over-year basis. The consensus mark for CSCO’s fiscal 2026 earnings is currently pegged at $4.04 per share, up three cents over the past 30 days, indicating year-over-year growth of 6%.

 

 

Here’s Why CSCO Stock is a Hold Right Now

An expanding portfolio makes Cisco well-positioned for sustained growth in an evolving tech landscape. AI push is noteworthy, along with a growing footprint in the security space. These trends bode well for CSCO’s long-term prospects. 

However, a stretched valuation is a headwind. A challenging macroeconomic condition due to tariffs, as well as stiff competition in the networking and security domain, is expected to hurt Cisco’s prospects in the near term. 

CSCO currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting that it may be wise for investors to wait for a better point to start accumulating the stock. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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