We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience.
This includes personalizing content and advertising.
By pressing "Accept All" or closing out of this banner, you consent to the use of all cookies and similar technologies and the sharing of information they collect with third parties.
You can reject marketing cookies by pressing "Deny Optional," but we still use essential, performance, and functional cookies.
In addition, whether you "Accept All," Deny Optional," click the X or otherwise continue to use the site, you accept our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service, revised from time to time.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
Lumentum Stock Rides on Strong AI Push: A Sign of More Upside?
Read MoreHide Full Article
Key Takeaways
LITE is seeing strong AI demand for laser chips and optical transceivers used in data centers and networks.
More than 60% of revenues now come from AI infrastructure and cloud, driven by strong hyperscaler demand.
LITE forecasts $630M-$670M in fiscal Q2 2026 revenue, with growth split between components and systems.
Lumentum (LITE - Free Report) is riding on strong AI demand, which is driving the need for its laser chips and optical transceivers inside data centers, as well as in the interconnect and long-haul networks that bring them together. LITE estimates that more than 60% of its current revenues come from AI infrastructure and cloud, driven by strong demand from hyperscalers.
Strong demand for laser chip, laser assembly and line subsystem product lines used in data centers, as well as for data center interconnect and long-haul applications, is driving the components business. Laser chip shipment is anticipated to remain strong due to the expected addition of 40% more capacity over the next few quarters at the indium phosphide-based wafer fab.
LITE has evolved as a leading provider of optics for scaling AI. Cloud transceivers, optical circuit switches and co-packaged optics are long-term growth drivers for the systems segment. Lumentum expects sustainable growth from cloud transceivers (flat in the first quarter of 2026) over the next four to five quarters, beginning in the second quarter of fiscal 2026. Rapid manufacturing expansion in Thailand bodes well for cloud transceivers and optical circuit switches.
The company expects roughly half of the sequential growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 to be driven by component products serving cloud applications. The other half is expected from LITE’s systems products serving cloud customers, driven by growing demand for high-speed optical transceivers for data center applications. Lumentum expects fiscal second-quarter revenues between $630 million and $670 million, while earnings are anticipated to be $1.30-$1.50 per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is currently pegged at $652.4 million, suggesting 62.2% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.
LITE Faces Tough Competition in AI Space
Lumentum competes against Ciena (CIEN - Free Report) and Marvell Technology (MRVL - Free Report) in the AI infrastructure space. Ciena is a leading provider of optical networking equipment, software and services, while Marvell Technology is a competitor in optical networking for AI and data center applications.
Ciena is benefiting from improvements in customer spending owing to the rapid proliferation of AI applications. CIEN continues to benefit from higher network traffic and demand for bandwidth, which are mainly attributed to increasing AI technology use cases. Ciena’s Cloud and Service Provider customers are prioritizing network investments to support AI-driven traffic growth, highlighting long-term opportunities for its Systems and Interconnects businesses. Ciena lifted its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $5.7-$6.1 billion, nearly 24% growth at the midpoint.
Marvell Technology is gaining from the adoption of scale-up switches that connect AI accelerators within and across racks, requiring multi-terabit bandwidth and ultra-low latency. These switches will support both open standard Ethernet and UALink fabrics, leveraging Marvell Technology’s low-latency SerDes and Ethernet switch IP. MRVL announced that leading AI and data center infrastructure companies are now adopting its Alaska PCIe 6 retimer product line to support next-generation accelerated AI infrastructure.
Lumentum shares have appreciated 359.4% in a year, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s return of 21.6%.
LITE Stock Outperforms Sector
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The LITE stock is trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month price/sales of 9.29X compared with the Zacks Communications Components industry’s 3.75X. Lumentum has a Value Score of F.
LITE Valuation
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is pegged at $12.59 per share, up 3.2% over the past 30 days. Lumentum reported earnings of $2.99 per share in fiscal 2025.
Image: Bigstock
Lumentum Stock Rides on Strong AI Push: A Sign of More Upside?
Key Takeaways
Lumentum (LITE - Free Report) is riding on strong AI demand, which is driving the need for its laser chips and optical transceivers inside data centers, as well as in the interconnect and long-haul networks that bring them together. LITE estimates that more than 60% of its current revenues come from AI infrastructure and cloud, driven by strong demand from hyperscalers.
Strong demand for laser chip, laser assembly and line subsystem product lines used in data centers, as well as for data center interconnect and long-haul applications, is driving the components business. Laser chip shipment is anticipated to remain strong due to the expected addition of 40% more capacity over the next few quarters at the indium phosphide-based wafer fab.
LITE has evolved as a leading provider of optics for scaling AI. Cloud transceivers, optical circuit switches and co-packaged optics are long-term growth drivers for the systems segment. Lumentum expects sustainable growth from cloud transceivers (flat in the first quarter of 2026) over the next four to five quarters, beginning in the second quarter of fiscal 2026. Rapid manufacturing expansion in Thailand bodes well for cloud transceivers and optical circuit switches.
The company expects roughly half of the sequential growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 to be driven by component products serving cloud applications. The other half is expected from LITE’s systems products serving cloud customers, driven by growing demand for high-speed optical transceivers for data center applications. Lumentum expects fiscal second-quarter revenues between $630 million and $670 million, while earnings are anticipated to be $1.30-$1.50 per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is currently pegged at $652.4 million, suggesting 62.2% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.
LITE Faces Tough Competition in AI Space
Lumentum competes against Ciena (CIEN - Free Report) and Marvell Technology (MRVL - Free Report) in the AI infrastructure space. Ciena is a leading provider of optical networking equipment, software and services, while Marvell Technology is a competitor in optical networking for AI and data center applications.
Ciena is benefiting from improvements in customer spending owing to the rapid proliferation of AI applications. CIEN continues to benefit from higher network traffic and demand for bandwidth, which are mainly attributed to increasing AI technology use cases. Ciena’s Cloud and Service Provider customers are prioritizing network investments to support AI-driven traffic growth, highlighting long-term opportunities for its Systems and Interconnects businesses. Ciena lifted its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $5.7-$6.1 billion, nearly 24% growth at the midpoint.
Marvell Technology is gaining from the adoption of scale-up switches that connect AI accelerators within and across racks, requiring multi-terabit bandwidth and ultra-low latency. These switches will support both open standard Ethernet and UALink fabrics, leveraging Marvell Technology’s low-latency SerDes and Ethernet switch IP. MRVL announced that leading AI and data center infrastructure companies are now adopting its Alaska PCIe 6 retimer product line to support next-generation accelerated AI infrastructure.
LITE’s Share Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates
Lumentum shares have appreciated 359.4% in a year, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s return of 21.6%.
LITE Stock Outperforms Sector
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The LITE stock is trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month price/sales of 9.29X compared with the Zacks Communications Components industry’s 3.75X. Lumentum has a Value Score of F.
LITE Valuation
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is pegged at $12.59 per share, up 3.2% over the past 30 days. Lumentum reported earnings of $2.99 per share in fiscal 2025.
Lumentum Holdings Inc. Price and Consensus
Lumentum Holdings Inc. price-consensus-chart | Lumentum Holdings Inc. Quote
Lumentum currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.