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Dycom Trades at a Premium: Should Investors Buy the Stock or Wait?

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Key Takeaways

  • Dycom's backlog rose 4.7% year over year to $8.22B, led by fiber and digital infrastructure demand.
  • Dycom is positioned to benefit from $29.5B in BEAD funding aimed largely at fiber and HFC networks.
  • DY expects FY26 revenue growth of up to 15.4%, supported by strong Q4 guidance and rate cuts.

Dycom Industries, Inc. (DY - Free Report) is currently trading above the Building Products - Heavy Construction industry peers and the broader Construction sector, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.66. The industry’s average currently is 22.68, while the sector’s valuation is 19.9.

Although the investors’ judgment is clouded by the premium valuation of the DY stock for the near term, the mid- and long-term prospects of the firm look promising amid the ongoing market tailwinds. Dycom is primarily benefiting from the growing demand for fiber and digital infrastructure, driven by increased data center projects. Apart from this, the ongoing optimism about the Broadband Equity, Access and Deployment (BEAD) funding initiatives, declining borrowing rates and accretive buyouts are pushing the sail further amid the challenging macroeconomic tide.

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In the past three months, shares of this specialty contracting firm operating in the telecom industry have gained 19.1%, outperforming the industry, the sector and the S&P 500 Index.

DY's Price Performance

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Let’s decode the factors that are driving Dycom stock’s momentum.

Robust Demand For Fiber

The telecommunications infrastructure environment is expanding as hyperscalers and large technology companies invest in long-haul and middle-mile fiber networks to support rising data usage and new compute requirements. Dycom is extensively benefiting from this favorable trend and is well-positioned to continue reaping benefits in the mid and long term as well. As of October 2025, DY’s total backlog grew 4.7% year over year to $8.22 billion, with the next 12-month backlog rising 11.4%.

The company believes that the market is in the early stages of a generational deployment of digital infrastructure, with the construction of new outside plant data center networks to ramp up in calendar year 2026. These prospects favor its long-term growth (continued expansion into 2027 and beyond), given its expertise in handling highly complex and large-scale builds. During the first nine months of fiscal 2026, Dycom’s contract revenues grew 13% year over year to $4.09 billion, driven by robust demand for telecommunications and digital infrastructure, fueled by accelerating fiber builds and a massive ramp-up in data center needs.

Market Tailwinds Bode Well

The optimism surrounding the BEAD program and declining Fed interest rates bode well for Dycom. The BEAD program represents a large multi-year catalyst, with $29.5 billion in expected state and territory spending and roughly $26 billion directed specifically toward fiber or HFC infrastructure, an area directly aligned with Dycom’s core capabilities. About two-thirds of all BEAD-funded locations will be served using these technologies, expanding DY’s addressable market over the next four-plus years. With deep relationships across carriers and long-standing engagement with states on deployment planning, the company is well situated to capture a meaningful share of BEAD-driven rural broadband construction.

Moreover, the three back-to-back Fed rate cuts are acting as a catalyst in boosting prospects further. On Dec. 10, 2025, the Federal Reserve slashed its interest rates by another 0.25 percentage points, setting the benchmark between 3.5% and 3.75%. The declining borrowing rates catalyze more project funding in an already-booming public infrastructure spending scenario.

Upbeat Q4 & Fiscal 2026 View

Due to robust digital infrastructure growth and long-term demand drivers, Dycom laid out an upbeat fourth-quarter and fiscal 2026 outlook. For the fiscal fourth quarter, it expects contract revenues between $1.26 billion and $1.34 billion, up from $1.085 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $140 million and $155 million, implying growth from $116.4 million reported a year ago. Also, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the fiscal fourth quarter are expected in the range of $1.62-$1.97, up from $1.17 reported in the prior-year quarter.

For fiscal 2026, Dycom now expects total contract revenues in the range of $5.350-$5.425 billion (prior expectation was $5.290-$5.425 billion), suggesting a 13.8-15.4% year-over-year increase.

Earnings Estimate Trend Favors DY

Dycom’s earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 have trended upward over the past 30 days. The estimated figures for fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 imply year-over-year growth of 26.9% and 35%, respectively.

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The robust market fundamentals and DY’s strategic in-house capabilities likely induced bullish sentiments among analysts.

ROE for Dycom Stock

Dycom’s trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) of 22.2% significantly exceeds the industry’s average, underscoring its efficiency in generating shareholder returns.

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Dycom’s Competitive Position

Dycom is emerging as one of the most direct beneficiaries of the next multi-year U.S. fiber and digital infrastructure build cycle. However, this does not alter the competitive aspect in this vast market with key players, including EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME - Free Report) , Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR - Free Report) and MasTec, Inc. (MTZ - Free Report) .

EMCOR is strongest inside the data center footprint, particularly in mechanical and electrical systems, but has limited exposure to outside-plant fiber networks and BEAD-funded rural broadband. Contrastingly, Quanta offers a broader scale and deeper exposure to power transmission, renewable energy and long-haul infrastructure. Quanta’s advantage is resilience across cycles, but its upside from BEAD and last-mile fiber is less concentrated than Dycom’s.

MasTec competes closely with Dycom in communications infrastructure and has meaningful fiber exposure, particularly through large national carrier programs. However, MasTec’s earnings volatility, capital intensity and exposure to energy construction dilute the purity of its fiber and data center thesis relative to Dycom’s increasingly focused strategy.

Summing up, Dycom stands out as the most leveraged pure-play on U.S. fiber expansion, BEAD funding and hyperscaler-driven data center networking. On the other hand, the peers EMCRO, Quanta and MasTec offer broader, but less targeted, infrastructure exposure.

Should You Buy the Premium-Valued DY Stock Now?

Dycom continues to benefit from powerful secular tailwinds tied to U.S. fiber deployment, hyperscaler-driven data center networking and government-backed broadband expansion. Rising demand for long-haul, middle-mile and last-mile fiber has driven backlog growth, with the next-12-month backlog up double digits year over year. This backdrop underpins Dycom’s upbeat fourth-quarter and fiscal 2026 guidance, pointing to solid top-line growth and expanding EBITDA. Also, the multi-year BEAD funding program and declining interest rates further enhance project funding visibility.

Although the DY stock currently trades at a premium compared to the industry and the construction sector, its accelerating growth outlook and improving earnings visibility support a bullish stance. Notably, a strong ROE highlights disciplined execution and capital efficiency.

Analysts’ optimism regarding DY stock is reflected in 10 recommendations pointing to a "Strong Buy”, representing 100% of all recommendations.

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Risks include execution complexity on large projects and a premium valuation. Nonetheless, focused exposure to fiber and digital infrastructure, combined with strong earnings momentum, makes this current Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stock attractive for investors seeking long-term growth. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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