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Can McCormick's Innovation & Distribution Wins Offset Cost Pressures?

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Key Takeaways

  • MKC posted a fifth consecutive quarter of volume-driven growth despite margin pressure from higher costs.
  • MKC's Consumer segment organic sales rose 3%, led by volume gains and stepped-up brand investment.
  • MKC expects volume growth to continue into Q4 on innovation, wider distribution and marketing support.

McCormick & Company, Inc. (MKC - Free Report) posted a solid quarterly performance, extending its streak to a fifth consecutive quarter of volume-driven growth. This sustained momentum highlights the effectiveness of its differentiated product portfolio, underpinned by continued investments in brands, expanded distribution, and a steady pipeline of innovation, all of which are supporting demand and strengthening its competitive positioning. Amid a volatile global trade environment, rising costs continued to weigh on gross margins in the third quarter of fiscal 2025. Despite this pressure, disciplined execution of efficiency initiatives supported ongoing operating profit growth. Management emphasized a strong focus on controllable actions while remaining agile in responding to external dynamics.

In third quarter organic sales rose 3% in the Consumer segment, led by volume growth across core categories, supported by continued investments in brand marketing and innovation. The company continues to focus on investments in the consumer segment to drive volume growth, including stepped-up brand marketing, innovation and revenue management initiatives. These actions have produced strong and differentiated results over the past six quarters.

McCormick is collaborating with both large and emerging brands to develop flavors for energy and hydration products, protein-based beverages, protein- and fiber-rich snacks and zero-sugar drinks. These collaborations are benefiting from favorable trends in health and wellness, further reinforcing the company’s presence in fast-growing categories.

That said, overall growth faced some pressure from intensifying competition in the United States, particularly in the Mexican flavor segment. Management expects these pressures to moderate as new innovations are rolled out, distribution expands, and the company leverages the authenticity and strength of brands such as Cholula, supported by continued brand marketing investments.

Looking ahead, management remains encouraged by healthy consumption trends and expects volume growth to continue into the fourth quarter, driven by broader distribution, accelerated innovation and renovation across the portfolio, and sustained marketing efforts that are increasing purchase interest and sales velocity.

The Zacks Rundown for MKC

MKC’s shares have lost 4.7% in the past six months compared with the industry’s decline of 3.8%. MKC currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

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From a valuation standpoint, MKC trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 20.86, higher than the industry’s average of 16.49.

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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MKC’s fiscal 2025 and 2026 earnings implies a year-over-year rise of 2.4% and 6.5%, respectively.

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Better-Ranked Stocks to Consider

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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vita Coco's current fiscal-year sales and earnings implies growth of 18% and 15%, respectively, from the year-ago reported figures. Vita Coco delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 30.4%, on average.

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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for United Natural’s current fiscal-year sales and earnings implies growth of 1.4% and 197.2%, respectively, from the year-ago reported figures. UNFI delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 52.1%, on average.

J & J Snack Foods, Inc. (JJSF - Free Report) manufactures, markets, and distributes nutritional snack food and beverages to the food service and retail supermarket industries in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. JJSF currently sports a Zacks Rank #1.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for JJSF's current fiscal-year sales and earnings implies growth of 2% and 4.2%, respectively, from the year-ago actuals. JJSF delivered a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise of 8%, on average.

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