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Allstate Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates on Property-Liability Unit Strength

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Key Takeaways

  • ALL posted Q4 adjusted EPS of $14.31, beating consensus by 45.7% as operating income surged YoY.
  • Allstate benefited from higher P&C premiums, improved investment income and a drop in catastrophe losses.
  • ALL's Property-Liability unit saw underwriting income more than double as the combined ratio improved.

The Allstate Corporation (ALL - Free Report) reported a fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted net income of $14.31 per share, which outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 45.7%. The bottom line surged 86.6% year over year.

Operating revenues of $17.3 billion grew 3.4% year over year. However, the top line missed the consensus mark by 1.4%.

Allstate’s quarterly results benefited from higher property and casualty insurance premiums, improved net investment income and significantly lower catastrophe losses. A lower expense level and strong underwriting performance also contributed to the upside.

The Allstate Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Allstate Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Allstate Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | The Allstate Corporation Quote

Key Takeaways From Allstate’s Q4 Results

Property and casualty insurance premiums improved 6.3% year over year to $15.5 billion. Net investment income of $892 million advanced 7.1% year over year on the back of a growing market-based portfolio. The metric beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $875 million and our estimate of $883 million. Market-based investment income rose 10.6% year over year to $804 million in the quarter under review.

Total costs and expenses came in at $12.4 billion, which decreased 11.6% year over year and came lower than our estimate of $15.2 billion. The year-over-year decline was due to decreased property and casualty insurance claims and claims expenses, accident, health and other policy benefits, and operating costs and expenses. Catastrophe losses of $209 million dropped 49% year over year. 

Allstate’s pretax income doubled year over year to $4.9 billion. 

As of Dec. 31, 2025, total policies in force were 210.9 million, up 3% year over year.

ALL’s Segmental Performances

The Property-Liability segment recorded premiums earned of $14.8 billion in the fourth quarter, which rose 6.1% year over year, attributable to increased auto and homeowners insurance average premiums and policies in force. However, the metric fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.9 billion and our estimate of $15 billion. Underwriting income in the unit more than doubled year over year to $4 billion. The underlying combined ratio of 76.6% improved 640 basis points year over year.

The Protection Services segment’s revenues advanced 3.1% year over year to $917 million, aided by Allstate Protection Plans and Roadside businesses. However, the metric lagged our estimate of $1 billion. Adjusted net income of $57 million improved 14% year over year.

Financial Update (As of Dec. 31, 2025)

Allstate exited the fourth quarter with a cash balance of $678 million, which fell 3.7% from the 2024-end level. Total assets of $119.8 billion increased 7.3% from the figure at 2024-end. 

Debt amounted to $7.5 billion, down 7.4% from the figure as of Dec. 31, 2024. 

Total equity of $30.6 billion climbed 43.2% from the 2024-end level.

Book value per common share was $108.45 as of Dec. 31, 2025, up 49.9% year over year.

Capital Deployment Update

In 2025, Allstate rewarded more than $2.2 billion to shareholders via share buybacks and dividend payments. Management authorized a new share repurchase program of $4 billion, which will begin once the current $1.5 billion program is fully completed. This new program will be carried out over a 24-month period.

A quarterly dividend hike of 8% was also sanctioned. The increased dividend, amounting to $1.08 per share, will be paid out on April 1, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 2, 2026.

ALL’s 2025 Figures

Allstate’s 2025 revenues of $67.7 billion rose 5.6% year over year. Full-year adjusted net income of $34.83 per share soared 90.1% year over year. Premiums earned in the Property-Liability unit advanced 7.1% year over year to $57.7 billion.

ALL’s Zacks Rank

Allstate currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Performance of Other Insurers

Of the insurance industry players that have reported fourth-quarter 2025 results so far, the bottom-line results of The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG - Free Report) , AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXS - Free Report) and Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (SIGI - Free Report) beat the respective Zacks Consensus Estimate.

Hartford Insurance reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted operating earnings of $4.06 per share, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 27.9%. The bottom line climbed 38% year over year. HIG's operating revenues rose 8.9% year over year to $5.2 billion. The top line beat the consensus mark by 1.4%. Earned premiums amounted to $6.1 billion, which advanced 5.7% year over year. Net investment income increased 16.5% year over year to $832 million. Pre-tax income climbed 31.6% year over year to $1.4 billion.

Revenues in the Business Insurance segment totaled $4.1 billion, reflecting a 9.5% jump, and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.4%. Core earnings of $915 million improved 37.6% year over year. The combined ratio improved 380 basis points year over year to 83.6%. In the Personal Insurance unit, revenues amounted to $1 billion, which beat the consensus estimate by 2.7%. This segment generated core earnings of $214 million, reflecting an increase of approximately 38% year over year. 

AXIS Capital reported fourth-quarter 2025 operating income of $3.25 per share, which outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.4% and rose 9.4% year over year. Total operating revenues of $1.7 billion beat the consensus estimate by 5.2%. The top line rose nearly 9% year over year. 

Net premiums written rose 13% to $1.4 billion, with an increase of 14% in the Insurance segment and growth of 5% in the Reinsurance segment. Net investment income decreased 4.5% year over year to $187 million.  AXIS Capital’s underwriting income of $184 million increased 42% year over year. The combined ratio improved to 90.4 in the quarter from 94.2 a year ago. 

Selective Insurance reported fourth-quarter 2025 operating income of $2.57 per share, which marginally beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.3%. The bottom line increased 59% year over year. Total revenues of $1.4 billion increased 8.3% from the year-ago quarter’s level. The top line marginally exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.1%. On a year-over-year basis, net premiums written (NPW) increased 4% to $1.1 billion. Net investment income increased 17% year over year to $114 million.

Underwriting income of $76 million more than quadrupled year over year. The combined ratio improved 470 basis points year over year to 93.8 from 98.5. Standard Commercial Lines’ NPW was up 5% year over year to $875.6 million. The combined ratio improved significantly to 92.9 from 100.2 a year ago, reflecting a 730-basis-point improvement. Standard Personal Lines’ NPW declined 8% year over year to $95.5 million. Policy count fell. The combined ratio was 103, worsening 1,130 basis points from 91.7 a year ago. Excess & Surplus Lines’ NPW increased 4% year over year to $158.4 million. 

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