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Can Advanced Packaging Demand Accelerate LRCX's Long-Term Growth?

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Key Takeaways

  • LRCX expects advanced packaging revenues to grow more than 40% in fiscal 2026.
  • LRCX benefits from HBM4 demand, with up to 16-layer stacking driving electroplating and TSV etch needs.
  • LRCX sees Advanced packaging is becoming a larger spending area in memory, foundry and logic.

Lam Research (LRCX - Free Report) is witnessing strong growth in its advanced packaging business, which is being driven by the need to build more complex chips on the back of strong AI demand. As chipmakers look to improve performance and memory bandwidth, advanced packaging is becoming an important area in both memory and logic production. This demand is driving LRCX's advanced packaging business to play a key role in the company's growth story.

Lam Research expects its advanced packaging business to grow more than 40% in fiscal 2026, which is faster than its expected growth in wafer fab equipment spending for this area. A major reason is the shift to newer memory products like HBM4 and HBM4E, which need more advanced packaging and stacking of up to 16 layers. This bodes well for LRCX's prospects as the company has leadership in electroplating and TSV etch, both of which are important steps in advanced packaging.

This opportunity is not limited to memory. Advanced packaging is becoming more important in foundry and logic, where chipmakers are using more complex package designs to improve performance and add more functions. Management had earlier estimated advanced packaging to be a mid-single-digit percentage of foundry/logic equipment spending, but now expects that number to move higher. This shows that advanced packaging is becoming a larger spending area across the semiconductor industry.

The above-mentioned factors show that advanced packaging is becoming a major growth driver for LRCX. As AI systems require more memory, faster data movement and tighter chip integration, spending on advanced packaging is likely to keep rising. If this trend continues, it can support Lam Research’s overall growth over the next few years. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 and 2027 revenues indicates a year-over-year increase of around 21% and 22.1%, respectively.

How Competitors Fare Against LRCX

AMAT competes with companies like Applied Materials (AMAT - Free Report) and ASML Holdings (ASML - Free Report) in the semiconductor equipment market.

Applied Materials recently expanded its partnership with Micron to build better memory chips for AI. Here, the goal is to develop next-generation DRAM, high-bandwidth memory and NAND solutions to increase speed and performance while reducing power use. The work will be done at AMAT’s EPIC Center in Silicon Valley and Micron’s R&D center in Boise, ID. Teams from both companies will work together to speed up development and move ideas into production faster.

ASML is witnessing strong demand from DRAM and logic customers, which are ramping leading-edge nodes using ASML’s NXE:3800E EUV systems. ASML noted that multiple DRAM customers are adopting EUV lithography, which helps in shortening cycle time and lowering costs.

LRCX’s Share Price Performance, Valuation and Estimates

Shares of Lam Research have surged 62.7% over the past six months compared with the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry’s return of 10.2%.

LRCX 6-Month Price Return Performance

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

From a valuation standpoint, Lam Research trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 10.21, significantly higher than the industry’s average of 7.5.

Lam Research Forward 12-Month P/S Ratio

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lam Research’s fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings implies a year-over-year increase of approximately 26.6% and 27%, respectively. Estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 have been revised upward over the past 60 and 30 days, respectively.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Lam Research currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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