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Philip Morris Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Up 9.1% Y/Y

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Key Takeaways

  • PM reported Q1 EPS of $1.96, up 16% YoY, with revenues rising 9.1% to $10.1B.
  • PM saw strong smoke-free growth, driven by higher HTU and e-vapor volumes and favorable pricing.
  • PM expects 2026 EPS growth of up to 12.9% and 5-7% organic revenue growth, backed by smoke-free investments.

Philip Morris International Inc. (PM - Free Report) reported first-quarter 2026 results, wherein both top and bottom lines beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate and increased year over year. 

The company delivered a strong first-quarter performance, driven by robust IQOS growth and solid momentum in the smoke-free business, positioning it to sustain strong earnings growth and deliver leading performance in 2026.

Philip Morris posted quarterly adjusted earnings of $1.96 per share, which increased 16% year over year. Excluding currency effects, the adjusted earnings jumped 5.3% year over year. The bottom line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.82.

Net revenues of $10,146 million increased 9.1% on a reported basis and 2.7% on an organic basis year over year. Revenues beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9,826 million. The increase in organic revenues was backed by favorable pricing, led by international combustibles. This growth was partly offset by an unfavorable volume/mix, reflecting lower international combustibles and U.S. volumes, despite higher international smoke-free volumes.

PM’s Quarterly Performance: Key Metrics and Insights

Total shipment volumes decreased 1.9% to 184.3 billion units in the first quarter.

Adjusted gross profit increased 10.1% (up 3.8% on an organic basis) to $6,911 million, while operating income rose 9.8% (up 0.9% on an organic basis) to $3,893 million.

Decoding PM’s Segment Performance

Net revenues in the International Smoke-Free segment grew 24.7% (up 15.8% on an organic basis) to $3,836 million, driven by favorable volume/mix from higher HTU and e-vapor volumes, along with higher HTU pricing. Adjusted gross profit rose 28.6% (up 19.4% organically). Shipment volume grew 11.9% to 44.1 billion units, led by Italy, Global Travel Retail, Taiwan and Russia.

In the International Combustibles segment, net revenues increased 6.8% (up 1% organically) to $5,688 million, as favorable pricing and distribution-related impacts more than offset an unfavorable volume/mix. Adjusted gross profit increased 9.8% (up 3.9% organically). Shipment volume declined 5.1% to 137.3 billion units, with notable decreases in Indonesia, Russia, Germany and Mexico.

Revenues in the U.S. segment fell 30.8% (down 31.6% on an organic basis) to $622 million, reflecting lower ZYN volumes due to distributor and trade inventory movements, as well as an unfavorable pricing comparison from lower prior-year promotional activity. Adjusted gross profit decreased 44.1% organically. Shipment volume declined 21.2% to 2.8 billion units.

Philip Morris: Other Updates

The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $5,450 million, long-term debt of $43,808 million and a total shareholder deficit of $7,300 million.

Sneak Peek Into PM’s Outlook

Adjusted EPS for 2026 is envisioned in the $8.36-$8.51 range, indicating 10.9-12.9% growth. Adjusted EPS, excluding currency, is likely to be in the $8.11-$8.26 band, indicating a year-over-year increase of 7.5-9.5%. For 2026, Philip Morris expects reported EPS in the band of $7.56-$7.71 compared with $7.26 in 2025.

The total international industry volume for cigarettes and HTUs (excluding China and the United States) is likely to decline nearly 2% in 2026. Total cigarette and SFP shipment volumes were broadly stable, supported by high-single-digit growth in SFP shipments, partly offset by an approximate 3% decline in cigarette shipments. 

For 2026, PM expects net revenues to increase 5-7% on an organic basis. The operating income on an organic basis is likely to rise 7-9%.

Management expects an operating cash flow of around $13.5 billion in 2026. Capital expenditures are likely to be in the band of $1.4 billion to $1.6 billion, primarily implying investments to support the smoke-free business.

For the second quarter of 2026, adjusted EPS is projected in the range of $2.02 to $2.07.

Shares of this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company have fallen 9.9% in the past three months compared with the industry’s decline of 9%.

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