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Wheaton Precious Metals to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What to Expect

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Key Takeaways

  • WPM Q1 sales are likely to surge 63.1% y/y to $767M, with EPS soaring 109.1% to $1.15.
  • Wheaton Precious Metals expects around 30% production growth, driven by Antamina and new projects ramping up.
  • WPM sees higher gold and silver prices driving sales despite lower gold volumes and mixed output across mines.

Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM - Free Report) is scheduled to report first-quarter 2026 results on May. 7, after market close.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Wheaton Precious Metals’ first-quarter sales is pegged at $767 million, indicating 63.1% growth from the prior-year quarter’s reported figure. The consensus mark for WPM’s earnings is pegged at $1.15 per share, indicating year-over-year growth of a whopping 109.1%. Earnings estimates have moved up 5.5% in the past 60 days.

 

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WPM’s Earnings Surprise History

Wheaton Precious Metals’ earnings have outpaced the consensus estimate in the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 13.7%.

 

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What the Zacks Model Unveils for Wheaton Precious Metals

Our model predicts an earnings beat for Wheaton Precious Metals this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the chances of an earnings beat. That is precisely the case here.

You can uncover the best stocks before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Earnings ESP: Wheaton Precious Metals has an Earnings ESP of +7.44%.

Zacks Rank: WPM currently carries a Zacks Rank of 3.

Factors Likely to Have Shaped WPM’s Q1 Performance

Wheaton Precious Metals projects an attributable production of 860,000-940,000  gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) for 2026. The mid-point of the range indicates a 30% year-over-year increase in production. This outlook reflects higher attributable production from Antamina, the start-up of several development projects (Blackwater, Goose, Mineral Park and Platreef) and a stable forecast for Salobo production. 

Our model projects WPM’s total attributable production of 201,377 GEOs for the first quarter of 2026, indicating a 33.8% year-over-year increase. The production figure includes attributable gold production of 107,942 ounces of gold (an 16.5% year-over-year increase).

Our model projects a 5.5% year-over-year dip for the first quarter at Salobo, attributable to gold production at 67,455 ounces. Gold production at Sudbury is expected to be 0.8% higher year over year at 4,917 ounces. At Constancia, attributable gold production is projected to be 62.8% lower at 3,624 ounces due to decreased gold grades.

Our model projects WPM’s first-quarter gold sales volume of 92,428 ounces, indicating 17% year-over-year dip. Gold realized prices are expected to be $4,077 per ounce, suggesting a 42% year-over-year rise.

The company’s first-quarter 2026 total gold sales are projected at $377 million, implying a 17.9% year-over-year rise. Gold sales are expected to have contributed 61.8% to WPM’s total sales.

Our model projects 5.31 million ounces of total attributable silver production (up 13.4% year over year). A 22.3% year-over-year increase at Antamina and a 2.5% rise at Penasquito are expected to offset the 9.6% decline in Constancia.

Wheaton Precious Metals’ silver sales volume is expected to be 5.12 million ounces. Silver realized prices are expected to be $42.15 per ounce, suggesting 30.4% year-over-year growth. This is likely to lead to silver sales of $216 million, indicating a 49% year-over-year rise. Silver sales are expected to contribute 35.4% to the total sales.

Attributable production of palladium is projected at 2,663 ounces (up 0.1% year over year) while production for cobalt is expected at 725 thousand pounds (up 34.4%). Other metals’ production is projected at 4,966 GEOs for the first quarter.

Our model projects Wheaton Precious Metals to sell 156,429 GEOs in the first quarter, 5.4% lower than the prior-year quarter’s actual. Overall, the company’s first-quarter results are expected to reflect the gains of higher gold and silver prices.

Wheaton Precious Metals Stock’s Price Performance

WPM shares have soared 51.9% over the past year compared with the industry's 55.8% growth. During this time, the Basic Materials sector has jumped 45.1%, whereas the S&P 500 has grown 34.4%.

 

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Other Stocks to Consider

Here are some other stocks with the right combination of elements to also post an earnings beat in their upcoming releases.

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF - Free Report) , scheduled to release first-quarter earnings on May 6, has an Earnings ESP of +1.07% and sports a Zacks Rank of 1 at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. 

CF Industries’ earnings estimates for the first quarter have moved up 11.4% over the past 60 days. The estimate is pegged at $2.35 cents per share, indicating an increase of 27% from the year-ago quarter’s actual. CF Industries has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 13.1%.

Albemarle Corporation (ALB - Free Report) , scheduled to release first-quarter earnings on May 6, currently has an Earnings ESP of +20.12% and a Zacks Rank #2. 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Albemarle’s earnings for the first quarter is pegged at $1.24, indicating a turnaround from the loss of 18 cents incurred in the year-ago quarter. Albemarle has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 57.8%.

Barrick Mining Corporation (B - Free Report) , scheduled to release first-quarter 2026 earnings on May 11, has an Earnings ESP of +1.97% and a Zacks Rank of 3 at present. 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Barrick Mining’s earnings for the first quarter of 2026 is pegged at 74 cents per share, indicating an upsurge of 111.4% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure. Barrick Mining has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 11.2%.

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