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Here's How Much a $1000 Investment in Murphy USA Made 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

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How much a stock's price changes over time is a significant driver for most investors. Not only can price performance impact your portfolio, but it can help you compare investment results across sectors and industries as well.

FOMO, or the fear of missing out, also plays a role in investing, particularly with tech giants and popular consumer-facing stocks.

What if you'd invested in Murphy USA (MUSA - Free Report) ten years ago? It may not have been easy to hold on to MUSA for all that time, but if you did, how much would your investment be worth today?

Murphy USA's Business In-Depth

With that in mind, let's take a look at Murphy USA's main business drivers.

Murphy USA Inc. is a leading independent retailer of motor fuel and convenience merchandise in the United States. The El Dorado, AR-based company, in its current form, came into existence following the 2013 spin-off of Murphy Oil Corporation’s downstream business into a separate, independent and publicly-traded entity.

Murphy USA markets refined products through a chain of retail stations, almost all of which are located near a Walmart supercenter, primarily in the Southeast, Southwest and Midwest United States.

As of Mar 31, 2025, the company had a total of 1,761 Company stores – under Murphy USA and Murphy Express brands – encompassing 27 states. Of the total, majority of the stores are branded Murphy USA, some are standalone Murphy Express locations, while the remaining are branded as QuickChek stores. Apart from the retail outlets, Murphy USA operates certain product distribution terminals and ethanol production plants.

The company, which caters to approximately 1.6 million customers daily, also owns a dedicated line space on the Colonial Pipeline - the largest refined products system in the country and the biggest gasoline mover.

Meanwhile, Murphy USA’s revenue increased by 0.7% year over year to $4.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025, while the company’s income was $141.9 million (or $7.53 per diluted share), down 0.4% year over year. Operating cash flow decreased to $245.5 million in Q4 2025 from $248.7 million in the prior year period.

Murphy USA remains committed to returning excess cash to shareholders through continued share buyback programs. As part of this initiative, the fuel retailer repurchased $175.4 million in shares in the fourth quarter of 2025 at an average price of $67.5 per share.

Total retail gallons increased by 3.1% to 1,234.2 million gallons for the fourth quarter of 2025, but same-store sales (SSS) volumes were down 0.6%. Murphy USA’s 2026 guidance includes between 45 to 55 new stores and up to 30 raze-and-rebuilds, $890-$900 million in merchandise margin contribution, and $475-$525 million in capital expenditures.

Bottom Line

While anyone can invest, building a lucrative investment portfolio takes research, patience, and a little bit of risk. If you had invested in Murphy USA ten years ago, you're probably feeling pretty good about your investment today.

According to our calculations, a $1000 investment made in May 2016 would be worth $8,844.21, or a gain of 784.42%, as of May 15, 2026, and this return excludes dividends but includes price increases.

Compare this to the S&P 500's rally of 266.52% and gold's return of 251.01% over the same time frame.

Analysts are forecasting more upside for MUSA too.

Murphy USA's high-volume, low-cost business model drives strong profitability in a competitive retail fuel market, with ownership of over 90% of its stations keeping operating expenses low and proximity to Walmart supercenters supporting above-average fuel sales. Its sourcing infrastructure allows access to lower-cost fuel, enabling competitive pricing while maintaining margins. Store-level earnings demonstrate a structural cost advantage, supporting volume and market share growth. Leadership in nicotine products, expanding market share in cigarettes and pouches, and promotional programs further strengthen traffic and profits. Aggressive store expansion, larger modernized formats, and diversified merchandise offerings drive long-term growth. Given these factors, we are bullish on the stock and rate it Outperform.



Shares have gained 11.35% over the past four weeks and there have been 3 higher earnings estimate revisions for fiscal 2026 compared to none lower. The consensus estimate has moved up as well.

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