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NI Gains From Systematic Investment & Expanding Data Center Demand

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Key Takeaways

  • NI's GenCo signed 4 GW of data center contracts and sees demand rising to as much as 9 GW.
  • NiSource's Project Apollo targets $40-$60M annual savings and keeps operating expenses flat over five years.
  • NI cites headwinds from aging assets and regulation, where failures or compliance shifts could raise costs.

NiSource Inc. (NI - Free Report) benefits from data center-driven demand growth and strategic cost management that reduces expenses and boosts margin. Its systematic capital investment supports renewable energy expansion, infrastructure modernization and long-term growth. 

This Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company faces risks from the aging assets and regulatory risks, which may adversely impact profit.

NI’s Tailwinds

NiSource benefits from rising clean electricity demand, driven by rapid data center expansion, which is increasing power consumption and supporting revenue growth. The company’s unit, NIPSCO Generation LLC (GenCo), has secured 4 gigawatts (GW) of data center contracts and anticipates demand rising to as much as 9 GW. GenCo is engaged in strategic negotiations for an additional 3 GW and expects another 2 GW of data center opportunities, strengthening its growth prospects.

The company is gaining from ongoing cost-reduction efforts, supported by the launch of Project Apollo. The project is expected to deliver $40-$60 million in annual savings, maintain flat operating expenses over the five-year plan and limit average annual customer bill increases below 5%. The strategic cost management initiative enhances operational efficiency, reduces expenses and supports earnings growth and financial flexibility.

It expects consolidated capital investments totaling $28.6 billion for 2026-2030, including $21 billion in base plan capital investments and $7.6 billion in data center-related capital investments, supporting a 9-11% consolidated rate base CAGR through 2026-2033.

NI’s Headwinds

Despite ongoing maintenance programs and substantial infrastructure investments, NiSource remains exposed to risks associated with aging assets. Any unexpected equipment failures or operational disruptions could affect service reliability, pressure margins and adversely impact overall performance.

The company operates in a highly regulated environment and must comply with numerous federal, state and environmental requirements. Failure to comply with existing or modified laws could increase costs, affect operations and influence future earnings growth.

Price Performance of NI

In the past six months, NiSource shares have rallied 12.6% compared with the industry’s 5.1% growth.

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Stocks to Consider

Some better-ranked stocks in the same industry are Duke Energy (DUK - Free Report) , Consolidated Edison (ED - Free Report) and PG&E Corporation (PCG - Free Report) . All the stocks carry a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

DUK, ED and PCG have dividend yields of 3.41%, 3.30% and 1.20%, respectively, which are better than the Zacks S&P 500 Composite’s yield of 1.46%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Duke Energy, Consolidated Edison and PG&E 2026 EPS are pegged at $6.71, $6.09 and $1.65, suggesting year-over-year growth of 6.34%, 6.84% and 10%, respectively.

 

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