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MCHP Gains 56% in 3 Months: Is It Still a Red-Hot Stock to Bet on?

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Key Takeaways

  • MCHP's shares gained 56.5% in three months, outpacing its industry and tech sector.
  • AI demand is lifting MCHP, with Gen 4 and Gen 5 data-center products seeing strong sales growth.
  • MCHP expects June-quarter sales of $1.442B-$1.469B and non-GAAP EPS of 67-71 cents.

Shares of Microchip Technology (MCHP - Free Report) , which develops, manufactures and sells smart, connected and secure embedded control solutions, have performed impressively over the past three months, gaining 56.5%. Owing to this solid rally, shares of this tech company have surpassed the Zacks Semiconductor-Analog-and-Mixed industry's 50% growth and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 28% uptick.

MCHP's shares have outperformed those of fellow industry players Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR - Free Report) and Analog Devices (ADI - Free Report) . Shares of Monolithic Power Systems, as well as Analog Devices, despite lagging the Microchip stock, have gained in double digits (% wise) over the past three months.

3-Month Price Comparison

Zacks Investment ResearchImage Source: Zacks Investment Research

MCHP’s shares have performed well over a longer time frame, too, surging more than 45% in a year. Over the past year, Monolithic Power Systems and Analog Devices’ shares have performed even better.

Given MCHP's impressive rally, investors might wonder if the opportunity to add this high-flying stock to their portfolio has passed. However, we believe MCHP has a lot going in its favor, and this rally is far from over. In fact, the stock holds substantial upside potential. MCHP currently has a Momentum Score of A. Technical indicators suggest continued strong performance for the shipping company. The stock trades above its 50-day moving average, signaling robust upward momentum and price stability. This technical strength underscores positive market sentiment and confidence in the tech company’s prospects.

50-Day Moving Average Data of MCHP Stock


Zacks Investment Research

Reasons for Staying Bullish on MCHP Stock

AI Boom Aids MCHP: Microchip Technology benefits from growing AI investments. The company’s Gen 4 and Gen 5 data center products are witnessing strong sales growth. MCHP’s new products are expected to gain traction with the launch of the industry's first 3-nanometer-based PCIe Gen 6 switch that powers modern AI infrastructure. 

These switches offer double bandwidth, lower latency, advanced security and high-density AI connectivity for next-generation cloud and data center performance. The success of the restructuring plan also bodes well for MCHP’s prospects. The company also entered the PCIe retimer market in the June 2026 quarter as a companion device for Gen 6 switches and disclosed an OEM design win that displaced a competitor. 

MCHP has expanded connectivity, storage and compute offerings for AI and data center applications, as well as intelligent power modules for AI at the edge. These factors are expected to drive top-line growth. MCHP’s dominance in 8, 16 and 32-bit PIC microcontrollers remains a major driver of top-line growth. 

Momentum Builds Across End Markets: While releasing the fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results last month, management pointed toward recovery across automotive, industrial, communication, data center, aerospace and defense, and consumer, with the aerospace and defense sector emerging as the strongest sales performer in the quarter. The company also highlighted improved customer relationships and many customers reengaged in purchases after working through excess inventory.

Management also stated that order activity strengthened meaningfully, with bookings for the March quarter significantly higher than those witnessed in the December quarter. The book-to-bill ratio for the March quarter was well above 1, resulting in a much higher backlog entering the June quarter compared with when the company entered the March quarter. Additionally, April was the largest booking month in almost four years.

Upbeat Outlook Bodes Well: In the June quarter (first-quarter fiscal 2027), management expects strong growth from the data center, aerospace and defense sector, industrial, and automotive end markets. All business units are anticipated to drive growth. For the June quarter, net sales are expected in the $1.442-$1.469 billion band. The company expects non-GAAP earnings of 67-71 cents per share, alongside a non-GAAP gross margin of 62.25-63.25% and a non-GAAP operating expense of 28.75-29.25%.

Impressive Earnings History: Microchip has outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in each of the past four quarters. The average beat is 8.7%.

Microchip Technology Price and EPS Surprise

Microchip Technology Incorporated Price and EPS Surprise

Microchip Technology price-eps-surprise | Microchip Technology Quote

MCHP Still a Smart Buy for Investors

Microchip is well-positioned for continued success. Microchip’s growth outlook is impressive and supported by data center connectivity ramps, aerospace and defense demand, and operating leverage as utilization normalizes. The strong earnings history also bodes well for the company.

The consensus price target for MCHP stock is $115.67, implying an upside of more than 15% from current levels.

Zacks Investment ResearchImage Source: Zacks Investment Research

With many positives driving the stock, MCHP presents a compelling investment opportunity now. This Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stock is an ideal candidate for addition to one's portfolio. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.  

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