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ATI Q2 Earnings Call Highlights AA&S Margin Growth and '26 Outlook
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Key Takeaways
ATI's Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.23 and revenues of $1.26B topped consensus estimates.
AA&S can reach mid-20% EBITDA margins over time as pricing, mix and contract changes take hold.
ATI's record $4.4B backlog has 70% converting within 12 months, highlighting tight qualified capacity.
ATI Inc. (ATI - Free Report) used its second-quarter call to frame Advanced Alloys & Solutions as a stronger earnings contributor, while reaffirming High Performance Materials & Components as its main long-term aerospace growth platform. Management also raised 2026 guidance on contracted pricing, record backlog and committed customer schedules.
ATI’s second-quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.23 topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.03. Revenues of $1.26 billion also beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.22 billion.
Board chair, president and CEO Kimberly Fields said the higher outlook reflects first-half performance, improved visibility, AA&S strength and confidence in the HPMC ramp.
CFO James Foster set 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance at $1.135 billion to $1.185 billion and adjusted earnings guidance at $4.90 to $5.18 per share.
Foster expects third-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $305 million to $315 million and adjusted earnings of $1.31 to $1.37 per share. He sees fourth-quarter sales and profit as the year’s strongest.
ATI Sees AA&S as a Second Earnings Engine
AA&S has moved toward higher-value aerospace, defense and specialty energy applications through portfolio changes, stronger commercial discipline and better pricing. Aerospace and defense represent about 44% of segment sales.
Asked by Seaport Research Partners, CEO Fields said AA&S can reach a mid-20% EBITDA margin range over time, supported by structural changes in mix, contracts and pricing.
CFO James Foster told a BTIG analyst that the renewed naval nuclear agreement is a five-year, $1 billion revenue contract, about double the prior five-year agreement. Roughly two-thirds of the increase is price and mix and one-third is volume.
ATI Expects HPMC Catch-Up in Second Half
HPMC remains ATI’s largest long-term growth platform, although qualification timing at the Mexico facility and EB2 titanium furnace shifted shipments into later periods.
In response to JPMorgan, Fields estimated that $30 million to $40 million of revenues moved from the first half into the second half, with 40% to 50% incremental margins on that shifted business.
Foster said HPMC should strengthen as contract renewals improve pricing and mix and deferred demand converts. Full-year HPMC EBITDA margin remains targeted in the mid-20% range.
ATI Backlog Points to Tight Qualified Capacity
CEO Kimberly Fields told a Deutsche Bank analyst that backlog reached a record $4.4 billion, up 18% year over year and 7% sequentially. About 70% is expected to convert to revenue over the next 12 months.
CEO Fields said lead times are about 12 months for nickel alloys, 20 months for premium-quality titanium and more than 24 months for isothermal forgings, reflecting demand above available qualified capacity.
Fields also raised the full-year defense growth outlook to the high teens. Jet engine revenues are still expected to grow in the high teens, while airframe growth remains in the mid- to high-single-digit range.
ATI Prioritizes Cash Conversion and Capacity
Adjusted free cash flow guidance increased to $550 million to $600 million. The midpoint implies $430 million of second-half generation.
Asked by Seaport Research Partners, Foster said late fourth-quarter shipments will leave some volume in receivables, and ATI plans additional inventory for early 2027. The company continues to target free cash flow conversion above 90%.
CEO Kimberly Fields told JPMorgan that ATI first seeks more throughput, yield and shorter cycle times from existing assets before adding capacity. New projects must meet an internal 30% return threshold.
ATI Keeps Execution and Returns at the Center
CEO Kimberly Fields closed with a focus on Elevation, differentiated capacity and allocating capital toward the highest-return opportunities. Her emphasis remained on execution and contracted demand.
CFO James Foster framed the second-half ramp as supported by contracted pricing, committed customer schedules and shipment timing, with both segments expected to contribute to profitable growth.
ATI’s Zacks Rank & Style Scores Signal a Mixed Setup
The combination gives ATI a favorable Zacks Rank and blended VGM profile, with clear differences across individual styles. The Zacks Rank can change as earnings estimates are revised after the just-reported results.
View the Zacks #1 Rank List
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ATI Q2 Earnings Call Highlights AA&S Margin Growth and '26 Outlook
Key Takeaways
ATI Inc. (ATI - Free Report) used its second-quarter call to frame Advanced Alloys & Solutions as a stronger earnings contributor, while reaffirming High Performance Materials & Components as its main long-term aerospace growth platform. Management also raised 2026 guidance on contracted pricing, record backlog and committed customer schedules.
ATI’s second-quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.23 topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.03. Revenues of $1.26 billion also beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.22 billion.
ATI Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
ATI Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | ATI Inc. Quote
ATI Raises 2026 Guide on Contracted Visibility
Board chair, president and CEO Kimberly Fields said the higher outlook reflects first-half performance, improved visibility, AA&S strength and confidence in the HPMC ramp.
CFO James Foster set 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance at $1.135 billion to $1.185 billion and adjusted earnings guidance at $4.90 to $5.18 per share.
Foster expects third-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $305 million to $315 million and adjusted earnings of $1.31 to $1.37 per share. He sees fourth-quarter sales and profit as the year’s strongest.
ATI Sees AA&S as a Second Earnings Engine
AA&S has moved toward higher-value aerospace, defense and specialty energy applications through portfolio changes, stronger commercial discipline and better pricing. Aerospace and defense represent about 44% of segment sales.
Asked by Seaport Research Partners, CEO Fields said AA&S can reach a mid-20% EBITDA margin range over time, supported by structural changes in mix, contracts and pricing.
CFO James Foster told a BTIG analyst that the renewed naval nuclear agreement is a five-year, $1 billion revenue contract, about double the prior five-year agreement. Roughly two-thirds of the increase is price and mix and one-third is volume.
ATI Expects HPMC Catch-Up in Second Half
HPMC remains ATI’s largest long-term growth platform, although qualification timing at the Mexico facility and EB2 titanium furnace shifted shipments into later periods.
In response to JPMorgan, Fields estimated that $30 million to $40 million of revenues moved from the first half into the second half, with 40% to 50% incremental margins on that shifted business.
Foster said HPMC should strengthen as contract renewals improve pricing and mix and deferred demand converts. Full-year HPMC EBITDA margin remains targeted in the mid-20% range.
ATI Backlog Points to Tight Qualified Capacity
CEO Kimberly Fields told a Deutsche Bank analyst that backlog reached a record $4.4 billion, up 18% year over year and 7% sequentially. About 70% is expected to convert to revenue over the next 12 months.
CEO Fields said lead times are about 12 months for nickel alloys, 20 months for premium-quality titanium and more than 24 months for isothermal forgings, reflecting demand above available qualified capacity.
Fields also raised the full-year defense growth outlook to the high teens. Jet engine revenues are still expected to grow in the high teens, while airframe growth remains in the mid- to high-single-digit range.
ATI Prioritizes Cash Conversion and Capacity
Adjusted free cash flow guidance increased to $550 million to $600 million. The midpoint implies $430 million of second-half generation.
Asked by Seaport Research Partners, Foster said late fourth-quarter shipments will leave some volume in receivables, and ATI plans additional inventory for early 2027. The company continues to target free cash flow conversion above 90%.
CEO Kimberly Fields told JPMorgan that ATI first seeks more throughput, yield and shorter cycle times from existing assets before adding capacity. New projects must meet an internal 30% return threshold.
ATI Keeps Execution and Returns at the Center
CEO Kimberly Fields closed with a focus on Elevation, differentiated capacity and allocating capital toward the highest-return opportunities. Her emphasis remained on execution and contracted demand.
CFO James Foster framed the second-half ramp as supported by contracted pricing, committed customer schedules and shipment timing, with both segments expected to contribute to profitable growth.
ATI’s Zacks Rank & Style Scores Signal a Mixed Setup
ATI currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). Its Growth Score of A and VGM Score of B are favorable under the Zacks Style Scores framework, while its Value Score of D and Momentum Score of D are weaker readings. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
The combination gives ATI a favorable Zacks Rank and blended VGM profile, with clear differences across individual styles. The Zacks Rank can change as earnings estimates are revised after the just-reported results.