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Can Altria's Smoke-Free Push Finally Drive Long-Term Growth?

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Key Takeaways

  • Altria expanded on! PLUS to about 120,000 stores, covering roughly 90% of nicotine product volume.
  • On! retail share reached 8.6% in Q2, up sequentially and year over year, driven by on! PLUS.
  • Altria plans national 12-mg expansion in Q3 and new on! PLUS flavors across three strengths in Q4.

Altria Group, Inc.’s (MO - Free Report) smoke-free strategy is increasingly centered on nicotine pouches, with on! PLUS emerging as a key part of that effort. In the second quarter of 2026, Helix expanded on! PLUS to about 120,000 stores, covering roughly 90% of nicotine product volume. The rollout is being supported by a broader retail program and additional line extensions.

The underlying category is also expanding. In the second quarter, the nicotine pouch category grew 8.1 share points and represented nearly 60% of the total oral tobacco category. For on!, reported shipment volume was 49.9 million cans, down 4.2% year over year, although first-half shipment volume rose 5.1%. The company attributed the second-quarter comparison partly to trade inventory movements and promotional activity in the prior-year period.

Retail performance offered another measure of the rollout. On! retail share reached 8.6% in the second quarter, up 0.8 percentage points sequentially and 0.3 percentage points from a year earlier, with the gain driven by on! PLUS. The next phase involves expanding product choice. 12-milligram on! PLUS shipments resumed in three states during the quarter, with national expansion planned for the third quarter. Additional flavors across 6-milligram, 9-milligram and 12-milligram strengths, starting with Blueberry Mint and Mango Pineapple, are planned for the fourth quarter.

Together, these developments show a smoke-free strategy built around wider distribution, a growing nicotine pouch category and a broader on! PLUS offering.

MO’s Nicotine Pouch Strategy Evolves Alongside PM and TPB

Philip Morris International Inc. (PM - Free Report) is also expanding its smoke-free portfolio through nicotine pouches, with ZYN now available in 60 markets. In the second quarter of 2026, Philip Morris reported ZYN shipments rose 1.8% to 2.9 billion pouches, while new 9mg and 11mg ZYN ULTRA variants began shipping. Philip Morris plans additional 1.5mg and 8mg dry variants in the third quarter.

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB - Free Report) is also expanding its smoke-free portfolio through nicotine pouches, with Modern Oral net sales up 128% year over year to $68.4 million in the second quarter of 2026. While Modern Oral accounted for 48% of total revenues, up from 26% a year earlier, Turning Point Brands expanded retail distribution for FRE and ALP. Turning Point Brands expects chain-store count to increase 70% year over year by year-end.

Altria’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates

Shares of Altria have fallen 0.4% in the past three months against the industry’s growth of 5.1%.

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From a valuation standpoint, MO trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 11.81X, down from the industry’s average of 15.55X.

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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MO’s 2026 and 2027 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 4.8% and 3.2%, respectively.

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Altria currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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